Nelli2008's Blog

Really nice saturday matchups

By Nelli2008 | View all Posts
Posted Saturday, February 20, 2010 10:14 AM   14 comments
My yesterday picks
Bel-Sweden Bel+3.5
Czech Rep.-Latvia Total over6

Finn-Germany  Finns -3

As for saturday I thing all three games are bettors frienly
Here's my pick
the first one Nor-Swiis Nor +2 or even if you can find somewhere +2.5
As all you know these teams are playing all the world
tournaments pretty much with a same players selection
so they know each other pretty good
they had 2 exhibition games before WC 2008
Swiss-Nor2-3 SO
Swiss-Nor 4-1
Both had played in Swiss
Reason for pick: I just don't think The Swiss are so good and Norway so bad to give a plus two or even + 2.5 at some places
Yes Swiss are good but not that good,they have a really strong goallie in Hiller + some NHL-ers as Streit or Y.Weber
And I think the main reason they gave +2 on this game because  of Swiss could make a tie with a Canadians in regulation
What about Norway team they played a lot with each other so great chemistry is there ,11 players playing in Swedish Elite league and almost all of them are leaders in their clubs(first 2 lines)
Patrik Thoresen having the best season of his career in KHL where he is among the scoring leaders(7th place 53gp 21+31=52p) He is ahead of Jagr,Morozov...
and finally every tournament Nor had at least one or two good games
WC 2008 in Canada Nor-Finn 2-3 SO
                             Nor-Canada 1-2(first of two games)
So if not now then never for Norway ,I just can't see them to make some impact in further rounds against teams like USA,Czech Rep or Sweden
Nor + 2 going to bet big on this one
two other games  will post later

BOL to everyone
14 comments
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searchwarrant says:
02/20/10 11:30AM

Saw your picks yesterday and went Belarus.

Nice job.

 

MrZamboni says:
02/20/10 12:26PM
good luck bro
FadeOnly says:
02/20/10 12:49PM
Good luck buddy! I'll be on those Norwegians as well!
Nelli2008 says:
02/20/10 01:28PM
Here's next one
Slovakia-Latvia
Latvia always was pretty tough opponent for any of average team
They've got a balanced team with a good chemistry(16 players from Dinamo Riga a playoff contender,but not an elite team in the Russian KHL)
Slovakia was really bad at all international competitions last few years
WC2008 in Canada They were in relegation round
2009 a little bit better but anyway they were far from elite contenders
But they didn't have Marian Hossa,Demitra Gaborik,Stumpel(# 1 forward in Barys,KHL present time), and other NHL players all together since 2006 Olympics
Here results from 2006 Olympic Games  Preliminary round
Slovakia-Russia 5-3
Slovakia-Latvia 6-3
Slovakia-USA 2-1
Slovakia-Sweden 3-0(Sweden became Olympic Champion afterwards)I think that's more than enough said
They are hungry for wins right now since all Slovakian elite players  are all together once again
Masalskis was pulled out of the net too often in KHL
Probably he won't be able to do anything against Gaborik and Co
  Can go two ways if Latvians will play only defense(Dinamo Riga has experience of that kind of games)then it's gonna be like 3-0 for Slovaks
Another way is a blowout 10-3
Anyway can't see it less than -2 for Slovaks
BOL to everybody
Pick Slovakia -2

Polar_Bear says:
02/20/10 01:30PM
Love the Slovak pick....BOL today
Nelli2008 says:
02/20/10 02:02PM
Nelli2008 says:
02/20/10 02:04PM
I would, but I expect at least one goal for Latvians Probably if not -2 I would go Slovaks Team total over 4
Seymour24 says:
02/20/10 02:09PM

yes, I'm getting -2.5 as well and will make a play on that, just smaller than at -2.

GL

Nelli2008 says:
02/20/10 02:55PM
Thanks genlemen BOL to all on today's picks
Will post my feelings about Germany-Belarus  later
that's gonna be pretty tough one to bet
Nelli2008 says:
02/20/10 05:34PM
Now going for Slovaks
Marcel Hossa(leading scorer for Dinamo Riga)said to Slovakian reporters that they will play Latvian team the same as if it was Russia

Nelli2008 says:
02/20/10 07:25PM
Here my thoughts about Germany-Belarus game
If somebody asked me 3-4 months ago I would say Belarus win this game
What do we have now
Belarus lost two key players A.Kostitsyn and Grabovskiy
Salei made his first game after injury just few days before Olympics
and The main thing Glenn Hanlon( coach) left the team just three months before olympics
I think He was really great as a coach for Belarus
On other hand Germany is not playing good lately
They were relegated from division A at World Championship ,but Germany is a host of 2010 WC that's why Austria was relegated instead of them(but Austria was better in final standings)
at WC2009 they lost to Denmark1-3 and France 1-2
13 players from that team playing now
The only I can say about this game it will be very good one and probably close one,but Belarus has kind of a passion what I think will help them to win this one
So will go with a small bet 
My pick Belarus ML
chizzy97 says:
02/21/10 12:45PM
Nelli sick day yesterday, i noticed you had a good friday so i tailed all 3 games game saturday and got myself out of a little hole thanks bro looking forward to your thoughts on todays 3 great games
mbkraus says:
02/21/10 01:10PM
Hell of a day yesterday... Thanks for the analysis and picks Nelli
Nelli2008 says:
02/21/10 08:29PM
Thanks Gentlemen
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