RobertoFiory's Blog

Week 11 Best Pick 2010-2011 NFL season

By RobertoFiory | View all Posts
Posted Sunday, November 21, 2010 02:40 PM   17 comments

Hey everyone ...

This game goes off at 1:00 pm Pacific time
This game is not only a bad matchup for one team , it is also a total mismatch.
Both teams are coming off solid wins while scoring almost the same amount of points against weak opponents.
One team managed its first road win, while the other made it
3 of 4 on the road with its victory last week .
Let's get down to the teams :

Seattle and New Orleans

New Orleans is coming off a bye week on the heels of two consecutive wins.
New Orleans might have been excused for playing down to its opponent after the tough primetime battle against a top AFC team : the Pittsburgh Steelers .
What they did instead is play like world champions and stomped on their weaker opposition .
This 2010 New Orleans of the last 2 games  is looking more like the team that steamrolled through the first 13 weeks of the season last year on their way to the top of the NFL.
While this year's team may never be as explosive as last year's team , the defense is playing better.
Think about it , New Orleans allowed 13 points combined in their last 2 games, while beating the Steelers 20-10.
In last year's version of the Saints, winning a game like that would have been nearly impossible.
The Saints of 2009-2010 allowed 20 points or more to 12 of 16 opponents.
In the meantime , the offense is getting healthier and I believe will begin to feast on the weaker defenses.
Don't be fooled by Seattle's act last week on the road .
This team does not have the capability of putting two solid games on the road.
Seattle feasted on Arizona's weak pass defense and scored plenty against the team that is ranked dead last in points allowed .
380 yards is what Arizona gave up in passing yards to Seattle . But, even then Seattle squandered opportunities , at one point settling four 4 consecutive field goals .
Ultimately , Seattle was 2 for 8 in red zone efficiency.

Against New Orleans, Seattle will simply be facing the # 1 pass defense in the NFL ...
When they take to the  ground , New Orleans 16th ranked rushing defense will hold its own against Seattle's 28th ranked rushing offense .
As I see this unfolding , Seattle's running game will not be a factor when they find themselves trailing going into the second half . Seattle is not a come from behind team .
When they have been behind going into halftime , they have lost .
Seattle has only lost 4 times , but when they lose, they lose resoundingly .
By 17
to Denver , By 17 to St Louis , By 30 to Oakland , By 34 to the NY Giants.
 In all of their wins, they have gone into halftime with the lead .

I do believe , New Orleans will be leading at halftime and this young Seattle team will not recover in the second half.

New orleans is in a serious battle in the NFC South and is hitting its stride at the right time.
This is a game , they must and will win and cannot take lightly. New Orleans is coming off its bye, where traditionally large favorites have enjoyed much success ATS .
With new Orleans , rested , healthier than they have been all season while Coming off the best B2B games this season , Seattle is way overmatched and the spread in this game is rather generous .
I see an easy 21+ point win for the defending Super Bowl Champions

Game : Seattle @ New Orleans
Pick : New Orleans - 12
Prediction : New Orleans by 21 +

RF

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17 comments
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HotRoute says:
11/21/10 02:40PM
gl RF
BigNiner says:
11/21/10 02:46PM
RobertoFiory says:
11/21/10 02:49PM
thanks HotRoute...
I will correct that Seattle got its second win on the road last week against Arizona .
Seattle's first road win came against Chicago winning the game they led at halftime 14-13 by a final score of
23-20 .
As far as I am concerned , it changes nothing other than the fact you can't simply state that Seattle " sucks " on the road because they are 2-3 .
However , their 3 losses have been lopsided as this one will be .
RobertoFiory says:
11/21/10 02:52PM

BigNiner

I also have a ML bet on the SF 49ers ...

Good luck !

FadeOnly says:
11/21/10 02:53PM

Good luck, RF!  Great info here.  Where you been all year with the "Trends and Things"?

 

RobertoFiory says:
11/21/10 07:45PM

Not quite 21 + , but a good win nevertheless ...on the
New Orleans Saints
My SF 49ers go up in smoke along with their season...
I capitalized on NO - 3.5 ( second half ) and a solid win
for me on Atlanta..
I only post what I consider to be best bets of the week from time to time and will do so here and there
For all it's worth I do like the Under in Sunday night's matchup
between the NY Giants and Philadelphia Eagles ...

So long for now
RF
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newkid says:
11/21/10 07:46PM
Kellychen524 says:
11/21/10 07:47PM
RobertoFiory is the best!!!
sungod95 says:
11/21/10 07:49PM
Skanless1 says:
11/21/10 07:52PM
that was SUCH an easy play.
RobertoFiory says:
11/22/10 02:38PM
Skanless1 , I doubt you you were talking about the Under on the NY Giants and Eagles game .
What started as an easy 13-3 first half ended as a very close call : 27-17 final
Final on the Seattle -New Orleans game : 34-19
I must say that Hasselbeck played well ( 366 passing yards 1 TD no INT's )
and Seattle surprised me with their insistence to test New Orleans # 1 pass defense.
( They have now been knocked down to # 2 )
Bottom line is you still need balance to beat New Orleans )
San Diego playing tonight is # 1 on pass defense now.
THE-KID says:
11/22/10 02:49PM
USC_Trojans09 says:
11/22/10 07:02PM
Play for tonight?
RobertoFiory says:
11/22/10 08:03PM

Under & San Diego

RobertoFiory says:
11/22/10 11:51PM
CalBear says:
11/22/10 11:54PM
TomBrady12 says:
11/22/10 11:54PM
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