Jays starter R.A. Dickey has turned in back-to-back strong
performances, but I think that's about as much as we can expect from the
reigning Cy Young winner right now.
Even after a terrific showing against the Tigers on Canada Day, Dickey
still owns a bloated 5.59 ERA at Rogers Centre. His home starts are
averaging well north of 10 total runs per game.
The Twins are coming off a
shutout loss last night, but had scored 28 runs over their previous six
games entering this series, so I'm not all that concerned.
Minnesota will hand the ball to veteran right-hander Mike Pelfrey.
He's endured a trying season so far, going 3-6 with a 6.11 ERA and 1.63
WHIP. The numbers get even worse on the road, where his ERA stands at
Of course, the Jays haven't exactly been tearing the cover
off the ball lately, but they've also run into some tough pitching.
After taking the opener of their series against Detroit the went 0-for-3
against Fister, Scherzer, and Verlander. They did bounce back last
night, scoring four runs on 10 hits, and I expect to see some carry-over
from that performance today.
Note that Toronto is averaging north of five runs per game at home this season.
roof should be open at Rogers Centre on a warm, sunny afternoon in
Toronto, and I expect to see the ball flying all over the park as this
one cruises 'over' the total. Take the over (1*).