Posted Thursday, May 13, 2010 10:55 PM
The Cavs are done and at least Lebron shook hands this year.
Now, let's talk Eastern Conference Finals.. Who u got and why?
my thoughts, Magic in 6.
Posted Thursday, October 09, 2008 05:13 PM
Damn gridiron wasn't very good to me last weekend going 2-3-1 w/ both wins coming on Vandy +4.5 & ML. Nevertheless, we are still ahead of the game hitting on a couple ML dogs.
18-14-1 on the year
South Carolina Pick or -1Miss State +3(hook)Temple +8
Leans: Colorado +14Purdue +18
Explanations below... GL
1) South Carolina at Kentucky: Not really a lookahead b/c the Cocks have LSU on deck next week. The Cats gave the Tide all they wanted and more last week. I'm anticipating a dropoff from them this week as well as the fact that the Cats are 0-15 against Spurrier led squads, 0-8 against the Cocks. Take SC pick or -1.
2) Vandy at Miss St: Everyone has jumped onto the Vandy bandwagon. While it has been a good story, I think it will take a halt this week. Vandy has lost 5 straight in Starkville and w/ a trip to Georgia on deck and a big emotional win over Auburn last week, Miss St is the play. They've had 2 weeks to prep for this one also. Home dog barks. MIss St +3(hook)
3) Temple at Central Michigan: The Chippewas have a MAC showdown on deck w/ Western Mich as both are competing with Ball St for the MAC West top spot. Meanwhile, Temple has proven to be a solid investment throughout the course of the year going 5-1 ATS so far. As a road dog, the Owls are a respectable 23-18-1 since 2000. I think we can all agree theyre a better squad this year. Play Temple +8
Still on the fence:
Colorado at Kansas: Colorado has certai... [More]
Posted Wednesday, October 01, 2008 03:18 AM
Here we go again. After several successful weeks, we finally hit a 2-3 day last weekend. All good though as we're still at 16-11 on the year. It's conference time baby and we have some nice opportunities that are presenting themselves. If we learned only one thing last weekend, its that some of our best value will come with the dogs playing the faves in the top 10. Bless those of you who had the nads to play Ole Miss & Oregon St on the ML. Of course the big boys are going to get upset. That way we can have BCS discussions and gripe about the current system, watch all the experts break it down, blah blah blah. Just like every year. It's all for our entertainment and for the colleges to keep getting fat checks from the bowls. But back to what matters. We should now begin to anticipate some emotional letdowns in our approach against the oddsmaker. Keep in mind, this is college football, we have to expect the unexpected:
1) Texas @ Colorado: Why oh why does this game stick out like a prostitute's thumb in the old days to me? Maybe its b/c everyone, including me, thought that the Buffs would beat FSU. Once again, on over-reaction to FSU's lost to Wake and the Buffs win over WVU. Now, we've seen the Horns demolishing their high school competitors in FAU, UTEP, Rice, & actually jr high Arkansas and we're supposed to lay 2TDs w/ them on the road in the same place where the Sooners were beat last year. Oh, and speaking on the Sooners, that's whose on deck for the Horns.... [More]
Posted Wednesday, September 24, 2008 01:46 PM
Well here we go again. A 3-4 minor setback last week but still a very nice job on the year as we've posted a 14-8 mark on the targeted teams. We're starting to get into conference play which will see our spreads begin to go a little tighter. This is a tough week to find lookaheads but a couple are out there. So no more delay, here's a look at week 5:
1) Colorado +6 vs FSU (in Jacksonville): FSU didn't look impressive in their first true test of the season against Wake. Now they go into a neutral site game against the Buffs. Keep in mind, they did beat Colorado 16-6 in Boulder last year so we have a small revenge play in here as well. I certainly believe that the Buffs can win this game outright w/ FSU having one of their hated rivals on deck next week at Miami. Play on Colorado +6.
2) Oregon St +25 vs USC: USC has looked every bit dominant in its first 2 games. However, it seems that this game against the Beavers is generally closer than the public thinks. In their last 2 trips to Corvalis, USC won 28-20 as an 18 point fave in '04 and lost 33-31 as a 10 point fave in '06. Both teams have had 2 weeks to prepare, but one has Oregon on deck and for the other, this is their game of the year. Play Oregon St +25 or higher by gametime Thursday.
