Posted Monday, November 17, 2008 03:48 PM
Anyone who wants to know where I am....
I am under the Username Randizzle14 Only. I am currently only Posting at 2 locations.
1. www.therx.com
2. www.statfox.com
These are the only 2 places on the web that I can be found. All other websites with anyone named Randizzle posting is a "Fraud", "Scammer". Also, I am NOT sending out ANY e-mails with plays either. All my plays are currently FREE at the two reputable forums above. If you see someone else posting under my name call them out and inform them thay are the lowest form of life we have.
Dizz
Posted Friday, October 31, 2008 04:48 AM
Was tired of Physics.....sitting there taking a break, and a light bulb turned on .....Realized a key component I could use to come up with what I believe to be "pretty accurate" Ranking System. Anyway ran a spread sheet, plugged in the formula and here is what is spit out. I'm not sure if this is useful at All or not. I feel there can be value here, haven't really broke it down. I was just taking a break and thought I would provide you guys with something else to help analyze games for the week.
Wouldn't call these power rankings because there are added components to it that I do not include in powere rankings......Honestly not sure what you would call these. Take it for what it's worth...
1
Florida
71.85
2
USC
71.51
3
Missouri Tigers
67.86
4
Texas
65.83
5
Penn State Nittany Lions
65.10
6
Oklahoma Sooners
64.02
7
Texas Tech Red Raiders
62.14
8
Oklahoma State Cowboys
61.39
9
Boise State Broncos
60.44
10
Alabama Crimson Tide
59.61
11
TCU
59.30
12
Iowa Hawkeyes
56.31
13
Georgia Bulldogs
55.13
14
Ohio State Buckeyes
54.77
15
Oregon Ducks
5...
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Posted Thursday, October 30, 2008 03:39 AM
Game 1
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AIR FORCE (6 - 2) at ARMY (3 - 5)
Week 10 Saturday, 11/1/2008 12:00 PM
In a rivalry game where it is obvious that both teams know eachothers game plan (running), people are curious why I choose this game on the board when "It could go either way". Well the fact is that any game can go any way. I.E. Stanford beating USC last year. There is no such thing as a sure game, but there are games that you can find value in and statistically have an advatage when choosing the right team.
We know both teams can rush the ball, and do it well but the Falcons have the edge. They are averaging 291 Rushing yards/game and 347/game on the Road. Army is very impressive as well on the ground with 247 yards/game, but at home that drops off too 217 yards/game. This may not seem like much, but that's a difference of 130ypg between the two teams given the current situation.
As far as passing goes, it is almost not even worth noting due to the fact both teams are averaging less than 10 attempts/game.
The one stat (and possibly most important stat in Football) that lured me into this game more than any is Turnovers. Air Force is a well disciplined team that takes care of the ball. They have 10 Giveaways this season and 18 takeaways. nearly a 2to1 ratio on the + side for them. On the other side, Army is not as efficient. They have give the ball away 17 times this season while only managing 9 Takeaways. That alone tells me Airforce should have 2 to 3...
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Posted Saturday, October 25, 2008 04:59 AM
Game 1
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VIRGINIA (4 - 3) at GEORGIA TECH (6 - 1)
Week 9 Saturday, 10/25/2008 3:30 PM
Play Against - Road underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (VIRGINIA) - off an extremely close win by 3 points or less over a conference rival against opponent off a win against a conference rival.
(29-7 since 1992.) (80.6%)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 15.1
The average score in these games was: Team 38.1, Opponent 15.9 (Average point differential = +22.2)*
My Math Model predicts them winning by 22.5 points.*
The situation's record this season is:(1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is:(6-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (12-2).
Virginia is 4-16 ATS in road games vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game
VIRGINIA is 2-12 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging >=5.9 yards/play
VIRGINIA is 1-10 ATS in road games off an upset win as an underdog
VIRGINIA is 1-10 ATS in road games off an upset win as an underdog
Overall effiency:
Effiency is very important in Football, offensively and defensively. My effiency ratings have the two teams ranked as the following.
