RobertoFiory's Blog

2010-2011 NFL playoffs: New Orleans @ Seattle

By RobertoFiory | View all Posts
Posted Saturday, January 08, 2011 04:27 PM   12 comments

Hey everyone...

The NFL playoffs get started today with a rare opportunity as the ( 7-9 ) Seattle Seahawks welcome the reigning  Super Bowl champion New Orleans Saints ( 11-5 ) at Qwest field.

Let me make this plain and simple: This is a total mismatch

The idea that Qwest field is a serious advantage for Seattle today is quickly dispelled by virtue of the home team's record at this stadium and the visitor's record on the road.
Seattle has a predictable record at home ( 5-3 )  having beaten SF, SD, Ariz, Car, Stl ...all of which are out of the playoffs. The teams that Seattle has beaten finished with a combined 29-51 record .
On the other hand, the 3 losses at home by Seattle were against teams with a combined 33-15 record. Most importantly is the fact that Seattle was outscored by a combined 49-117 points at Qwest field against these opponents. In the closest game, they still lost by 16 points.
Home field advantage quickly evaporates when solid teams come marching in .
As the visitor, The NO Saints are a solid 6-2 SU having outscored their opponents 171-102 , an 11.5 point differential per game.
As the Saints began to hit their stride, they had to face Dallas, Cincinnati, Baltimore , and Atlanta on the road. now, they won 3 of those 4 games and some by the slimmest of margins.
However, Cincinnati played reasonably well towards the end of the season winning 2 of 3 and losing the last game by a slim margin. Dallas also played well down the stretch under Garrett's guidance .
Seattle lost 3 of 4 & 5 of 7 down the stretch...only beating Carolina & St Louis to finish with a losing record.
New Orleans finished the year strong winning 7 of 9 games.

This matchup involves a Super bowl champion that finished ranked 6th on offense and even better on defense with a 4th overall ranking on defense against a team with a losing record that finished ranked near the bottom on offense and defense with a 28th & 27th overall ranking .
We all know Seattle should not be in the playoffs and everyone is about to see why.
Drew Brees will spread the ball around all over the field , and a short precise passing game will compensate for injuries to the running backs. A versatile Reggie bush will have a good day running and catching the ball. 
Remember that Seattle gave up an average of 39 points in their 3 home losses this year.
Who do you think, it's going to win this game ?
New Orleans solid defense will do its job against an offense that in the last 4 games has averaged 17.5 points .
New Orleans is the right pick here .
Take advantage of a rare opportunity

Game : New Orleans @ Seattle
Pick : New Orleans - 10

RF
***************************************

12 comments
comment Post A Comment
TrojanTodd says:
01/08/11 04:30PM
Good to see you! 
smallbet07 says:
01/08/11 04:31PM
Like it.  BOL
Ap1Bfreetorun says:
01/08/11 04:33PM
I had the Saints in a teaser, I just went back and bet them -10.  Good luck.
FadeOnly says:
01/08/11 04:54PM
Good luck, RF.  Good stuff.
bucksarmy says:
01/08/11 04:58PM

Final

 

Saints 40-21

RobertoFiory says:
01/08/11 06:21PM

A surprising start to say the least as the halftime score is 24-20 Seattle.
However , I still would not be surprised if Saints cover by game's end.
As it stands , New Orleans - 7 for the second half to me is worth half the wager of the original bet.

bostonian617 says:
01/08/11 06:22PM
Gator11 says:
01/08/11 06:24PM
 

BOL Roberto,

I agree with ya!

unclelouie001 says:
01/08/11 06:26PM
allsmiley2 says:
01/08/11 06:40PM
saints d...wow, how pathetic.
no pass rush
can't tackle...
1fastmr2 says:
01/08/11 06:41PM
Who is winning the mismatch game???????
1fastmr2 says:
01/08/11 06:42PM
That's why they play the game!!!!
Add your response:
Please note that the blogger has the option of reviewing all comments before they are displayed to the public. Your comment may not be published immediately.
 
Advertisement