Pimpdaddy55's Blog

Pimpin the Sweet 16

By Pimpdaddy55 | View all Posts
Posted Wednesday, March 25, 2009 08:46 PM   69 comments
Well here we are, 29-16-1 for the tourney so far not a bad start.  Done some research on these plays, Agree or not up to you.  I have started to cap any totals so probably not playing any here are my plays. 
 

Uconn –6.5 for 3 units- wish this line was a little lower but I honestly think under 7 should be a good bet in this spot for Uconn against Purdue.  Looking at Uconn they hold the rebounding advantage big time in this game.  Uconn should be able to expose the offense of Purdue for what it is a jump shooting team.  Like Purdue last game I see them laying an egg in this game vs. a very hot Uconn team whom I believe is peaking at the right time now.  Trends favor Purdue as an underdog in there roll in the tourney but I believe Uconn will be able to cover this line and win by 7+.  Trends point to the Over in this game as well. 

 

Uconn and –1.5 and Pitt –2- 5 point teaser for 3 units-  I think both lines are about right in these games and I think both teams win and I just don’t trust the FT’s for the win. 

 

 

Memphis –4 for 5 units- This team is peaking at the right time and they match up very well against Missouri.   Both teams have great ATS trends so no big advantage here.  Memphis has the biggest advantage on the boards and this will provide them with more second opportunity shots in this game.  Also as we all know Memphis has the better D and this should be the difference in this game. 

 

Nova ML for 3 units- This line is screaming for people to bet on Duke both of these teams look identical to each other and with Duke history of dropping in this round I have to give the advantage here to Nova.  Both teams will play well and this game is dead even.  Big advantage to trends go against Duke just look at these

·                                 Blue Devils are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. Big East.

·                                 Blue Devils are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 NCAA Tournament games.

·                                 Blue Devils are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite.

Blue Devils are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5.
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$$YoungBuck$$ says:
03/25/09 09:04PM
               
cgailey52 says:
03/25/09 09:44PM
GL Pimp,

 

Really like the Nova and Uconn picks.   I hate to see you on the other side of my tigers but I also have watched Memphis and you are dead on they are peaking at the right time.  I think that one big thing in that game is the rebounding.  Missouri was putrid against Marquette in giving up offensive rebounds especially in the 2nd half.  If Dozier has a big day on the offensive boards it could spell alot of trouble for Mizzou.  

 

Either way GL on the card. 

volstud50 says:
03/25/09 09:56PM
PIMP - I haven't posted for tomorrow yet but you covered all of my thoughts on those 3 games. Hope it is good that we see eye to eye on all of those!
kobiedog says:
03/25/09 09:58PM
Does the off court distraction affect your view on UCONN?  Just curious.
ballparkfranks says:
03/25/09 11:20PM
pimp bol 2marrow with u on most plays
ballparkfranks says:
03/25/09 11:23PM
[Quote: Originally Posted by kobiedog] Does the off court distraction affect your view on UCONN?  Just curious.
in all honesty did anyone really think that this didn't go on in college basketball? ask these kids bout meal plans and u will understand a little more. This distraction wont take anything away from uconn love the play 
WiseGuys-R-Us says:
03/26/09 12:24AM
Yea, this is not new news for ANY university dealing with major sports. One way or another you will get funded. The big time players even more, I know I got a check every semester for 5,400 and 3,900 for summer session. For what reason? So called "Living Expenses." Thats not a shit load of money but getting close to 15K a year for playing hoops. It goes on at every school, in every conference, for EVERY SPORT. Even the girls soccer team was getting funds. Not anything like mens basketball but they were getting like 1,800 a semester. The whole thing is a joke, if your going to do this CRACK DOWN on all schools and teams. Just don't pick and chose as you may feel.

The whole thing with FSU football team and other sports is a complete fucking joke too. What do you expect when you offer online classe? Do you really think kids at all schools, athelets or not aren't having group sessions with their laptops taking these together 4-5 kids at a time from the confines of their own dorms/apts etc.? Some of the online classes you had to show up and take a live midterm and final, but for the classes you didn't I knew people that paid a couple hundred bucks and had somebody take the complete class. It goes on at all Universities athelets or not!
tmpeus78 says:
03/26/09 08:41AM
BOL pimp! Like the Card!! 
ben3496 says:
03/26/09 09:11AM
BOL, Pimp, my man, you've been money for me and a lot of people for the hoops season, Thank you!!  Lets finish the tourney strong and keep it rolling right into bases!!
Riverboy says:
03/26/09 10:19AM
I think the allegations from 2006 just help Calhoun circle the wagons and promote an "us against the world" mentality and that Uconn uses this to their advantage. If it were current players it might be a distraction.

