MrBogey's Blog

Posted Wednesday, November 06, 2013 06:44 PM

ADVANCED NBA PLAYER VS TEAM STATS

Does anyone have a link to or know of a site where for instance I can get instant stats player vs team?

for instance-   Carlos Boozer vs Indiana Pacers

NBA.COM used to have a working database where you could compare any player against any team and see career average AND each box score of those games played just by typing in player name and team name.

I like to bet player props and this was very helpful and saved a ton of time!


Posted Wednesday, October 30, 2013 03:52 PM

PIERCE Under 28.5 PTS/RBS/ASSTS

Anyone else feel this number is inflated? Surely he will be expected to do far less for this team than he did for the Celtics.

Would not be surprised  with a 13/5/5 type night with 25-30 minutes if the TOE holds up.




Posted Tuesday, October 29, 2013 07:15 PM

NOAH UNDER 11 REB. -115

Some talk of an issue with groin and limited minutes. add to the fact that he is 0-4-2 o/u 11 rebounds I must say I like it.


Posted Saturday, October 26, 2013 04:02 AM

CLEMSON-MARYLAND

So many of the Terps key players are gone and add the fact that Clemson was embarrassed last week on national tv this game will get ugly really quick.

55-13 type score IMO


Posted Friday, October 25, 2013 02:06 AM

Will Jameis Winston win the 2013 Heisman Trophy?

line is -150 NO at Pinny as I type this. I am huge FSU fan, born in Tallahassee but IMO betting against him to win feels like a VERY +ev bet.

There are so many variables! EASY for him to fail, and we all know FSU has been known to lose a key game when we least expect them to.

Curious what other posters have to say and also an opinion on a even price if you disagree with the current line. Maybe even add what obstacle may cost him the trophy other than the obvious injury, key loss/losses or the Ducks man of steel!


Posted Friday, October 25, 2013 01:26 AM

non conference total trends

Leading the charge have been the totals results in non-conference games (AFC vs. NFC). These games have gone 24-11 O/U.


Does anyone have a larger sample size of this stat? maybe 75-125 size or 3-5 years?

Also one would think Vegas has picked up on this if it is a multi year trend and would inflate totals to remove value


Posted Tuesday, July 30, 2013 11:00 AM

WOODS VS LEFTY FAIR PRICE?

You make a line that you would book. You have blistering current form vs some serious course form.

Bovada has TW at -135. IMO that is too low when u factor in the letdown factor with Lefty after 2 GREAT wins overseas.

TW is hungry! We see how he does on his favorite courses even when he isnt  at his best.


Posted Thursday, June 20, 2013 07:07 AM

Travelers Championship Plays

Hello fellow punters!

Z JOHNSON 50/1 to win


 Full tournament plays each to win 250

DE JONGE -115 over  LEISHMAN 
JOHNSON+150 over  BVP
CLARK -110      over   HARRINGTON


Posted Thursday, June 20, 2013 06:49 AM

NW Arkansas Championship LPGA TOUR

Yani Tseng +2800

Great odds for a player that has won  this tournament 2/4 times she has played.

Obviously she is in terrible nick but this track may be just what she needs to snap out of it.


Posted Friday, May 31, 2013 02:28 PM

HEAT -300

If the Heat face the Spurs in  the finals--  -300/240 ish.

they are -200 and have not even closed out the Pacers





Posted Saturday, May 18, 2013 04:59 AM

Bogeys weekend with Byron Nelson

Nailed Bradley 25/1 FRL Thursday which was sweet considering I rarely hit those, it was nice to wake up and see the -10 atop the leaderboard and not even have to worry about the afternoon groups.

Won my lock of the week with Walker over Garrigus in a blowout!

I have small plays on Kaymer and Singh top 20's and Singh top 10 also.

English at  50/1 and Cabrera at 80/1 to win and they totally fell back in round 2 after looking in much better shape.

Put down 100 on Palmer at 12/1 today hoping we get the "win for a friend" come Sunday afternoon. Hope Keegs will stay put over the weekend.


Posted Saturday, May 18, 2013 04:44 AM

Spurs/Grizz moneylines

my plan is to take the +150 to +165 on the dog each game this series unless there is some drastic change of dynamic.

IMO both teams have shown the ability to play just as well away from home as they do at home.

If Grizz win game 1 I will likely not moneyline game 2. Same goes for Spurs in game 4 if they happen to win game 3 in Memphis.

Anyone have ideas for of against this thinking?


Posted Saturday, May 18, 2013 04:30 AM

SERIES AVERAGE PROP BETS SA/MEMHIS

Player prop lines are out for the Spurs/Grizz on series averages. Bovada and most lines are -115.

SPURS that I like so far are Parker under 7.0 assists for the series and Duncan over 9.5 rebounds.

GRIZZ i like are Conley over 15.0 points per game avg and also leaning Gasol over 15.5 PPG for the series.

 Anyone stand out that might be slowed down in this matchup?  Ginobili was 12.0 ppg avg. Duncan was 18 points, Randolph lines were 16 and 10.


Posted Wednesday, May 01, 2013 08:37 PM

FADING GLOVER PREGGO WIFE

If there is just a 20-25% chance of him withdrawing due to his wifes pregnancy then that gives us some really solid value by fading him in and head to head full tournament matches.

From the way it sounds she could pop at any moment.

And even a false alarm would get him to WD.

Just a few thoughts, hope no one in here actually bet on him under the circumstances.


Posted Wednesday, May 01, 2013 01:30 AM

Clippers are done with BG less than 100%

Cant wait to see the contrast in styles between OKC and Grizz.

