Week 8 Results :

San Francisco @ Indianapolis ...  AFC won SU & NFC won ATS

Cleveland @ Chicago ...NFC wins SU &  ATS

The YTD numbers follow :
33 interconference games played >>>

NFC leads AFC 17-15-1 ATS

AFC leads NFC 17-16-0 SU

When NFC is favored :

            NFC leads 12-8 ATS ( 60 % )

When AFC is favored :

            AFC leads 7-5-1 ATS

Week 9 matchups :

San Diego @ New York Giants -4.5/5  ???
Tennessee @ San Francisco -4/4.5    ???

Week 10 matchups :

Tampa Bay @ Miami
Denver @ Washington
Philadelphia @ San Diego

Notes: After a strong week 7 for the AFC , the NFC bounces back by taking both games ATS . This week , both NFC teams are playing at home and are favored , the NFC has covered 12 of the 20 games in which they have been favored so far this year .

2009-2010

week 1 : Favs : 8-7-1

week 2 : Favs : 7-9-0

week 3 : Favs : 11-5-0

week 4 : Favs : 10-4-0

week 5 : Favs : 6-8-0

week 6 : Favs :  5-9-0

week 7 : Favs : 9-3-1

week 8 :  Favs :  5-8-0

YTD : Favs 61-53-1 ( 53.5 % )

Last year at this time :

Favorites vs Underdogs 2008-2009

Week 1 : Favs 10 - 6  ATS

Week 2 : Favs  8 - 5- 2  ATS ( one game postponed )

Week 3 : Favs  10 - 6 ATS

Week 4 : Favs  7 - 6 ATS

Week 5 : Favs  7 - 7 ATS   

Week 6 :  Favs  6 - 8 ATS

Week 7  : Favs  6 - 8 ATS

Week 8 : Favs 7-7 ATS

Last year through week 8 in the NFL Favs were

61-53-2  ( 53.5 %  )

Notes :

We're exactly where we were last year at this time with favorites leading , but the dogs catching up ...

The gap is not large , but one significant difference between this year and last year has to do with larger spreads . Last year DD dogs were $ , while that is not the case this year at this point in time .

This is how last year went from week 9 on : ( 65-72- 3 ) ( 47.4 % )

Week 9 :  Favs : 5 - 9 ATS

Week 10 : Favs  6 - 8 ATS

Week 11 : Favs : 8 - 8 ATS

Week 12 : Favs : 10 - 5 - 1 ATS

Week 13 : Favs : 7 - 8 - 1 ATS

Week 14 : Favs : 9 - 7 ATS

Week 15 : Favs : 5 - 10 - 1 ATS

Week 16 : Favs : 5 - 11 ATS

Week 17 : Favs : 10 - 6 ATS

Favorites would finish the year by the slimmest of margins :
Favs finish 126 - 125 - 5 ( 50.2 % )  ATS in 2008-2009

 *************************************************

Week 1 : HD : 1-3 ATS

Week 2 : HD : 2-3 ATS

Week 3 : HD : 2-5 ATS

Week 4 : HD : 3-1 ATS

Week 5 : HD : 4-2 ATS

Week 6 : HD : 1-1 ATS  

Week 7 : HD :  1-7 ATS

Week 8 : HD : 1-1 ATS 

YTD : HD : 15-23-0 ATS ( 39.5 % )

HD ( <= 3 ) 7-7 ATS

HD  ( between 3.5 & 9.5 )  5-12 ATS ( 29.4 % )

HD (  >= 10 )   3-4 ATS

Notes :

Week 7/8 the only Home dogs that covered going with covers database were 1 point home underdogs that may not have been underdogs at all depending on when and where wagers were placed . Outside of these 1 point " dogs " , HD got smoked going 0-8 ATS and getting blownout in just about every game .

Home field advantage isn't what it used to be .

That is why you see people like Jeff Sagarin adjust the home field advantage from a 3 + down to a 1 + this year

****************

Home Underdogs : 2008-2009

Home underdogs went 32-46-2 ( 41 % )

*************

Home Underdogs : 2007-2008

Home underdogs went 43-45-1 ATS ( 48.9 % )

**************

Since the start of the 2007-2008 NFL season

Home Underdogs are 90-114-3 ATS ( 44.1 % ) !!!