Pimp, I have similar thinking on all three games (and not in a small way). I look forward to everyone who is going this way cashing with us.

thehuntman says:
03/26/09 10:23AM
Hey Pimp: It might be better to play Pitt/Uconn on a ML parlay as opposed to a teaser. The parlay is -133 and I believe a 2 team 5pt teaser is -130. A little safer with the parlay though because each team just has to win the game instead of Pitt by 3 and Uconn by 2 on the teaser.

 

Thanks for sharing your plays and good luck!! 

Attila says:
03/26/09 10:50AM
Pimp you may have just talked me off the Memphis game.  Generally I make a decision and then bounce it off your picks.  If I'm against you I "usually" stay away.  The difference I've seen in your comments versus my analysis center around the importance of defense versus pace.

 

While I am a strong believer that Memphis' defense is somewhat better than MU's I felt that MU's pace of play and offensive efficiency evened that out thinking that they will have more possessions than Memphis and use them better.

 

What are your thoughts on how MU's fevered pitch of play will impact the Memphis team?

 

As always appreciate your insight and GL.

chefmikeg says:
03/26/09 11:02AM
thehuntman says:
03/26/09 11:19AM
  Just out of curiousity what book offers a 2 team 5pt teaser at -110. I don't play alot of teasers but the 3 books I have are all -130 for that type of teaser.

 

Rip100 says:
03/26/09 12:50PM
$$YoungBuck$$ says:
03/26/09 12:54PM
GL today fellas
Love the picks today, been all over them since the lines came out
Uconn has been unstoppable and Calhoun wants to make statement. Too strong for Purdue!
Especially like Nova ML....Duke wont be able to handle the tough guard play! Might bet for the half also.
Need a big day today, NIT has been great for me but not NCAA tourney .
Gonna hop on your money train Pimp and tail you on Memphis! Lets get it
Rip100 says:
03/26/09 01:03PM

Sixteen schools remain in the NCAA Tournament and the first two rounds have been all about favorites, with the top 12 seeds advancing. If you’re into heavyweight battles, then you better not miss the action on tap for this weekend. Cinderella has left the dance early and most pundits expect classic clashes between the top programs in the country.

While picking straight up winners has been simplistic in the tournament, predicting the outcome against the point-spread hasn’t been as easy. Depending where you shop and play, most books had the favorites go 25-22-1 through the first 48 games. Sixteen of those games had double-digit spreads posted and we mention that because there are no games with 10-point lines or higher this week, which also stresses how competitive the games should be.

Since predicting the Final Four is expected to become much tougher here on out, a lot of handicappers and gamblers have leaned their action toward totals. The betting public is known to shade to the favorites and ‘over’ tickets and they’ve benefited this March.

Through the first 48 games, the ‘over’ has gone 27-21 (56%) and that includes a sizzling 11-5 on Saturday and Sunday. Delving into the numbers further, it seemed like the lower totals listed in the 130’s and 140’s easily went ‘over’, while any total remotely close to 150 cashed ‘under’ tickets.

Six contests had a total in the 150-range and the ‘under’ went 5-1 in those games. North Carolina (90.2 PPG) entered the Big Dance as the highest scoring team in the field of 65 and Roy Williams team didn’t disappoint in the first weekend. The Tar Heels posted 101 and 84 yet both of their games went ‘under' the number.

This weekend, North Carolina faces Gonzaga and the ‘over/under’ listed is hovering around 163 points, which is the highest on the board. The Bulldogs saw both of their first two games go ‘over’ in the tourney, as the team scored 77 and 83 in their victories. , “The ‘over’ is on an 8-2 run for Gonzaga, but this is its highest total of the year. The Bulldogs’ three highest totals this year ranged from 154 ½ to 157 ½ in their two games against Tennessee and one meeting with Oklahoma State. Two of those three games stayed ‘under.’ But it’s really hard to pull the trigger on an ‘under’ in a UNC game, especially with Ty Lawson back in the lineup. The ‘over’ is 9-3 in UNC’s last 12 games with Lawson.”

