You can't beat yourself up over the bet you didn't make. At least that's what I tell people.

It’s just like poker; you have to forget about the hand you folded. Otherwise, you’ll eat a hole in your stomach agonizing over “what could have been.”

But I'm having a hard time accepting my advice this week.

I had two outstanding wagers that hinged on the Ravens winning, not covering, Monday night (only one posted). I could have hedged by putting $50 on the Jags +450 moneyline. If they won I would’ve lost five bucks. If they lost I would’ve won $125.

I’m the ordinary bettor so of course I didn’t hedge. And now I can’t seem to let it go because I was so close to being sharp that day. I knew the Jags had a chance, which is why I teased in the first place, but I didn’t have the balls to back them.

And then there were the two team totals I didn’t play, and of course both won. It was my first losing week in awhile so maybe that’s why these stung a little more.

Moving on…I think I’m going to have a lot of plays this week, which always scares me. But the last time I did I went 5-1 and last week I was 1-2 so maybe it’s a good thing. We shall see.

I posted my first two plays of the week in Monday’s column: Bills -4 (-120), Panthers -3 (-120).

Buffalo is coming off a bye and the Redskins are without Timmy Hightops and Moss. Even with those two on the field I would have still played the Bills at this number. I do respect the Redskins defense but it struggles against quick passing attacks. It did with the Eagles and it will Sunday.

A battle of the rookies goes down in Charlotte. I do like what I saw out of Ponder last week but Ron Ron will find a way to force him into a few mistakes. AP is probably going run for two bills but he put up 175 last week and they still lost. Sir Newton played his best game of the season last week and is only getting better.

That’s the only two bets I’ve placed thus far. There will be more. I have an eye on a ton of team totals and I’m also leaning Giants, Seahawks and Chiefs.

Be sure to check the comment section for added plays, if you’re loony enough to follow a writer’s picks.

If you’re down with the social media clown find me on Twitter or Facebook.

NFL Record: 18-6-2 ($1130)

-- All wagers to win $100 --

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