MrBator's Blog

Posted Sunday, July 03, 2011 06:43 AM

There's a good chance Cliff Lee will come back to earth today in Toronto

After betting against Cliff Lee twice in the month of June, I finally smartened up last week and sent it on the Phillies -1.5 +175 the night Lee shutout the Red Sox, 5-0.  With that latest masterpiece, Cliff Lee completed one of the greatest months any starting pitcher has ever submitted.  Check it out:

 

21 hits allowed in 42 innings pitched

28 strikeouts/7 walks

0.21 ERA (he gave up one lonely run for the whole month!)

5 wins 0 losses

32 consecutive shutout innings

3 straight shutouts

 

That's not human.  Who in their right mind would dare bet against this man right now?  Well, maybe me.  I had the Jays yesterday +160 and +1.5 -105, and it wasn't exactly a confidence-inspiring performance, but I think the time may be ripe for Lee to go out and have himself a terrible outing.

Prior to his June 22nd start in St. Louis, I noticed something about Lee's pitch counts this season.  From April 25th to May 6th, Lee threw a total of 332 pitches in three starts.  In his next start, going on 4 days rest, Lee was so-so, lasting just 6 innings and 82 pitches while giving up 7 hits and 3 earned runs to the Marlins.  In his next three starts after that, Lee threw a ridiculous total of 356 pitches!  That seemed to catch up to him in his next start, which took place on May 31st in Washington.  Again going on 4 days rest, Lee got sh... [More]

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