What’s hard about handicapping the tournament is that sometimes regular season trends don’t mean squat and Memphis is a perfect example. John Calipari’s team is considered by many to be the best defensive team in this field, evidenced by their points allowed (57.6 PPG) and defensive field goal percentage allowed (36.6). Prior to the tournament, the Tigers’ strong unit has helped the ‘under’ go 22-10 (69%) during the regular season.

Despite those crazy numbers, not many gamblers expected the Memphis offense to explode for 81 and 89 points in its first two tournament games. The Tigers were helped by the 3-ball (21) in their victories and could go deep if they continue to fall. Will we see another shootout when Memphis meets Missouri on Thursday?

 Calipari’s squad has been racking up ‘unders’ galore all year, but that has been against C-USA foes that struggle to put up points against a Memphis lineup that’s bigger and more athletic. In the first two games of the Tournament for Memphis, the ‘over’ has hit both times with scoring tallies of 159 and 151."

"The biggest reason why I like the ‘over’ in this game is because of the pace we’re going to get. Mike Anderson is a disciple of Nolan Richardson and his “40 minutes of hell” mentality. Missouri is going to press the entire game and Memphis is going to attack the press to score, so there’s no doubt we’ll get the pace we want. The only way this game stays ‘under’ is if both teams shoot a horrible percentage. Las Vegas Sports Consultants sent the number out at 143. I thought it should’ve been 147. As of Wednesday, most spots had it at 141. It’s hard not to LOVE the ‘over’ here!”

Rip100 says:
03/26/09 01:04PM

Thursday (3/26)

Purdue vs. Connecticut (134): The Huskies have been on a roll lately, scoring 117, 103 and 92 points in their last three. Hard to see UConn come close to those numbers this week, especially against a Purdue team that slows it down. Only two of the last 10 opponents have busted 70 points against Purdue.

Xavier vs. Pittsburgh (139): The Panthers just played a pair of run ‘n shoot teams in the first and second round and now meet a school that plays more to their style. Pitt has seen the ‘under’ go 3-1 the last four, while Xavier is on a 7-2 ‘under’ run. Both teams like to pound the ball inside and play defense. The Musketeers have held nine of their last 10 opponents under 65 points or less.

Missouri vs. Memphis (141): Missouri likes to run but their defense has helped the ‘under’ go 4-1 in their last five encounters. Memphis was known to be an ‘under’ team (see above) but lately the offense has been on fire. Prior to its two game ‘over’ run, the ‘under’ had cashed in 12 straight.

Villanova vs. Duke (148): If the bombs fall from the outside, this number is certainly doable. What Villanova might not know is that Duke is a very good defensive team, considering the ACC doesn’t really stress it that much. The Blue Devils are great at frustrating teams and they take a ton of charges. Still, the tempo and shots will be there and it’s just a matter of making them. The Wildcats and Blue Devils both saw their first two opening games go ‘over’ the number.

Friday (3/27)

Arizona vs. Louisville (139.5): The Cardinals are going to push the pace in this matchup ala Rick Pitino’s press but the Wildcats have a point guard that is capable of breaking it. This matchup comes down to the half-court sets and whether or not these teams can connect. The Cards have seen the ‘under’ go 4-2 in their last six, while the Wildcats are on a 7-3 ‘over’ roll.

Syracuse vs. Oklahoma (153): The Orange (21-12) and the Sooners (16-11) have both been cashing ‘over’ tickets all year long. The ‘over’ is 7-3 in Syracuse’s last 10 and the lone three ‘under’ tickets only occurred because its opponents scored 58, 40 and 44. Oklahoma has the big (Blake Griffin) in the paint and the shooters on the outside, which have been off in the first two games of the tourney. The number does seem a little inflated for two teams that struggle from the charity stripe, which should be used often for this matchup.

Kansas vs. Michigan State (138): These two schools met in January and Michigan State earned a 75-62 win over Kansas in East Lansing. The combined 137 points never threatened the closing number of 145 and only looks somewhat respectable because they combined for 84 in the final 20 minutes. The number on the ‘over/under’ for this clash comes in lower and a lot are expecting another slug it out affair. Even though the Big 10 is considered boring at best by some, Michigan State did lead the league in offense. At the same time, the Big 12 was compared to a track meet at times but Bill Self’s team was the second best defensive club.