I give Grizz a legit chance at making the finals if they can get game 6 without any significant injuries. Not only that they will have some serious momentum and have just the team to slowdown OKC.


Posted Tuesday, April 09, 2013 05:40 AM

BOGEY'S MASTERS PICKS

I have Oosti  50/1 and Woods 9/1, bet  during final round of the 2012 Masters.

Bradley 28/1 and Rose 20/1, bet this week.

Will be looking at head to head plays. I will continue to fade Sneds until he shows close to old form especially when I get good price with  Donald and Bradley matched vs him.


Posted Sunday, March 10, 2013 01:20 AM

TEAMS ARE FALLING DEAD....

For the Lakers and to the Lakers. A conspiracy nut might think the teams were being paid  off. -JK-

Seriously at this rate they way the things are heading that 6th seed in the west may be within reach for the Lakeshow.

That would jeopardize all those bets that people have of the Lakers either missing the playoffs and/or them losing in the first round.

I know no one will come in and admit it but MANY tickets were printed on that happening a few weeks back.


Posted Saturday, March 09, 2013 01:44 AM

MVP RACE IS ON!!

it is called the most valuable player NOT the " best player in the NBA "

Using this criteria IMO Mr. Bryant has solidified himself AT least in the conversation, possibly even the front runner in many voters eyes.

If I had a vote it would be Lebron Kobe the Durant right now. BUT if Kobe continues to put on shows like the last few weeks he can overtake Lebron for the MVP.

You also have to remember that when the Heats winning streak ends, depending on where they are in the standings you can almost guarantee Lebron will be getting SIGNIFICANT less minutes. ( obviously this will depend on the best record for home court and the Heats positioning as far as that goes)


Posted Friday, February 22, 2013 01:51 AM

Want to know why you lost those bets?

Look in the mirror. YOU lost because YOU picked the wrong side. It isn't the refs, coaches or players faults. It isn't the commish's fault. YOU and YOU alone caused that to happen.

Insanity: doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results.

Do yourself AND especially those on this forum ,  STOP COMPLAINING!

If you are going to gamble then do it with some class. No one wants to see your retarded post about some  conspiracy that cost you a $20 bet.

The NBA betting area is for picks and strategies, NOT a sounding board for crybabies. Just remember that when YOU make these whiny posts people are laughing at you!

So please stop wasting peoples time and stop cluttering the board with BS.


Posted Friday, February 15, 2013 02:50 AM

ALL STAR MVP--- JAMES HARDEN

Game is in Houston and in the past  guys who were playing on their home court have played lights out. You know Harden is can score if given the playing time.

15 times the hometown player has been awarded the MVP trophy, close to 25%.

What do you guys think a good price is? I have made up my mind if he is healthy and I can get 15/1 I will be betting. Most likely I will take a bit less.


Posted Tuesday, September 18, 2012 05:52 AM

HOTLANTA vs DENVER + P MANNING

Just wanted to say with a final score of 27-21, after the 4 QUICK game changing turnovers I personally feel Denver made a solid effort to put themselves in position  where one more mistake from ATL and DEN could have won the game.

I have seen a few threads on Manning being washed up or Manning is  his old self. My opinion it is still too early to write that chapter.


Posted Monday, September 17, 2012 03:58 PM

CHAMP BAILEY AND PROPS

WHO WILL HE COVER TONIGHT, WHITE OR JONES?  OR WILL THEY PLAY SIDES? ALSO WHAT DEFENSIVE SCHEMES DO THESE 2 TEAMS USE? GENERALLY...

I WILL MOST LIKELY BET UNDER 5.5 ON THE PLAYER CHAMP COVERS.

ANY PROPS FOR YOU GUYS TONIGHT?


Posted Wednesday, September 12, 2012 03:23 AM

HUNTER MAHAN ON RYDER CUP

http://www.golfchannel.com/news/doug-ferguson/notes-mahan-says-he-wont-watch-ryder-cup/


I couldn't believe what I read, did he really say these things?! Very selfish if you ask me. I never had a reason to dislike him but these comments combined with his comments a few years ago about Ryder Cup players getting paid for playing really pisses me off.

Sounds like he is very bitter right now.( AS AM I, LOL! ) One of the comments below the article said he should go with the team and cheer them on. I totally agree. It may be just what he needs to snap out of this COMA he has been in the last few months.


Posted Sunday, September 09, 2012 05:10 AM

Take a look at this...

In my opinion the possibility of missing out on the final 30 to go to East Lake is really bothering most of the guys.

in the 3rd round alone look at the scores of the guys that may miss out with a bad finish. fed ex rankings 27th through 38th really struggled with only 2 guys under par in round 3.

I am of the same thinking as last year(cant find post) that simply fading this group will be profitable on Sunday. I think last years group was 25-35 and if I remember right they shat as well.

If someone could post that leaderboard (2011 Barclays and 2011 BMW)with fed ex points as well as scores that would be much appreciated.


Posted Thursday, August 23, 2012 12:19 AM

CANADIAN WOMEN OPEN

TSENG 12/1  1U
WIE 50/1       .25U

SO YEON RYU -120 OVER M MIYAZATO 3U
TSENG -110 OVER NY CHOI    1U
YANG -130 OVER STANFORD  3U


Tseng will win another one soon and I will not miss it. Was on her at 20/1 last week and she finally showed some life and they drop her to 12/1 just like that. That kinda price is to high for her talent even if she has played like ass for a few months


Posts:  1 2 3 4  

Profile

User: MrBogey
Joined: August 2011
Location: Florida
Team: Florida State Seminoles
Occupation: Other

Recent Posts

Archive

Categories