******************************************************

Group 1 ( Favorites of 9 & 9.5 points )

week 1 : 1-1 ATS

week 2 : 1-0 ATS

week 3 : 2-0 ATS
week 4 : 2-1 ATS

week 5 : 1-0 ATS

week 6 : 1-1 ATS

week 7 : 2-1 ATS

week 8 : 3-1 ATS

week 9 : 1-1 ATS

week 10   1-2 ATS

week 11 : 0 2 ATS

week 12 : 2-1 ATS

week 13 : 0-0  ATS

Week 14 : 1-1 ATS

Week 15 : 0-1 ATS

Week 16 : 1-0 ATS

Week 17 : 0-0 ATS

 Favorites of 9 or 9.5 went 19-13 ATS ( 59.4 % )

**********************

Group 2  ( Favorites of >=10<14 )

week 1 : 0-1 ATS

week 2 : 0-0 ATS

week 3 : 0-3 ATS

week 4 : 0-1 ATS

week 5 : 0-0 ATS

week 6 : 0-2 ATS

week 7 : 1-2 ATS

week 8 : 0-0 ATS

week 9 : 0-1 ATS

week 10 : 1-0 ATS

week 11 : 0-1 ATS

week 12 : 1-0 ATS

week 13 : 2-0 ATS

week 14 : 1-1 ATS

week 15 : 0-0 ATS

week 16 :  0-0 ATS

week 17 :  2-2 ATS

Favorites between 10 & 13.5  went  8-14 ATS ( 36.4 % ) 

**********************

Group 3  ( Favorites of 14 or more points )

week 1 : 0-1 

week 2 : 0-0

week 3 : 0-0

week 4 : 0-0

week 5 : 0-1 

week 6 : 0-0

week 7 :0-0

week 8 : 0-1 

week 9 : 0-0

week 10 : 0-1 

week 11 : 0-1 

week 12 : 0-0

week 13 : 0-0

week 14 : 2-0

week 15 : 1-1

week 16 : 0-0

week 17 : 0-1

Favorites of  >= 14 finished  3 - 7 ATS  ( 30 % )  

Notes :

Double digit favorites went 11-21 ATS in 2008-2009

Through week 8 last year there were a total of 13 DD Favorites .

These DD favorites were 1-12 ATS .

So far this year , there have been 9 more DD favorites for a toal of 22 .

These are 13-9 ATS

**********************************************

Results 2008-2009

Thursdays : Favs 7-2-1

Thursdays : Overs 7-2-1

------------

Saturdays : Dogs 1-0-0

Saturdays : Overs 1-0-0

***********

Sunday night games :

Dogs : 9-8-0

Unders : 10-7-0

------------

MNF:   Favs 9-8-0

MNF : Overs 12-3-2

Finally , all primetime games combined ( 2008-2009):

Favorites :  24 - 20 - 1

Overs :      27 - 15 - 3

**************************

Results 2007-2008

Thursdays : Favs 7-1

Thursdays : Overs 5-3

***********

Saturdays : Dogs : 3-0

Saturdays : Unders 2-1

***********

Sundays : Favs : 8-8

Sundays : Overs 11-5

***********

Mondays : Favs 8-8

Mondays : Overs : 6-10 

Finally. all primetime games combined ( 2007-2008 ) :

Favorites :  23-20

Overs :   23-20

***************************

Results 2006-2007

Thursdays : Favs 6-2

Thursdays : Overs 2-5-1

**********

Saturdays : Favs 3-0

Saturdays : Overs 2-1

*********

Sundays : Favs 6-9

Sundays : Overs 7-7-1

*********

Mondays : Favs : 9-8-1

Mondays : Overs 5-13

Favorites : 24-19-1 ( 55.8 % )

Overs :   16-26-2 (  38.1 %  )

Notes : ( Primetime games )

Favorites outgained the Dogs in 2008, 2007, 2006

while the Overs outgained the Unders in in 2007 & 2008 .

It was in 2006 when the Unders won out over the Overs going

 26-16-2 , fueled by the MNF games where Unders hit in 13 of the 18 chances .

 Compare that to recent history !

Trend Watch >>

Teams playing B2B road games

Last 3 full seasons ( 2006-2008 ) teams that played B2B road games and lost first SU went 65-38 ATS

( 63.1 % ) on their second road game .

That percentage is a good estimate as I checked all of last year's teams that played B2B road games and  the teams that lost the first road game SU were 26-11 ATS the following road game .