Gonzaga vs. North Carolina (163): Highest total on the board and it’s hard to argue against either team not getting to 81 points a piece, which is all you need for an ‘over’ ticket. The trend has been to go against these high numbers in the tournament but the combination of super-fast point guards, consistent shooters and big men that can hit free throws certainly makes this one look like a high-scoring affair.

WiseGuys-R-Us says:
03/26/09 01:25PM


Not speaking for pimp but i think he has bookmaker and 5dimes.

I have 5 dimes all 4 point teasers for bball/6pt for nfl are EVEN money. 5 pt bball teasers and 7 pt nfl teasers are -110.

5dimes is the best online book in my opinion. Quick payouts, reduced juice on ALLLL SPORTS. and by far the best parlay/teaser lines.

Also, from time to time I get bored and i will do mini parlays. I like boxing and UFC but Im not going to risk my roll so I will throw half a unit on the entire 5 fight card. Its great I would recommend it.
landis1717 says:
03/26/09 01:48PM
BOL pimp hope everyones ready for our 7-11 showdown. card looks different so this could get interesting
BigBaby11 says:
03/26/09 02:42PM
KSnap924 says:
03/26/09 03:16PM
Nice card Pimp! GL
$$YoungBuck$$ says:
03/27/09 07:05PM
Pimp much respect to your picks I wish i wasnt on other side of some of them I guess I wont be on very many games now
$$YoungBuck$$ says:
03/27/09 07:07PM
Oh GL today Pimp

$$YoungBuck$$ says:
03/27/09 10:50PM
Its cool Pimp, I was actually on opposite sides of most, sorry about the rough day though.
You really shouldnt say sorry when people,including myself , have made a lot of money because of your insight. Dont worry about haters or any negative people. A winning record is all you can show it doesnt matter if one night you dont kill it. Shake the day off and lets make that coin tomm and the rest of the tourney!
BOL on the rest of the tourney
bandit1010 says:
03/27/09 06:02PM
Good to see you over here, pimp.  It' a a good crowd.  GL!
Onthereal says:
03/26/09 09:52PM
gl pimp
Spitfire15 says:
03/27/09 05:45PM
Rip100 says:
03/26/09 03:38PM
Just trying to help with info..thats all
MidniteWriter says:
03/27/09 03:07AM
nice work pimp!
MidniteWriter says:
03/27/09 05:42PM
I think Cuse was 11-1 straight-up vs. non-conf teams including Kansas & Memphis.

Mich State lost in Swt 16 last year but they are better now and KU is not as good.

Like Cuse & Mich St to move on. Leaning Zags too. BOL

jbboostin says:
03/27/09 03:49AM
good work player..i thought i was the only cheezedick on mem, what a letdown. although i did cash my biggest bet of the year on mem 2h team total over 42

gl tomorrow playa..

typeone says:
03/26/09 06:38PM
pimp, really like nova here, the 2' isn't needed.
typeone says:
03/27/09 05:20PM
gonz might win this one pimp.
Iron_horse says:
03/27/09 06:04PM
Thanks for pimping oops I mean posting   
Riverboy says:
03/27/09 12:29AM
Pimp, with you on the nice day. Never would've guessed Memphis was going to come out on the wrong side of a track meet but the other pickw worked out well.

Lets do it again Friday.

Need to regroup and post plays tomorrow

Riverboy says:
03/27/09 09:06AM
Todays NCAA:

Leans on: Louiville over 139, Kansas +1, Zaga +9 (buy the hook).

Unlike last night where I really liked multiple games and and only got shocked by Mizzou, today I only have one strong play.

POD= Syracuse Orangemen. Oklahoma is not going to be able to keep up with their guard play and Blake cannot do it by himself. If Rautins & Devendorf are hot this could get ugly early. No worries here about Flynn under pressure or being tired because of cumulative effect. The only worry is that the whole covers world is on this game.

