Quad_17's Blog

Posted 4 hours, 39 minutes ago

Wrong team favored, stupid line movement

Timberwolves favored by 4.5, on the road! I thought Philly +2 was a steal last night and the spread would become pickem or 76ers as the favorite, instead I lost out on 2.5 points (which would suck if Philly loses by 3 or 4, even 2 wouldn't count as a win ATS for me). Unless the home team is missing someone real significant then why is the road team favored in a game between teams are on a simular level? I have no idea why a team as horrible as the Timberwolves would even be laying 1 point on the road let alone almost 5. Philly has looked better than Minnesota lately (though not by much) and won at Minn for their first game of the year. This game is a rematch of Philly's first win after an 0-17 start that prevented them from tying the record. While this doesn't always work out if the home team in a game won on the road earlier in the season against a team of the same level and isn't missing anyone, then why on earth aren't they the favorite? Barring a surprise absence this should be a "wrong team favored" game!


Posted Tuesday, January 13, 2015 02:59 PM

Is LeBron playing tonight?

Pretty much determines the play, Cavs +4 if he does, Suns -4 if he is still out.


Posted Sunday, December 28, 2014 07:14 PM

Cavs blown out by Pistons

Really? A trash team like that beats you by 23 in YOUR HOUSE to boot!


Posted Sunday, December 28, 2014 12:56 PM

Line movements that make no sense

Chargers who are in a win and their in lose and their out go from +1 to +3 against a team missing their quarterback, why?

Giants meanwhile are on a 3 game winning streak and the Eagles a 3 game losing streak, even losing to the lowly Redskins and the line has moved from Giants -3 to pick or even Eagles -1 in some places, why?


Posted Sunday, December 28, 2014 01:45 AM

NBA Gods strike

Timberwolves Magically score 22 points in the last 5 minutes leading to a backdoor cover and possibly a cover even to people who teased the spread possibly as low as -13.5, leading by 27 (94-67) in the 4th quarter with under 8 minutes to go with the Timberwolves yet to score in that quarter and magically being outscored 30-16, 22-10 in the final 5 minutes to a team that rarely if ever plays well appears to say only 1 thing, NBA gods punishing people laying 17-19.5 points?! For those that may also follow NFL, this reminds me of the season the Colts were putrid and the Patriots were 20 or 20.5 point favorites at home, lead by 28 after 3 and won by a mere single TD, being outscored 21-0 in the 4th quarter by an eventual 2-14 team. That screamed NFL gods punishing people laying 20+ despite that it looked reealistically possible both going into the game and in the 2nd half only to lose and not even be close to the spread.


Posted Saturday, December 27, 2014 09:09 PM

Biggest spread in NBA history?

Warriors are laying 19 against the Timberwolves
Take Minn with all those points or go for it with GS?!


Posted Friday, December 26, 2014 03:17 AM

Not paying attention and probably paid for it

Patriots opened at -10.5 over the Bills having already clinched home-field advantage. I recon this line came out before the Broncos/Bengals game. Bengals win clinched homefield for the Pats hence nothing to play for meaning I doubt Tom Brady plays. Line has now plummeted down to -5 which passes a key margin (7) and 2 other significant margins (6 and 10). I did not take Buffalo is because I was thinking about how they were eliminated against the Raiders and did not think about the game becoming all meaningless. Could this be a good thing in disguise (NE still finds a way to win by 11+ afterall), a lost cause (NE wins by 6-10), a semi-lost cause which is very unlikely (NE wins by 5) or No harm no foul (NE wins by 1-4 or Buffalo wins)?


Posted Sunday, December 21, 2014 02:47 PM

Never seen anything like this in my life

and probably will never see it again.
Joe Flacco 3 for 18 27 yards 0 TDs 2 INTs
Ravens have 31 total yards
and biggest of all a ZERO point ZERO rating (apparently I just learned that negatives are impossible since Flacco continues to throw incompletes and it stays a 0.0)


Posted Wednesday, November 21, 2012 01:34 PM

Princeton @ Syracuse

Syracuse is -14.5 at the Dome and Princeton is only 1-2 with a 4 point win at Buffalo who is 1-5 so it seems like -14.5 is a steal but I remember Syracuse being in a similar situation at home against Marshall and that ended up being a 6 point margin. Trap? Or 30+ slam dunk win?


Posted Wednesday, March 28, 2012 03:08 PM

Why are the Pistons laying points?