3) Troy +17 at Ok State: Troy is a solid squad that just brought us a cover against Ohio St last week. This 17 seems to be a large # for a team like Ok St to be laying. They have looked impressive, however, they played t... [More]
Posted Tuesday, September 16, 2008 02:24 PM
Here we go again fellas. So far we've had some moderate success in this thread, going 5-3 in week 2 w/ an outright chalk loser in Maryland and 3-1 (6-1 with add ons) in week 3 w/ outright losses by Zona at UNM & ASU vs UNLV.
As we enter week 4, we see many teams beginning conference play, so the focus should be getting a little better. Also, the lines are getting a little tighter as conf games generally stay closer and the oddsmakers are really beginning to understand these teams by this point. This makes the job of finding these "niche" style plays a little harder, but we're up for it, so let's get into it.
1) Penn St -28 vs Temple: Penn St has looked most impressive in their first 2 games (not counting the scrimmage against Coastal Carolina). I think we all can agree that this Temple team is better than most previous years. They are both perfect ATS so far. On deck for Penn St is the home Big 10 opener against #22 Illinois, a team that beat them last yr 27-20 mostly due to captializing on turnovers. Given the fact that Penn St has beaten Temple by a combined 78-0 in the last 2 years, don't think that Temple doesn't have it on their mind w/ all their starters returning.
2) Alabama -10 at Arkansas: The Tide are hitting the road to open SEC play at Arkansas. Although the Hogs are not high on anyone's totem pole this year, if we've learned anything from the SEC, it's that no matter how good or bad the matchup may look on paper, laying DDs on the road is a non... [More]
Posted Friday, September 12, 2008 07:19 PM
Anybody thinking of middlin this game? Some got USF at -2.5 earlier and now able to get Kansas at +4.5 seems like a nice opp around that 3 or 4 point USF win.
Posted Tuesday, September 09, 2008 05:27 AM
Here is installment #2 of the lookahead articles. Last week, 5 out of the 8 teams in the article turned out to lose ATS (Ohio St, Auburn, Notre Dame, USF) w/ one (Maryland) losing outright.
Keep in mind we are looking at the chalk teams that can fall victim by looking past this weekend's opposition.
This is a pretty tough week as many teams are either on a bye this weekend or next prior to starting conference play. However, let's see if we can produce a few winners.
1) Arizona St -22 vs UNLV: ASU just finished whipping a conference foe in Stanford and confidence is riding high. High enough that they may be looking forward to getting their name mentioned w/ the big boys again when they host SEC powerhouse and #2 ranked Georgia next week. That will be the game of the year at Sun Devil Stadium as they are on the road for USC, Cal, & Arizona this season. Besides, this # slightly is larger than what UNLV just covered on the road against a strong Utah squad.
2) Utah -24 @ Utah St: This could be called the sandwich game w/ revenge games serving as the bread and this rivalry game serving as your meat. The Utes are coming off of a revenge game win over UNLV and have another next week against the Air Force. Although this has been a one-sided rivalry over the last 10 years in favor of the Utes (3-1-1 ATS in the last 5), I have to think that after a close win at Michigan, a 2nd half blasting of UNLV once they decided to play, & another reveng... [More]
Posted Saturday, September 06, 2008 06:41 PM
I'm looking at a big play on Utah in this revenge spot against UNLV since they lost to them last year 27-0.
Posted Friday, September 05, 2008 02:08 PM
Given that I haven't come across any threads that are focusing on scheduling, I figured I'd start one that we can keep going from week to week.
Chalk squads that could fall under the lookahead category this weekend, keep in mind this looking at those that won't cover, not lose outright:
(Not ranked in any particular order)
1) Ohio St -34: With the showdown with USC on the horizon and a perfect 5-0 record against Ohio, you have to think these Buckeyes will be thinking about traveling to LA to make a statement next week.
2) Auburn -18: The Tigers will begin SEC play next week in Starkville against an MSU team that beat them last year 19-14. USM doesn't pose a significant threat so a strong focus may not be there.
3) Georgia -23.5: The Dawgs will probably have an eye on their road revenge game next week against the ole ball coach and his squad (who also overlooked Vandy last night). However, Central Michigan isn't an attractive dog, since they were slaughtered on the road last year by Kansas 52-7, Purdue 45-22, & Clemson 70-14 with their lone road dog win coming against Ball St in 2007.
4) Notre Dame -22: This is a truly questionable team. 16 starters return from a terrible 3-9 2007 team. But that's not the point. Of course they'll want to come out in their first game and prove ND football is back, however, they have a HUGE rivalry/revenge game next week when Michigan comes to town after being blown out 38-0 last year.
5) USF -14: At... [More]