Forty7 says:
03/26/09 03:25PM
Is this Pimp's thread it looks like Rip's

 

 

Forty7 says:
03/27/09 06:05PM

BigBaby11 says:
03/27/09 04:26PM
blame landis1717 its his fault
BigBaby11 says:
03/27/09 04:44PM
finally landis posted...he is going to lose anyway
BigBaby11 says:
03/27/09 05:10PM

 

dont need to man, happy to say I have been following pimp....he is 14 games over .500...been flat betting.... thats +14 units so far minus a bit of juice

BigBaby11 says:
03/26/09 09:46PM
what a great start to the night perfect
ben3496 says:
03/27/09 09:56AM
Thanks Pimp!!
ben3496 says:
03/27/09 01:08PM
If you look around, you can find his plays. A little effort is needed.
tmpeus78 says:
03/27/09 08:46AM


tmpeus78 says:
03/26/09 05:02PM
This thread is !!!
tmpeus78 says:
03/27/09 12:30AM
Great night bro!!! 
tmpeus78 says:
03/27/09 01:03AM

yeah, I hear ya! Lately the day games have gotten crazy!! 
sailing58 says:
03/26/09 11:02PM
DANG  MEMPHIS can they cover 2H 
sailing58 says:
03/26/09 11:04PM
Hey Pimp thanks for that Teaser and Conn. That was the first teaser I hit in the tour so far . Record now 1-5
landis1717 says:
03/27/09 04:50PM


says the guy who doesn't pick his own plays.


BOL tonight pimp
WiseGuys-R-Us says:
03/27/09 04:58PM


I'm the guy who has common sense unlike the asshole who has 131 posts all of which are asking Pimp "ANY PLAYS TODAY", "ANY BASEBALL" as if he hasn't posted his plays for this community EVERYDAY for the last YEAR.

Your comment was pretty rude as if Pimp was with holding plays from you specifically because he PM'ed them to somebody else.

"so i have to be a friend to gets pick from u then pimp........good luck then"




WiseGuys-R-Us says:
03/27/09 06:02PM


Thanks for not getting into a war of words and then curse at me. This is what the bigger person does......................................
WiseGuys-R-Us says:
03/27/09 04:20PM


Cricket you should be honored to know your possibly in consideration for a nice award. 


You have to be in consideration for the most annoying fuck on covers. Settle down, every day you ask the same shit. When has he not posted his plays for you and everybody else to see?
He is in the middle of a tournament competition in which he doesn't want his opponent to see. Wait an hour, come back, breathe, play the game, make some money, have fun, go to bed a winner for once in your life
stereoneeds says:
03/27/09 12:53PM
incase you missed it here are his baseball plays for today:

"First plays of today are Houston, Florida and Tampa

Playing LAA in the afternoon will be searching for other games later today"

volstud50 says:
03/27/09 10:36AM
Great job last night! We saw eye to eye and it turned out good. Hoping we can do the same today! Best of Luck
kudar says:
03/27/09 04:06PM
calm down, im sure he will post his plays
kudar says:
03/27/09 08:26PM
im on the cuse and zona in a teaser and cuse +3. not looking good at all on either one so far.... BOL pimp
SHENY says:
03/27/09 08:44PM
GL PIMP
HoyasSax says:
03/27/09 10:43PM
Pimp tailed you on the first two....against on the late games...when you releasing tomorrows card? also, you release a daily card during baseball season?
Freeway says:
03/27/09 10:57PM
Pimp this is my first post but ive been following you for awhile. I just got home from the Yankees game and seen the bad news. No apologies needed your the man. Thanks for the winnings.
cricket2009 says:
03/27/09 05:11PM
wise im not going to get into a war of words with u........go fuck urself
cricket2009 says:
03/27/09 12:23PM
pimp any baseball........
cricket2009 says:
03/27/09 04:23PM
wise........who the fuck r u
cricket2009 says:
03/27/09 04:02PM
so i have to be a friend to gets pick from u then pimp........good luck then
Sig0703 says:
03/27/09 06:11PM
Good Luck tonight Pimp!
ben3496 says:
03/28/09 12:01AM
Head up Pimp, sat is a new day!I hate fridays anyway, they always kill me.  I'm having a hold'em tourney sat night at my house so hopefullly I can win a little !!!  BOL, talk at you in the am. 

 

 

WiseGuys-R-Us says:
03/27/09 11:30PM
Pimp, Keep your head up. One night means nothing. The best part about this is no matter what happens today, tomorrow is a new day. Your never as good as your 4-0 days and your never as bad as your 0-4 days. Keep doing what you do and most importantly keep confident
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