RusRus's Blog

Posted Wednesday, September 26, 2012 04:25 AM

WHY SHOULDN'T I BET THE HOUSE ON SAN FRAN VS JETS?

As soon as I saw the 49ers lose n Jets win I knew I would get a lower line this week for this match up. Especially with Revis out I think this has blow out written all over. Here are some trends  
49errs are 12-0 ATS off a SU favorite loss
49ers are 5-0 ATS as a September favorite of 13 or less points off a SU favorite loss
49ers are 1-6 ATS in September vs a .500 or better non-conference opponent
Jets are 0-6 ATS in September vs non-division opponent off a double digit SU loss
Jets are 0-7 ATS as non-conference dogs of 4 or less points
And shiva seven posted this as well

As for SFR vs the JETS, I was thinking about Bellichick's fantastic ATS record post losing so I checked out how Harbaugh did last year in these situations:

L    DAL 24-27
W  CIN 13-8

L   BAL 6-16
W STL 26-0

L ARZ  19-21
W PIT  20-3

Harbaugh POST LOSS 3-0 ATS but even more interesting all of these games went under the number with SFR allowing a meager 11 points in all of these games combined. I haven't read the STATS for the game but I get the impression they were gouged a little bit on defense last week which makes me think Harbaugh will be spitting fire this week. Revis is out so the OU might be a little bit higher than expected and you know what teams do when they lose a superstar like REVIS they buckle down and concentrate harder and collectively play better. I don't think the JETS offense create... [More]

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User: RusRus
Joined: December 2010
Location: New York
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Occupation: Arts/Entertainment

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