The Cavs have won both games so far and I haven't heard that anyone major is out.
I'm not falling for this Vegas lure. Cavs +1.5


Posted Saturday, February 25, 2012 11:47 PM

High Total for NBA All Star Game

283.5!

Last years game had 291 points (which would have even been over this amount), 2010 had 280 (Over the 262.5 Total for that season but Under if this years Total were used), and in 2009 the game went just Over the 263 Total with 265 points and a dunk at the end gave over the win. But if this years Total were used that game would be way Under.

I know there is no defense but that is a 15.5 point increase on last years total of 268. In a season that started late (due to lockout) has had a shortage of games in which 100+ are scored by either team in that game (granted those aren't absolute defenseless like an All Star game) why such a big increase? Does Vegas want Under to win because Under hasn't won in a while (the entire time I've been on covers) or is this years All Star game going to be the highest scoring one yet?


Posted Saturday, February 11, 2012 05:21 PM

Please Cancel Alabama bets on the NCAAB contest page

I locked in Alabama well before the Breaking news of their suspentions now I'd like to take LSU but can't because they won't let me remove picks I've made even though the game hasn't started. I want to take LSU but at the very least my Alabama picks should not count!


Posted Wednesday, February 08, 2012 07:48 PM

Vegas mind game or trap?

Notre Dame is hot why is West Virginia laying 7 points?

Posted Sunday, January 15, 2012 03:29 PM

Are you kidding me Texans/Ravens

After 30 points get scored in the 1st half no one scores in the 2nd half.
Should have been a certain Over 37. Worst loss this ultimate race for sure.


Posted Tuesday, January 03, 2012 11:51 PM

I have Over 51 on the Michigan/Virginia Tech game

My Over pick is alive due to OT but at 20-20 since 12 points are needed their is no guarantee. If both teams get TDs in the 1st OT this will go over but if the team going 1st gets a FG the other needs a FG, not a TD to keep over alive....more


Posted Monday, January 02, 2012 11:46 AM

I picked Orlando -3 but....

it says -3.5 as soon as I hit submit.


Posted Wednesday, December 28, 2011 12:58 PM

4 consecutive 1-3 days

I fell from the lower 100s to 389.
A Push is basically the same as a loss in UR.


Posted Tuesday, December 20, 2011 06:28 PM

Why do we have to pick NBA preseason games

Those games don't mean anything to the NBA players so why does it count for ultimate race.


Posted Wednesday, November 30, 2011 08:53 PM

Why is Minnesota favored by 3.5 without Mbakwe

The line should be about 3.5 the other way with Virginia Tech laying the points. It seems like when it looks obvious the other team covers. However how is Minnesota expected to not only win by cover 3.5 without their BEST player?


Posted Wednesday, November 02, 2011 10:46 PM

Boise State @ UNLV

Boise State is a 41 point favorite AND the Game total is 41.
In other words a Vegas is expecting Vegas to be shutout.

This is extremely rare in fact has this ever happened before?


Posted Wednesday, May 04, 2011 09:55 PM

Over/Unders go the wrong way 3/4 of the time

Was/Phi Under 9. There were 0 runs after 4 1/2, then 8 runs get scored in the bottom 5th- all of the 6th, then after quiet 7th and 8th innings a 3 run homer occurs with 2 outs in the 9th.
Meanwhile the Orioles and Royals have 3 lowly runs and of course I had to take Over 9.


Posted Friday, April 22, 2011 12:51 AM

Why are the Magic laying points?

The Magic aren't playing well and the Hawks match up well against them unlike last year. The Magic recent form doesn't impress me enough to make me believe that they steal a game on the road. Give me Hawks +1.5


Posted Wednesday, April 13, 2011 10:56 PM

Way to go Spurs

laying down against a non playoff team when their is a potential tiebreaker to get.
Spurs -3


Posted Wednesday, April 13, 2011 10:41 PM

Never trust c rap teams

28 points in the 2nd half by the CRAPTORS, 10 in the 4th quarter.
I figured that since Miami will play it's scrubs the Craptors will win and cover -4.5, they only lost the cover by 22.5 points!!!!!


Posted Wednesday, April 13, 2011 12:15 AM

St. Louis Cardinals pitching

has been brutal at best I must say....................
Is this a record Arizona has scored in the first 6 innings, now lets see if they can add a run or more in the 7th and 8th, currently lead 13-8.


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