Was tired of Physics.....sitting there taking a break, and a light bulb turned on 
.....Realized a key component I could use to come up with what I believe to be "pretty accurate" Ranking System. Anyway ran a spread sheet, plugged in the formula and here is what is spit out. I'm not sure if this is useful at All or not. I feel there can be value here, haven't really broke it down. I was just taking a break and thought I would provide you guys with something else to help analyze games for the week.Wouldn't call these power rankings because there are added components to it that I do not include in powere rankings......Honestly not sure what you would call these. Take it for what it's worth...
|
1
|
Florida
|
71.85
|
|
2
|
USC
|
71.51
|
|
3
|
Missouri Tigers
|
67.86
|
|
4
|
Texas
|
65.83
|
|
5
|
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
65.10
|
|
6
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Oklahoma Sooners
|
64.02
|
|
7
|
Texas Tech Red Raiders
|
62.14
|
|
8
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Oklahoma State Cowboys
|
61.39
|
|
9
|
Boise State Broncos
|
60.44
|
|
10
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Alabama Crimson Tide
|
59.61
|
|
11
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TCU
|
59.30
|
|
12
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Iowa Hawkeyes
|
56.31
|
|
13
|
Georgia Bulldogs
|
55.13
|
|
14
|
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
54.77
|
|
15
|
Oregon Ducks
|
54.42
|
|
16
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Arizona
|
54.07
|
|
17
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Utah
|
53.13
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|
18
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BYU
|
52.71
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|
19
|
Oregon State Beavers
|
52.69
|
|
20
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California Golden Bears
|
51.72
|
|
21
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Florida State Seminoles
|
51.32
|
|
22
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Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
|
49.88
|
|
23
|
N Carolina Tar Heels
|
48.55
|
|
24
|
Nebraska Cornhuskers
|
47.64
|
|
25
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Vanderbilt Commodores
|
47.40
|
|
26
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Minnesota Golden Gophers
|
47.22
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|
27
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Tulsa Golden Hurricanes
|
47.02
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|
28
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Ole Mississippi Rebels
|
46.87
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|
29
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Illinois Fighting Illini
|
46.60
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|
30
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Miami Hurricanes
|
46.40
|
|
31
|
Ball State Cardinals
|
45.88
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|
32
|
S Carolina Gamecocks
|
45.83
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|
33
|
Clemson Tigers
|
45.34
|
|
34
|
Tennessee Volunteers
|
43.79
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|
35
|
Michigan State Spartans
|
43.67
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|
36
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Air Force Falcons
|
43.63
|
|
37
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Notre Dame Fighting Irish
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43.42
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|
38
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Kansas State Wildcats
|
43.24
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|
39
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S Florida Bulls
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43.06
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|
40
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Kansas Jayhawks
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42.86
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|
41
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LSU State Fighting Tigers
|
42.74
|
|
42
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N Illinois Huskies
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42.62
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|
43
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Connecticut Huskies
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42.51
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|
44
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W Virginia Mountaineers
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42.36
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|
45
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Troy Trojans
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42.28
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|
46
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Kentucky Wildcats
|
42.01
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|
47
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Baylor Bears
|
41.92
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|
48
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Northwestern Wildcats
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41.76
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|
49
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Nevada Wolf Pack
|
41.33
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|
50
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Houston Cougars
|
40.86
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|
51
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Boston College Eagles
|
40.41
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|
52
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San Jose State Spartans
|
39.93
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|
53
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Stanford Cardinal
|
38.87
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|
54
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Louisville Cardinals
|
38.49
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|
55
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Cincinnati Bearcats
|
37.70
|
|
56
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Fresno State Bulldogs
|
37.41
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|
57
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Arkansas State Indians
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37.30
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|
58
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Auburn Tigers
|
37.21
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|
59
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W Michigan Broncos
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36.29
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|
60
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Maryland Terrapins
|
36.11
|
|
61
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Virginia Tech Hokies
|
35.85
|
|
62
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Wake Forest Demon Deacons
|
35.78
|
|
63
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Wisconsin Badgers
|
35.53
|
|
64
|
New Mexico Lobos
|
35.38