 I added these numbers to the ones posted on the article >>>

2006 : 19-10 ATS

2007 : 20-17 ATS

That's how i arrived at 65-38 ATS ( 63.1 % )

When I first started tracking this TY , I saw that the teams that had lost the first road game were really struggling to cover the spread in the second .

So far this year, teams in this situation have gone

2-8 ATS

The good news would be that if the article is correct in regards to the even longer term numbers , then jumping in right now would seem timely , having missed the bad start .

I will track these and put the first team to the test .

I first brought this up in week 7's thread.
Up to that point , these teams were 3-8 ATS either indicating a trend reversal or a very slow start to the longer term trend either way making it interesting to track the remaining of the year . Chicago was next in week 7 coming off at Atlanta and follwoed that up with a stinker @ Cincinnati making the trend 3-9 ATS YTD .

Week 8 >>

Minnesota Vikings lost SU @ Pittsburgh then won ATS @ Green Bay

SF lost SU @ Houston then won ATS  @ Indianapolis

After week 8 results , we're trending back up ...

Now 5-9 ATS YTD

Here is the breakdown thus far :

Atlanta Lost SU @ NE then won ATS @ SF
Carolina lost SU @ Atlanta then lost ATS @ Dallas
Chicago lost SU @ Atlanta then lost ATS @ Cincinnati
Cleveland lost SU @ Denver then lost ATS @ Baltimore

Dallas lost SU @ Denver then lost ATS @ Kansas City

Houston lost SU @ Arizona then won ATS @ Cincinnati
NYJ lost SU @ NO then lost ATS @ Miami
Oak lost SU @ Houston then lost ATS @ NYG
Phil lost SU Oakland then won ATS @ Wash
PITT  lost SU @ Chicago then lost ATS @ Cin

TB lost SU Wash then lost ATS @ Phil

Tenn lost SU @ NY Jets then lost ATS @ Jacksonville

Minn lost SU @ Pitt then won ATS @ Green Bay

SF lost SU @ Houston then won ATS @ Indianapolis

Week 9 :

No teams qualify

Someone please post possible qualifiers for week 10 .

 I don't believe there are any on week 9 .

************************************

403 Kansas City Chiefs +6.5 Over 42

404 Jacksonville Jaguars –6.5 Under 42

405 Baltimore Ravens –3 Over 43.5

406 Cincinnati Bengals +3 Under 43.5

407 Houston Texans +9 Over 48

408 Indianapolis Colts –9 Under 48

411 Green Bay Packers –10 Over 44

412 Tampa Bay Buccaneers +10 Under 44

413 Arizona Cardinals +3 Over 44.5

414 Chicago Bears –3 Under 44.5

415 Miami Dolphins +10.5 Over 47

416 New England Patriots –10.5 Under 47

419 Detroit Lions +10 Over 43

420 Seattle Seahawks –10 Under 43

421 Tennessee Titans +5.5 Over 40.5

422 San Francisco 49ers –5.5 Under 40.5

423 San Diego Chargers +3.5 Over 47.5

424 New York Giants –3.5 Under 47.5

425 Dallas Cowboys +3 Over 47.5

426 Philadelphia –3 Under 47.5

429 Pittsburgh Steelers –3 Over 39

430 Denver Broncos +3 Under 39

 Matchups to follow >>>

Miami @ New England – 10.5 / 47
New England coming off a bye
ROAD TEAMS are on a 9-1 ATS run in NEW ENGLAND's post-bye week games.
Dolphins are 13-3 ATS vs a team with a winning home record
Dolphins are 7-0 ATS as RD of 10.5 or more
Patriots are 0-8 ATS as HF of 10.5 or more
Road team is 4-0 ATS

Under is 10-1 in New England home games off a bye week

Green Bay @ Tampa Bay + 10 / 43.5  
GB getting 82 % of early bets
Tampa Bay is coming off a bye
Packers are 4-0 ATS following an ATS loss
Buccaneers are 1-6 ATS following an ATS loss
Buccanners are 1-12 ATS on grass

Green Bay is 14-6-1 ATS on the road

Arizona @ Chicago -3 / 44.5
Cardinals are 5-1 ATS vs a team with a winning record
Bears are 1-5-1 ATS vs a team with a winning record
Cardinals are 6-0 ATS as an underdog

