Was going to reply this in Bibendii's thread, but some of this stuff is real good..
OK so we all know Murray's a good QB and put up nice #'s last year..
3000 yards, 60% completion %, 24 TDs, 8 INTs..
Well, OK, but how did he do against good pass competition (that Boise will be)
#'s by game...
ULL- 90th vs Pass- Murray- 160 yards 3 TDs/1 INTSouth Carolina- 107th, 192, 0/0Arkansas- 16th- 253, 1/1Miss State- 89th, 274 1/0Colorado- 110th, 221, 3/1Tenn- 82nd, 266, 2/0Vandy- 78th, 287, 2/0Kentucky- 18th, 113, 0/0Florida- 13th, 313, 3/3Idaho State- ?, 228, 2/0Auburn- 105- 273, 3/0GT- 47th, 271, 3/0UCF- 45th, 198 0/2
So, on average, Murray faced the 67th toughest Pass D (not including Idaho State)..
And against the top 4 pass defenses faced: Arkansas, Kentucky, Florida, Central Florida, Murray went:
63/114 or 55%, 877 passing yards or average of 219 yards/game, 4 TDs6 INTs
I'd hardly call that quality...
Now, Boise has the 4th best pass D in the country LY, now yes, some of their stats are skewed, so against the top 2 pass offenses they faced:
#1 Pass Offense- Hawaii- 21/35, 151 yards, 0 TDs, 0 INTs
#37 Pass Offense- - Utah- 10/24, 93 yards, 0 TDs, 0 INTs
To summarize.. talent alone will not win the game for Murray.. he's going to have to do it with depth issues at OL, no real RB outside a true frosh and their leading returning WR that caught 27 passes in 2010..
Hard to think that will be enough..
Oh yea, and the UGA D gave up an average of 32ppg the last 5 games of the season...