Know: 216.5 is very high total for Utah venue which usually sees lower scores than when these two teams play in Denver. 215.5 in January of 2009 was the most recent total close to 216.5. That was in Denver.
But look at these strong under trends for this game (and, oh yes, try to forget they've just scored 464 points in 2 games.)
UTAH Jazz:
3-13 O/U as GAME THREE favorites... including a perfect 0-8 O/U when the OU line is 191 > points...
0-3 O/U in the NBA Playoffs when the OU line is 215 > points...
3-12 O/U in ROUND ONE home games... including a perfect 0-6 O/U when the OU line is 185 > points...
4-18 O/U in All Playoff games when playing off a SU post-season UNDERDOG win... including 2-13 O/U in the last 12 seasons.
DENVER NUGGETS:
1-7 O/U in ALL Playoff GAME THREES... including 0-4 O/U in the last 5 years...
0-3 O/U in the NBA Playoffs when the OU line is 215> points...
5-17 O/U in ALL Playoff ROUND ONE road games... including 1-12 O/U since the 2005 season...
4-20 O/U as ALL Playoff UNDERDOGS since 2005... including 2-17 O/U in ROUND ONE... and 0-10 O/U in the OU line range of 191 to 223 points. (this reseach was by King Creole
Linesmaker's algorhythms seem to be more focused on what's happened recently.
Clear as mud, right? I think they will try a little defense tonight. I'm betting the under.
But I think they will have a hot first quarter and cool the scoring as the game goes on.
Coaching will win this game and there the Jazz have a big advantage. I'm betting the Jazz and the under.
NIL