NoWorries21's Blog

Posted Tuesday, February 02, 2010 10:42 AM

Tuesday Line movement

Well public went 1-1 with Boston hitting albeit Washington led a lot of that game and Lakers losing. I luckily played Memphis hard and Wash small. I had a couple of 1 point losses as well Nash missin F'n free throws.

The only thing I see so far is Houston getting 82% of action and line moved to 6 from 6.5.

Orlando getting 65% and line moved to 9.5 from 10.5.



Posted Tuesday, December 22, 2009 11:52 AM

No one on this board watched the Oregon/Oregon St game?

Everyone on here is on BYU. I do not understand at all. Oregon is really good and the Beavers hung tough the entire game. They easily could have won that game at Oregon. Now this same Oregon St team is at a neutral sight playing a team that there biggest win is Oklahoma? Really? I could be way off but I believe that the Beaver coaches will have this team ready to play. BYU will be moving in slow motion compared to their last game against Oregon. I believe Oregon St rolls behind the Rodgers brothers. (By the way the motivation could also be a start in the top 15 in rankings next year.)


Posted Thursday, August 20, 2009 12:10 PM

Moneyline vs. runline question

I was just looking for a little advice/discussion about when there is value playing the runline compared to moneyline and what the cutoff point is. I will give you a couple examples and they may not be exact but close. Yesterday I played Boston on the reverse runline because I got it at +205 compared to moneyline at +135. Thats 70 cents which seemed to high for a team like Boston and in that situation. On the other side last night the Cards were +120 but on the reverse runline they were only +165 a difference of just 45 cents. I made the mistake of playing runline again but I thought about it right after game had started and thought I had made a mistake, which I did, just because of the lack of value. This also showed with Rockies backers yesterday. They were -151 moneyline and -110 runline a difference of only 41 cents. Once again I was suckered in by the less juice but lost. I am not upset about losing a bet but making the mistake due to lack of value. One more I noticed but I know there are a lot more is Seattle was +220 moneline but a whopping +370 on the reverse runline. I saw the huge value and liked Seattle anyway with Verlander off high pitch count but messed up by not playing runline despite a 150 difference. Should I have just taken the Seattle play and split units. I would love to hear thoughts from some of you. I dont wanna hear just dont play runlines becaue there is value in them.


Posted Friday, August 07, 2009 11:15 AM

Don't like to be a square but have no choice.

Cards -1.5
Giants -1.5
Under 9 Cubs Rocks

3 Teamer
Giants
Cards
White Sox (I think this will be closer than you think but Clevelands bullpen will get smashed and Sowers will only go 6)

I am just interested in making money and not making this harder than it is.


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User: NoWorries21
Joined: March 2009
Location: Texas
Team: Texas Rangers
Occupation: Recreation

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