Chaos reigns supreme... in the animal kingdom of this league

It appears anarchy and chaos ...now reigns supreme in what is the animal kingdom of this  league .   Someone has opened the gates  , and wild animals are now ...running free   Meanwhile, their masters are shocked ...and in full retreat. Hunters have become the huntee , having lost a grip on their prey...  who are now roaming free.   Not long ago ...the Patriots reigned supreme.  Masters of all ...who all dared to dream.   These patriots, even... when far and away their docile prey ...could do nothing but pray.   Before that , it was the marine mammals of the East ... who had their yearly feast .   Suddenly, Giants from another East ... dared to tame the undefeated beast .   This caused chaos , not expected in the least .   The animal kingdom needed to restore order, and what better way... than through a subordinated beast .   So it was...  the tamed Lions of the north who assured the peace. All those that faced them... were masters of their own fate ... right off the gate. And for another year, once again ... order reigned supreme .   As summer began to fade on the new year , on a fateful monday and work day masters were alarmed as the prey ...almost got away .   Neither the Bills nor the Lions could change the way ... but rest assured ...that the prey stirred fear ...across the way . It seemed as if the safety net ...had began to fr... [More]

Trends & Things week 4 NFL + MNF week 3

Hey everyone ...   I am going to start this thread pretty much the same way I began last week's thread , and that is with the Monday nighter featuring the Over/Under trend on MNF   One of the most remarkable trends throughtout the 2008-2009 regular season appeared on Monday night games ...   Overs began the year on an 8-0-1 tear and finished strong going 11-3-2 for the year on the high side .   In week 1 last year , Minnesota visited Green Bay , while Denver visited Oakland .   With 20 points scored in the fourth quarter in the first game , and 28 points scored in the fourth quarter of the second game , the year began with the overs going 2-0 . This barrage of 4th Qtr points was the catalyst and it set the stage for the remainder of the year as the trend only picked up ore steam .   Fast forward to this year ...   In week 1 , two games were played on monday night , both of which sailed over the total with 49 combined points between Buffalo & New England . Meanwhile , San Diego & Oakland combined for 44 of their own . What got them there was the 4th quarter activity .   22 points & 24 points were scored in the fourth quarter alone on those games . Last week ( week 2 )  , Indianapolis & Miami squared off with the total set at 41 . They combined for 50 points  . What got them there ? You guessed it . The fourth quarter provided most of the firepower .  ... [More]

Week 3 NFL Pick of the week 2009-2010

Hey everyone ,   I ended week 2 with a win on MNF with Indianapolis   My week 2 picks were a rock solid  8-1 ATS , so perhaps I am on the right track ... Pick of the week on Oakland Raiders came through to compensate for week's 1 loss .   Summary of picks : Overall >>> 10-4 2-1 ( 2 unit plays ) 8-3 ( 1 unit plays )   Preseason 1-1 ( 1-0 on 2 unit plays  ) ( 0-1 on 1 unit plays  ) Week 1 : 1-2 ( 0-1 on 2 unit plays ) ( 1-1 on o1unit plays  ) Week 2 : 8-1 ( 1-0 on 2 unit plays ) ( 7-1 on 1 unit plays )     Week 3 Pick of the Week :   Game : Pittsburgh @ Cincinnati current line : Pittsburgh - 4/3.5   This matchup involves 2 familiar foes as these two divisional rivals renew their yearly contest this Sunday in Cincinnati . The Super Bowl champs should have no fear going on the road as history is clearly on their side .   Pittsburgh is 7-0-1 ATS last 8 meetings in Cincinnati . The Road team is 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 meetings Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS last 5 meetings Bengals are 3-10 ATS last 13 games vs the AFC Bengals are 4-10 ATS last 14 following an ATS win   Recent games between these teams :   PIT 38 - CIN 10 PIT 24 - CIN 13 PIT 23 - CIN 17 PIT 31 - CIN 17 PIT 27 - CIN 13 PIT 19 - CIN 14   This shows total dominance by Pittsburgh while playing on their rival's own turf ! Pittsburgh may have lost a close one @ Chicago last week , but... [More]

