SONBP2's Blog

Smart Bet (Not a lot of action tonight, but I found one solid wager)

By SONBP2 | View all Posts
Posted Wednesday, April 01, 2009 05:08 PM   13 comments
Tonights Action:
     I know a lot of you want some guidance or insight into the UTEP/OSU game tonight, but my opinion still hasn't changed, OSU is not a good basketball team and yet they have found a way to go on a nice winning  streak and are one win away from bringing home the hardware. UTEP should come out much more focused tonight, but the line is huge so again I say stay awy from this game and save your money for another day.
 
The Final Four:
 
Early Lean: So far after just a couple days of research I am leaning towards UNC in their match-up with Nova. On the other hand, the MSU/UConn game seems like it should really be a pretty close affair so I haven't begun to lean one way.
 
Tonight NBA:
 
New Orleans (-3.5) vs L.A. Clippers: Very good spot here for the Hornets for several reasons. First, the Hornets have won and covered the last 8 meetings between these two teams and nothing should be different tonight. Secondly, if you have followed my basketball picks this year you know I love to play against teams on their first home game after an extended road trip. The Clippers are finally home after a 6 game road trip where they went 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS. Expect the Clippers to come out flat tonight and Paul and the Hornets to take advantage early. Finally, the Clippers simply don't play defense and Paul will definetly take advantage by penetrating the middle and finding easy open looks for others. The Clippers have given up an average of 102 ppg at home, while the Hornets give up 96 ppg on the road. Look for the Hornets to exploit the weak defense of the Clippers and get an easy road win.
 
Good Luck
 
 
13 comments
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rjordan1979 says:
04/01/09 05:11PM
Definitely a good call on the Hornets. The Clippers don't even look like they care anymore.
wasbri says:
04/01/09 07:12PM
Dont let the line scare you. Utep by double digits
BLAK_MAMBA says:
04/01/09 08:52PM
Thanks for you insight on this game SONBP, just want to comment that 70% of the public is on NO tonight. What do you think of that?
SONBP2 says:
04/01/09 09:05PM
Honestly I rarely look at public opinion, I have faith in my handicapping and that is what I base my opinion on. I figured with the line at 3 or 4 West was probably not playing, but I just don't think the Clippers come focused to play tonight, therefore I still NOs is still a great play.

 

Good Luck. . .

BLAK_MAMBA says:
04/01/09 09:26PM
Thanks brother, I followed you on college BB and made some decent money. I appreciate your work that you put here, I believe you're one if not the most underrated cappers here.
Vincent_Price says:
04/01/09 09:29PM
I hate the Clippers.  They have a bad habit of playing well against good teams (Boston, Cleveland) but fall apart easily against most.  The line seems suspiciously low to me, but I can't help myself.  I am on the Hornets, good luck everybody!
BLAK_MAMBA says:
04/01/09 09:33PM
I'm on the same boat Vince.
best_bets says:
04/01/09 09:52PM
be careful 76% public on NO yet there is reverse line movement
SONBP2 says:
04/02/09 12:06AM
I don't mean to call anyone out and I hate to see anyone lose money, but I sure hope some of my readers took my advice and simply stayed away from that OSU/UTEP game. When things don't make sense, like OSU being in this tourney and in the championship game, sometimes the best play is simply not to make a play on the game at all.

 

Hornets 66-61 nearing the end of the 3rd quarter. . .

SONBP2 says:
04/02/09 12:58AM
Hornets 104 Clippers 98  

 

Another winning day! We have been able to pad that bankroll so we can make some big plays this weekend. Hopefully, most of you were either on OSU or stayed away like I suggested and decided to make a play on the Hornets and cash another winner.

 

Back tomorrow, thanks for the comments!

BLAK_MAMBA says:
04/02/09 01:35AM
Once again, the most underrated capper in covers comes through. Thanks a lot SONBP2, won $950 on my parlay with NO and GS over
CapaNostra says:
04/02/09 09:02AM
Nice Work SON, are you looking at anything for tonight?

SONBP2 says:
04/02/09 09:05AM
I just posted my take on the PSU/Baylor game.
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User: SONBP2
Joined: June 2007
Location: Indiana
Team: Chicago Cubs
Occupation: Legal Services

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