ARIZONA: 10-1 ATS if 50+ total points were scored last game

CHICAGO: 1-11 ATS after game with +4 TO margin or better

Houston @ Indianapolis – 9.5 / 48
Colts are 3-8 ATS as a HF
Texans are 5-1 ATS as a RD

Houston is 1-13 SU against Indianapolis
Texans are 0-7 ATS vs a team with a winning home record

Over is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings

HOUSTON: 10-2 Over in dome games

Tennessee @ SF  - 4 / 40.5

NFC vs AFC

SF getting 75 % of early bets on Monday ( RLM –with line drop )

SF getting 67 % of  bets on Tuesday  
49ers  are 3-1-1 ATS as HF
Titans are 15-7 ATS as an underdog
Titans are 8-1 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10

49ers are 5-12 ATS as a Favorite of 3.5 to 10

TENNESSEE: 7-0 Under Away off home win

Dallas @ Philadelphia -3 / 47.5
Cowboys are 0-5 ATS as an underdog
Eagles are 4-1 ATS as a favorite
 DALLAS: 1-9 ATS Away off cover as DD favorite

PHILADELPHIA: 12-2 ATS off a division game
Under is 10-2-1 in Cowboys week 9 games

Pittsburgh @ Denver + 3 / 38.5

Pittsburgh is coming off a bye

Pittsburgh getting 77 % of early bets

UNDERDOGS are 8-3 ATS in PITTSBURGH's L11 post-bye week affairs.

Pittsburgh is 6-19 ATS as a RF of 3 points or less since 92

Denver is 10-2 ATS as a home underdog
Broncos are 4-0 ATS as HD
Steelers are 0-5 ATS as RF

The after the bye week trend is highlighted once again for its success dates back to at least the start of the 2005 NFL season .

Favored teams coming out of a bye :

New England - 10.5
Pittsburgh - 3

There are some rather strong trends in favor of both of the squads these 2 teams will be facing this week :

For instance :
ROAD TEAMS are on a 9-1 ATS run in NEW ENGLAND's post-bye week games.
Dolphins are 13-3 ATS vs a team with a winning home record
Dolphins are 7-0 ATS as RD of 10.5 or more
Patriots are 0-8 ATS as HF of 10.5 or more
Road team is 4-0 ATS
Yet, the after bye week trend supersedes any others .

New England is coming off a bye and favored .

Likewise Pittsburgh has trends going against it :
Pittsburgh is 6-19 ATS as a RF of 3 points or less since 92
Denver is 10-2 ATS as a home underdog
Broncos are 4-0 ATS as HD
Steelers are 0-5 ATS as RF

Pittsburgh is coming off a bye and is favored .

That is all for now ...

Feel free to add any comments and point out any mistakes I may have made .  

I already spotted 2 mistakes .

Favorites coming off a bye are 42-17 ATS ( 71.2 % ) since the start of the 2006-2007 NFL season
I believe this should read 44-17 ATS ( 72.1 % ) as I state later .
I'll have to double check later .
Also teams playing B2B road games are 3-8 ATS after week 6 and 3-9 ATS after week 7 . These teams are now 5-9 ATS after week 8 .

Why not HOU over INDY as a trend?  On a related note, what is the trend for teams missing all 4 starters in their secondary?

Trend Blitz :

1 ) New England ( on bye trend )
2 ) Kansas City
3 ) Miami-New England Under
4 ) Green Bay
5 ) Washington-Atlanta Under
6 ) Arizona ....................eliminated
7 ) Houston-Indi  OVER
8 ) Carolina ...................eliminated
9 ) Seattle ......................eliminated
10 ) Seattle-Detroit  OVER
11 ) Tennessee-SF Under
12 ) Philadelphia-Dallas  Under .....eliminated
13 ) Pittsburgh ( on bye trend )

# 12 Phil-Dallas Under ......................eliminated
Philadelphia has produced 7 overs and 1 under in their last eight games.
The Cowboys have produced 8 overs and 2 unders in the first of back-to-back road games.
adding to the DallasPhil matchup >>>
Dallas is 2-10 ATS as a road underdog in November vs. an opponent coming off a SU win.
The Eagles are 11-1 ATS after a matchup with the Giants.
though > The Eagles are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games hosting divisional opponents.

Ravens 10-2 ATS as favorites

Bengals 6-0 ATS as underdogs
adding : The Bengals are 9-1 ATS before a matchup with the Steelers.