Rating: Georgia Tech: 7th
Rating: Virginia: 90th
Also, I have calculated my own Power Ratings for these Teams. Here are the Rankings.
Georgia Tech: 9th
Virginia: 55th
Coaching Trends:
Groh is 3-14 ATS in road games off a win aga... [More]
Posted Saturday, October 25, 2008 04:54 AM
Week 2:
Weekly Record:
Premium: 1-0-0 (+5 Units)
Regular Plays: 4-1-0 (+8.8 Units)
Week 3:
Weekly Record:
Premium Play: 1-0-0 (+5 Units)
Regular Plays: 4-1-1 (+7.8 Units)
Week 4:
Weekly Record:
Premium Plays: 2-0-0 (+10 Units)
Regular Plays: 3-0-0 (+9 Units)
Week 5:
Weekly Record:
Premium Play: None
Regular Plays: 5-3-0 (+5.1 Units)
Opinions: 8-2-0
Week 6:
Weekly Record:
Premium Play: None
Regular Play: 7-3-0 (+12.3 Units)
Opinions: 3-0-0
Week 7:
Weekly Records:
Premium Play: 1-0-0 (+5 Units)
Regular Plays: 3-3-0 (-1.8 Units)
Week 8
Premium Play: 0-1-0 (-5.5 Units)
Regular Plays : 5-4-0 (-2 Units)
OVERALL YTD:
--------------
Premium Plays: 5-1-0 (83%) (+19.5 Units)
Regular Plays: 31-15-1 (67%) (+39.2 Units)
Opinions: 11-2-0 (85%)
Season YTD= 47-18-1 (72.3%) (+58.5 Units)
GL, Dizz
...
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Posted Wednesday, October 15, 2008 09:29 AM
Week 2:
Premium Play- Oklahoma -21 (5 Units) (WINNER)
Regular Play- Georgia -24 (3 Units) (WINNER)
Regular Play- Kansas -20.5 (3 Units) (WINNER)
Regular Play- Texas Tech -10 (3 Units) (WINNER)
Regular Play- Iowa -26.5 (3 Units) (WINNER)
Regular Play- Oregon St. +16 (2 Units) (loss)
Opinions: None
Weekly Record:
Premium: 1-0-0 (+5 Units)
Regular Plays: 4-1-0 (+8.8 Units)
Week 3:
Premium Play: Georgia Bulldogs -6.5 (5 Units)(WINNER)
Regular Play: Maryland +15.5 (3 Units) (WINNER)
Regular Play: Missouri -26 (3 Units) (WINNER)
Regular Play: Ohio St. +12 (2 Units) (loss)
Regular Play: Wisconsin -2 (2 Units) (WINNER)
Regular Play: Tar Heels +6.5 (2 Units)(WINNER)
Regular Play: USF -3 (2 Units)(Push)
Opinions: None
Weekly Record:
Premium Play: 1-0-0 (+5 Units)
Regular Plays: 4-1-1 (+7.8 Units)
Week 4:
Premium Play: Troy +21 vs Ohio St. (5 Units) (WINNER)
Premium Play: Navy +7 (5 Units) (WINNER)
Regular Play: Louisville +4 (3 Units) (WINNER)
Regular Play: Iowa +1 (3 Units) (Push)
Regular Play: Vanderbilt +7 (3 Units) (WINNER)
Regular Play: Georgia -6.5 (3 Units) (WINNER)
Opinions: None
Weekly Record:
Premium Plays: 2-0-0 (+10 Units)
Regular Plays: 3-0-0 (+9 Units)
Week 5:
Regular Play: SMU +18 (3 Units) (WINNER)
Regular Play: LSU -23.5 (3 Units) (loss)
Regular Play: Ball St. -17 (3 Units) (WINNER)
Regular Play: Louisvill...
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