Game 1
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VIRGINIA (4 - 3) at GEORGIA TECH (6 - 1)
Week 9 Saturday, 10/25/2008 3:30 PM

Play Against - Road underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (VIRGINIA) - off an extremely close win by 3 points or less over a conference rival against opponent off a win against a conference rival.
(29-7 since 1992.) (80.6%)

The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 15.1
The average score in these games was: Team 38.1, Opponent 15.9 (Average point differential = +22.2)*
My Math Model predicts them winning by 22.5 points.*
The situation's record this season is:(1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is:(6-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (12-2).

Virginia is 4-16 ATS in road games vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game
VIRGINIA is 2-12 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging >=5.9 yards/play
VIRGINIA is 1-10 ATS in road games off an upset win as an underdog
VIRGINIA is 1-10 ATS in road games off an upset win as an underdog

Overall effiency:
Effiency is very important in Football, offensively and defensively. My effiency ratings have the two teams ranked as the following.
Rating: Georgia Tech: 7th
Rating: Virginia: 90th

Also, I have calculated my own Power Ratings for these Teams. Here are the Rankings.
Georgia Tech: 9th
Virginia: 55th

Coaching Trends:
Groh is 3-14 ATS in road games off a win against a conference rival as the coach of VIRGINIA.
Groh is 5-18 ATS in road games after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers as the coach of VIRGINIA.

Trends From Thu. Aug 31, 2006 To Sat. Oct 25, 2008
Virginia Cavaliers are 0-3-0 ATS As Away (10 -> 13.5)
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets are 8-3-0 ATS After 1 Unders (All Lines)

Personally I Really like this game. If line gets to 10 I will make it a PREMIUM Pick.

I am Taking Georgia Tech -12 (2 Units)*


Will probably upgrade at some point this week. Want too see the line movement in this game*

GL, Dizz

Game 3
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RICE (4 - 3) at TULANE (2 - 4)
Week 9 Saturday, 10/25/2008 3:00 PM

Neither team is exactly the type of team you want to wager on, but when there is value, there is value. Plain and simple. Based on my numbers, Rice has a large statistical advantage in this game. Offensively, defensively, and those numbers are calculated based upon the SOS as well. Rice is 4-3 ATS this year and Tulane is 4-2 ATS this year. Rice also has the advantage in the T.O. department. Honestly I don't understand how Tulane could be favored over anyone other than Idaho and North Texas.

Play Against - A home team (TULANE) - after being beaten by the spread by 28 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 28 or more points total in their last three games.
(29-6 over the last 10 seasons.) (82.9%)

The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (11-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (19-6).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (31-8).

My Personal Power Rankings:
Rice- 88th
Tulane- 115th

My Efficiency based on SOS Rankings:
Rice- 84th
Tulane-120th

RICE is 15-5 ATS against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

TULANE is 1-12 ATS after a loss by 3 or less points

Key Trends based upon the Line:
Tulane Green Wave are 3-10-0 ATS After 1 Away (PK -> 2.5)
Tulane Green Wave are 4-11-0 ATS After 2 Losses (PK -> 2.5)
Tulane Green Wave are 7-15-0 ATS As Home (PK -> 2.5)


INJURIES:

Rice Owls:

Date	Time	Player Name	Pos	Status	Injury	Notes
10/21	7:01am	Brian Raines	LB	Questionable	Arm	Raines broke his forearm on the first defensive series against Southern Miss last weekend and will be out for the rest of the season. Raines recorded 17 tackles in four games played this season but is near the top of the Owls' career tackles list. Rice loses not only one of their best players but also the leader of their defense.
10/14	7:06am	Andrew Sendejo	S	Out	Ankle	The results of Sendejo's MRI are not good for the Owls. Their starting SS has a high ankle sprain and will miss 2-4 weeks. Sendejo leads Rice in tackles with 50 and has also intercepted a pass and forced a fumble this season. Redshirt freshman Travis Bradshaw will make his first career start this weekend and replace Sendejo while he's out.
09/17	5:37am	Brandon King	CB	Out For Year	Foot	King injured his foot 9/13 at Vanderbilt and is lost for the season. The senior had started 21 consecutive games at CB and had 12 tackles and 2 interceptions this season. Needless to say the Owls will miss his presence.

Tulane Green Wave: Next game: Rice at Tulane on 10/25
Date	Time	Player Name	Pos	Status	Injury	Notes
10/20	8:09am	Tony Bryant	DT	Doubtful	Ankle	Bryant is dealing with an ankle injury and is unlikely to play this weekend against Rice. Bryant has made three tackles this season while playing in all six of Tulane's games. He is usually a starter, but the Green Wave have a deep defensive line rotation and Bryant does not see a lot of snaps.
10/20	8:08am	Evan Lee	LB	Doubtful	Shoulder	Lee has a separated shoulder and is doubtful to play this weekend against Rice. The linebacker has racked up 22 tackles and two sacks while starting all six of Tulane's games this season.
10/20	8:06am	Travis Burks	LB	Doubtful	Hamstring	Burks is doubtful to play this weekend against Rice. He has been held out of practice during the Green Wave's bye week and does not appear on Tulane's preliminary depth chart. The reserve linebacker has 10 tackles and a sack this season.
10/20	8:05am	Jordan Stephany	FB	Questionable	Foot	Stephany did not play in Tulane's last game against UTEP after spraining his foot the week before against Army. He is questionable to return this weekend against Rice. Stephany is statistically the most heavily relied upon Green Wave fullback and has carried twice for no gain this season while catching five passes for 81 yards this season. True freshman Casey Stelly is listed as the starter on the depth chart.
10/20	8:04am	Cody Blackwelder	FB	Questionable	Pinched Nerve	Blackwelder is questionable to play this weekend against Rice after missing Tulane's last game against UTEP. Blackwelder has one carry for no gain and three receptions for 22 yards this season in a reserve role.
10/07	9:02am	Jeremy Williams	WR	Out	Hand	Williams broke his left hand on 10/4 against Army and is expected to miss 4-6 weeks. Williams is leading Green Wave receiver having hauled in 27 catches for 437 yards and 5 TDs through the season's first five games. Senior Michael Batiste and redshirt sophomore Casey Robottorn are expected to fill in for Williams.

*The line is currently at Rice +2, but I see this becoming a Pk by kickoff. Getting on this game now.


I am Taking Rice +2 (3 Units)