Ravens have been quite good at covering the spread when favored , but the Bengals are perfect for the last 6 as dogs , coming off a bye , and have a great record before playing Pittsburgh .

simply amazing! 

Thank you Roberto!~

Final list :

 1 ) New England ( on bye trend )
2) Pittsburgh ( on bye trend ) 
3 ) Green Bay 

4 ) Kansas City

5 ) Miami-New England Under
6) Washington-Atlanta Under 
7) Houston-Indi  OVER
8 ) Seattle-Detroit  OVER
9 ) Tennessee-SF Under 

Alright ,
The focus is always on favored teams off a bye ...
as long as the trend keeps hitting at over 70 % ...it will be ...!
That would be New England and Pittsburgh
Let's see how picking a few totals works out ...
and I put in one Underdog on  the list >>>

Looking for 6-3 , 5-4 would be acceptable ....
Anything less ..and it's back to the drawing board ...

Strong trend Roberto,have to follow with those kind of numbers.TA for sharing such valuable info. BOL to ya!

Goff

Looking for trends is an obession, and I wish you the best of luck.

Hell, you might be able to perdict NFL games from tea leaves, as long

as you are good at reading tea leaves.

Not trying to rain on your parade, interested in your theories. BOL

No, I don't think you rained on his parade, it was more like a Tsunami!

Week 10
NY Jets are favored and coming off a bye .
Minnesota Vikings are favored and coming off a bye .

Also >>
11/15/09 - (215) JACKSONVILLE at (216) NY JETS

NY JETS are 6-1 SU & 7-0 ATS in their L7 post-bye week games.
NY JETS are 12-1 UNDER the total in post-bye week games since '97.
Play on: NY JETS & UNDER

11/15/09 - (223) DETROIT at (224) MINNESOTA

11/15/09 - (231) KANSAS CITY at (232) OAKLAND

FAVORITES are on a 10-1 ATS run in OAKLAND post-bye week games.
This is an interesting scenario in that we have Oakland , favored off a bye week , and in the last 11 series in which Oakland has been a part of coming off a bye week , the Favored team has covered 10 out of 11 supporting the play on the Raiders .
Despite this , Oakland is favored by the minimum margin leaving the possibility that they will not be favored by gametime , and Oakland has not covered in 6 straight post-bye week games .
Now, the Raiders probably have not been favored much on the last 11 years coming out of their byes !

If anyone wants to help me out , go to scoreboard here at covers and check for me for the last 3 years ( or do at least 2008 to start )
how many times favorites of 3 points or less have covered coming out of the bye .
Let's see how far that stat deviates from the over 70 % that we know applies to all favorites , regardless of the spreads ..coming out of their byes .
Much appreciated .

Trends as I find them :

NEW ENGLAND vs. INDIANAPOLIS
New England is 15-2-1 ATS in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
INDIANAPOLIS: 3-11 ATS at home vs. New England
Indianapolis is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games at home

CHICAGO at SAN FRANCISCO
CHICAGO: 2-8 ATS as road dog of 7pts or less
SAN FRANCISCO: 3-0 ATS at home vs. Chicago

JACKSONVILLE at NY JETS
JACKSONVILLE: 11-0 Over after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games
NY JETS are 12-1 UNDER the total in post-bye week games since '97.
NY JETS: 13-2 ATS at home off home loss
JACKSONVILLE is 2-11 ATS  in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.


DENVER at WASHINGTON
NFC vs AFC
WASHINGTON: 0-8 ATS in non-conference games

DETROIT at MINNESOTA
DETROIT: 15-5 Over in road games
 UNDER is 10-5 in Minnesota's last 15 games when playing at home against Detroit

NEW ORLEANS at ST LOUIS
New Orleans is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
NEW ORLEANS: 8-1 ATS as road favorite
ST LOUIS: 5-14 ATS in home games

DALLAS vs. GREEN BAY
Green Bay is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Dallas
Green Bay is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games when playing Dallas
 
PHILADELPHIA vs. SAN DIEGO
NFC vs AFC
Philadelphia is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 games on the road
PHILADELPHIA: 7-1 ATS off division loss

SEATTLE at ARIZONA
SEATTLE: 12-2 Over revenging loss by 21+ points
ARIZONA: 0-9 ATS as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points

KANSAS CITY at OAKLAND
KANSAS CITY: 13-4 ATS at Oakland
OAKLAND: 6-0 Under in November games