|
|
65
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Hawaii Warriors
|
35.33
|
|
66
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Navy Midshipmen
|
35.00
|
|
67
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Duke Blue Devils
|
33.74
|
|
68
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Rutgers Scarlet Knights
|
32.24
|
|
69
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Purdue Boilermakers
|
31.76
|
|
70
|
Rice Owls
|
31.17
|
|
71
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Arizona State Sun Devils
|
31.06
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|
72
|
UNLV Rebels
|
30.07
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|
73
|
Texas A&M Aggies
|
29.08
|
|
74
|
E Carolina Pirates
|
28.21
|
|
75
|
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
|
28.20
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|
76
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Temple Owls
|
28.04
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|
77
|
New Mexico State Aggies
|
27.79
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|
78
|
Pittsburgh Panthers
|
27.78
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|
79
|
Iowa State Cyclones
|
27.21
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|
80
|
Virginia Cavaliers
|
26.83
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|
81
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Bowling Green Falcons
|
26.36
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|
82
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LA Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns
|
26.17
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|
83
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Arkansas Razorbacks
|
25.84
|
|
84
|
Colorado Buffaloes
|
25.78
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|
85
|
Fla Intl Golden Panthers
|
25.22
|
|
86
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Indiana Fightin Hoosiers
|
24.90
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|
87
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Mississippi State Bulldogs
|
24.90
|
|
88
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UCLA Bruins
|
24.08
|
|
89
|
Buffalo Bulls
|
24.04
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|
90
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Akron Zips
|
23.86
|
|
91
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C Michigan Chippewas
|
23.39
|
|
92
|
Ohio U Bobcats
|
23.23
|
|
93
|
Colorado State Rams
|
22.33
|
|
94
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Michigan
|
22.15
|
|
95
|
Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles
|
22.09
|
|
96
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UTEP
|
21.80
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|
97
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Marshall Thundering Herd
|
20.90
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|
98
|
W Kentucky Hilltoppers
|
20.82
|
|
99
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Utah State Aggies
|
20.73
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|
100
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Washington Huskies
|
19.83
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|
101
|
NC State Wolfpack
|
19.26
|
|
102
|
Memphis Tigers
|
18.70
|
|
103
|
UAB Blazers
|
18.37
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|
104
|
LA Monroe Indians
|
18.32
|
|
105
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SMU
|
18.16
|
|
106
|
FlA Atlantic Owls
|
17.39
|
|
107
|
San Diego State Aztecs
|
17.26
|
|
108
|
Kent Golden Flashes
|
16.82
|
|
109
|
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
|
15.78
|
|
110
|
Syracuse Orangemen
|
15.18
|
|
111
|
Toledo Rockets
|
14.90
|
|
112
|
UCF Golden Knights
|
14.77
|
|
113
|
Washington State Cougars
|
13.28
|
|
114
|
Army Black Knights
|
12.65
|
|
115
|
Idaho Vandals
|
11.21
|
|
116
|
Wyoming Cowboys
|
9.28
|
|
117
|
E Michigan Hurons
|
8.42
|
|
118
|
Miami of Ohio Redskins
|
7.64
|
|
119
|
Tulane Green Wave
|
7.08
|
|
120
|
North Texas Eagles
|
0.00
|
If used correctly i'm sure you can find some value in these. Good Luck, I hope this helps in some way.Dizz
Alright broke down the numbers and am VERY EXCITED about what has come up. My plays are generally based off of Line value, and where I think they are off. Situations and trends and of course accounting for injuries. HAPPY to find that alot of my plays/leans are either at the top or atleast in top 40% of the plays this spit out. I believe that means my judgement of line value is fairly accurate. (That's what I want to believe...lol) Anyway, I broke down EVERY game so that I could accurately track this thing as a whole. Right now I believe the value to be at the top of this list, but possibly there will be trends where certain ranges fair better than others...that is why I will track. I will put these in order of Strongest to Weakest. Also, the line factors in to each of these Final results, so I used the WAL at this time.
Ok, just so I do not get a lot of questions on how to read this I will explain right here....So listen (or read) up. I have divided these teams into key numbers in order to track at an accurate level. Next to each teams name, ther will be a "+ and then a value" That value represents what the formula believes that particular team will cover by ATS. Hence, the higher the number the better. Next to that in parentheses will be the line ATS based off of WAL numbers at the time I calculated this.
Also, I will add at the bottom VALUE ML bets based on this system. I want to track that as well.
Favored ATS by 10+:Miami Hurricanes: +19.57, (+2.5)Air Force Falcons: +19.48, (-8.5)Kentucky Wildcats: +17.11, (+3)Notre Dame Fighting Irish: +14.14, (-4.5)LSU State Fighting Tigers: +13.66, (-25.5)BYU: +12.88, (-14.5)W Michigan Broncos: +12.87, (-18)TCU: +12.23, (-14)USC: +11.68, (-44)Tulsa +11.18, (-7)Troy Trojans: +10.96, (-10)
Oregon State Beavers: +10.63, (-14)
Purdue Boilermakers +10.61 (-2)
San Jose State Spartans: +10.22, (-16.5)
Iowa Hawkeyes: +10.2, (+2.5)
San Diego State Aztecs: +10, (+5)
Favored ATS by 7.0-9.9:Florida: +8.72, (-5.5)
Boise State Broncos: +8.65, (-20.5)
Kansas State Wildcats: +8.38, (+11)
Utah: +7.75, (-7)
W Kentucky Hilltoppers: +7.32, (-17)
Connecticut Huskies: +7.15, (+4)
Favored ATS by 3.0-6.99:Clemson Tigers: +6.93, (+4.5)Oklahoma State Cowboys: +6.68, (-30.5)Michigan State Spartans: +6.64, (-4.5)Louisville Cardinals: +6.31, (-14)Ole Mississippi Rebels: +6.16, (-6.5)Bowling Green Falcons: +6.04, (-6.5)Hawaii Warriors: +4.6, (-7)Rice Owls: +3.87, (-2.5)Fla Intl Golden Panthers: +3.55, (+7.5)Alabama Crimson Tide: +3.31, (-22.5)Favored ATS by .01-2.99:Navy Midshipmen: +2.96, (-7)South Florida +2.86, (-2.5)Texas Tech Red Raiders: +2.81, (+4)Texas A&M Aggies: +2.8, (-3.5)Baylor Bears: +2.78, (+20.5)Oregon Ducks: +2.7, (+3)Nebraska Cornhuskers: +2.62, (+22)Duke Blue Devils: +2.46, (+7.5)Minnesota Golden Gophers: +1.96, (-6)UAB Blazers: +1.78, (+8.5)Fresno State Bulldogs: +1.71, (-4.5)Indiana Fightin Hoosiers: +1.51, (-2.5)Washington State Cougars: +1.41, (+30)Tennessee Volunteers: +.96, (+6)Florida State Seminoles: +.94, (+2.5)Miami Hurricanes ML +115Kentucky Wildcats ML +135Iowa Hawkeyes ML +125San Diego State ML +175Kansas State Wildcats ML +340Connecticut Huskies ML +155Clemson Tigers ML +175Alright, will track this and see what we got. 