SF 49ers under Mike Singletary

I offcially recognize the debut of Mike Singletary as head coach of the SF 49ers after the team's bye in the 2008-2009 season .   This is when with proper time to prepare the 49ers became his team .   Prior to that bye, the now famous game against Seattle took place and it served as a statement of what the coach would expect from this team . The statement was made at halftime when the players got to see where the sun never shines , during the game when Vernon Davis was sent to the showers following a stupid 15 yard penalty , and after the game with an emphatic post-game conference detailing his philosophy as a coach which mirrors his legendary playing style .   That game where both J.T. O'Sullivan and Shaun Hill shared duties established the 49ers QB of the future , and the end of both J.T.O'Sullivan and eventually Mike Matrz .   After the bye , his message clearly entrenched in the psyche of his players and with adequate preparation his record follows :   A 5 point loss @ Arizona ...( L 24-29 ) nearly winning the game in the end .   A 19 point win vs St Louis  ( W 35-16 ) an expected win @ home vs a weaker opponent , but still impressive in the 49ers total dominance over their division rivals .   A 13 point loss @ Dallas  ( L 22-35 ) a tough road game against a superior team with much more firepower .  Importantly , SF stayed in the game outplaying and outscoring Dallas in the second half . ... [More]

Trends & Things week 3 NFL + MNF week 2

Hey everyone ...   I thought I would get a jump on week 3   While week 2 won't  officially end until the conclusion of tonight's game between Indianapolis@ miami some updates and observations can be made . I will also update week 1& 2   Since it's Monday , let's start with MNF    One of the most remarkable trends throughtout the 2008-2009 regular season appeared on Monday night games ... Overs began the year on an 8-0-1 tear and finished strong going 12-3-2 for the year on the high side .   In week 1 last year , Minnesota visited Green Bay while Denver visited Oakland . With 20 points scored in the fourth quarter in the first game , and 28 points scored in the fourth quarter of the second game , the year began with overs going 2-0 .    Interestingly , both of these games began as low scoring affairs with Green bay and Denver combining for only 13 points in the first half and only 17 points were scored by halftime in the Denver-Oakland game .   Last Monday 22 points & 24 points were scored in the fourth quarter alone in the Buffalo-NE & SD-Oak games respectively .   A scoring frenzy took place during 4th quarters on MNF games last year driving the vast mayority of the games easily over the set total.   By the numbers : 312 points combined were scored in the fourth quarter of all MNF games last year .   This amounts to an average of 18.3 PPG ( Durin... [More]

Trends & stats; Things week1 2009-2010 NFL

Hey eveyone ...   Tomorrow , Thursday September 10 2009 is the first game of the 2009-2010 NFL regular season   I wish you all  the very best of luck throughout the season ...   During this preseason there were 6 teams that had a perfect record ( A high number ) 3 of these teams went a perfect 4-0 , while 3 others went a perfect 0-4   4-0 teams : Miami , Baltimore , Seattle 0-4 teams : Kansas City, Arizona , Carolina   Detroit had the distinction of following up a perfect preseason record during 2008 with a perfect record of futility going 0-16 during the regular season . Detroit started the regular season by losing @ Atlanta 21-34 . Somehow, the oddsmakers made Detroit a 3.5 favorite on the road that day .  Detroit would never again find themselves as favorites in any contest for the remainder of the year.   On the other hand , New England and Cleveland ( 0-4 teams ) both failed to cover the spread in week 1   Clearly , preseason records do not indictate much in terms of success or failure for the regular season .   But, does preseason record present the savvy bettor with an opportunity to find a soft line ?   Perhaps , an overrated or an underrated team lies in the mix .   After all , Detroit had finished the 2007-2008 regular season campaign floundering by losing 7 of their last 8 games and failing to cover the spread in any of their losses . Naturally, there are plenty of... [More]