TAMPA BAY at MIAMI
NFC vs AFC
TAMPA BAY: 47-22 Under off double digit win
MIAMI: 0-6 ATS vs. NFC

ATLANTA at CAROLINA
ATLANTA: 12-2 Under at Carolina
CAROLINA: 6-0 Under at home off road loss

BALTIMORE at CLEVELAND
BALTIMORE: 16-5 ATS on grass
CLEVELAND: 6-0 Under off non-conference game

What stands out so far :
How New England has dominated on the road against  Indianapolis
New England  
How well the NY Jets have rebounded at home off a loss
NY JETS 
The discrepancy in trends between New Orleans & St louis is alarming
New Orleans
Kansas City record at oakland is off the charts 
Kansas City
Arizona is showing incapable of covering big spreads ...
Seattle
Atlanta @ Carolina games have been snoozers !
Under

16 of the teams were set a favorites

Favorites : ( 16 total )

Favorites won 11 games SU & ATS ( 68.75 % )

Favorites won 1 game SU & lost ATS ( 6.25 % )

Favorites lost 4 games SU & ATS ( 25.00 % )

The spreads for the favs : -10, 7, 5.5, 6, 3, 4.5, 3, 8, 7.5, 5.5, 16, 1, 3, 3.5, 10, 9 ( 12 of them higher than 3 )

The favs that lost outright blew spreads of - 3, - 4.5, - 7.5, - 1

One more that won but didn't cover the spread : ?

This is the result for teams coming off their Bye weeks for the 2007-2008 NFL season :

18 Favorites

14 Underdogs

So, how did the 18 favorites perform coming off their byes :

Favorites won 13 games SU & ATS  ( 72.2 % )

Favorites won 1 game SU  & Lost ATS  ( 5.6 % )

Favorites lost 4 games SU & ATS ( 22.2 % )

18 of the teams were favorites  ( - 3.5 , 3.5 , 2.5 , 3, 3, 2. 5 , 1 , 3, 2, 2.5, 16, 4, 4.5 , 4.5 , 10, 3, 7.5, 4 )

In red are the spreads of 3 or less
How did these 5 favorites do ?

Now , a review of the performances of all teams coming off a bye week in the 2008-2009 season :

Results : 2008-2009 NFL season

Teams coming off their bye week

16 Favorites ( 14-2 SU & 12-4 ATS )

16 Underdogs ( 4-11-1 SU & 8-8 ATS )

HD : 3-3-1 SU & 4-3 ATS

HF : 8-2 SU & 6-4 ATS

RD : 1-8 SU & 4-5 ATS

RF : 6-0 SU & 6-0 ATS

Favorites won 12 games SU & ATS ( 75.00 %  )

Favorites won 2 games SU & lost ATS ( 12.5 % )

Favorites Lost 2 games SU & ATS ( 12.5 %  )

Again , I did not break down the spreads for the favorites that did not cover them . There were only 4 of them in 2008 , only 5 in 2007 , & 5 in 2006
Thus far this year Favorites coming off a bye week are 9-4 ATS
This week there are 3 favorites coming off a bye week :

Minnesota
NY Jets
Oakland

Due to Oakland's bad record coming off a bye week 0-6 ATS and the fact that favorites in whatever series oakland has played in after a bye are 10-1 ATS , a little more research is needed .
Oakland' is a very small favorite in week 10

______________________________

Last check for me tonight :
Oakland's record off a bye last 6 years follow :

2008-2009 : @ NO + 7   L 3-34 

2007-2008 : @ San Diego + 9.5 L 14-28
2006-2007 : vs Cleveland  + 1  L 21-24
2005-2006 : vs San Diego + 1.5 L 14-27
2004-2005 : vs San Diego + 4.5 L 17-23

2003-2004 : @ Detroit - 3 L 13-23

We see that Oakland is 0-6 SU / ATS last 6 years coming off a bye .
The Raiders have only been favored once though failing to win or cover the spread @ Detroit in 2003-2004
Like Detroit was against St Louis , this team favored off the bye may be one to stay away from ., though I am trying to cap into this bye week trend ...and generally the idea is to take all favorites off a bye .
But again , not a good record for Oakland abd just as significant is the fact that Kansas City owns Oakland when the play in their turf .

 Any thoughts ?
***************************

RF, you're the man. Trend picks look good this week.