Sean_Murphy's Blog

Sean Murphy's Saturday MLB free play

By Sean_Murphy | View all Posts
Posted Saturday, July 06, 2013 08:21 AM   1 comment

Jays starter R.A. Dickey has turned in back-to-back strong performances, but I think that's about as much as we can expect from the reigning Cy Young winner right now.

Even after a terrific showing against the Tigers on Canada Day, Dickey still owns a bloated 5.59 ERA at Rogers Centre. His home starts are averaging well north of 10 total runs per game.

The Twins are coming off a shutout loss last night, but had scored 28 runs over their previous six games entering this series, so I'm not all that concerned.

Minnesota will hand the ball to veteran right-hander Mike Pelfrey. He's endured a trying season so far, going 3-6 with a 6.11 ERA and 1.63 WHIP. The numbers get even worse on the road, where his ERA stands at 6.91.

Of course, the Jays haven't exactly been tearing the cover off the ball lately, but they've also run into some tough pitching. After taking the opener of their series against Detroit the went 0-for-3 against Fister, Scherzer, and Verlander. They did bounce back last night, scoring four runs on 10 hits, and I expect to see some carry-over from that performance today.

Note that Toronto is averaging north of five runs per game at home this season.

The roof should be open at Rogers Centre on a warm, sunny afternoon in Toronto, and I expect to see the ball flying all over the park as this one cruises 'over' the total. Take the over (1*).

1 comment
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veronica27 says:
07/08/13 05:01PM
good call !
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