Welcome Back

No bets this week - just making regular picks to gauge my temperature for this year.  Anyone recommend a good book?  I am looking to drop BETUS.  thanks

North Texas over Ball state

  just a hunch pick. North Texas is on the rise. Solid QB play.

Boise over Oregon

Will fade Oregon all year, as will most other people after last night.

OK State -4 over Georgia

Back and forth on this one. I know what OK state brings to the table, while Georgia is an unknown commodity at the moment. Would probably be a better ML bet on OK than the cover.

OU -21 over BYU

OU could cover this with a backup QB playing. OU DL will demolish anything BYU try's.

Baylor +2 over Wake

back and forth on this one as well. Not on the Baylor hype wagon this year, but still see them as a better all around team than Wake. Wake loses all its defensive play makers, while Baylor keeps all of their D. Look at the under here.

Auburn -13 over Louisiana Tech

AU still has national championship talent on this team. Lets see if they put it to use.

LSU -17 over Washington

LSU tends to play down to their competitions level, and the fact that they will have to ... [More]

Report Abuse

3 comments  | Add a comment

Thoughts on Texas v THE ohio state

  Texas’s D has been playing with a fire under their ass since the AZ state game at the end of last year.  The addition of Mushcamp has kept this D playing at its highest level since Derek Johnson way blowing people up, so I don’t think being “pissed off” (if they even are-this season has already far exceeded expectations for this squad) makes any difference in the outcome of this game from the defensive standpoint.  Make no mistake; this is the best front 7 in the entire country.  That being said, they are not best suited to stop mobile QB’s (watch the Baylor game).  If Pryor is able to elude the rush, he will certainly have some breakdowns in the secondary to take advantage of.  That’s not to say that this secondary is not good, but I think it is important to remember that both safeties are freshmen and have blown coverage on several occasions this year.  On the other side, Colt is going to be throwing against the best secondary he has seen since he played Ohio state 2 years ago.  I don’t see Cosby/Shipley having the quick route releases that kill most defenses UT has faced.  This quick/short passing game is going to be even more important for UT because they will have zero running room against the Ohio st. front 7.  Remember, this is still one of the most experienced defenses in the country with next level talent all over.  And then there’s Beanie.  Beanie is going to be playing for something... [More]

Report Abuse

16 comments  | Add a comment

Perspectives

Here are my weekend football plays.

NY jets -7 vs. Denver

DENVER s personnel and lack of depth problems catch up with them hear.  Denver always better as an underdog, and on the road for some reason this year.  If at -8, seems like a good bet.  Don’t like to bet against Cutler, but here an up and comer superstar, meets an NFL all timer who isn’t facing a very imposing defense.  Don’t know much about NYJETs D, but weather will probably give the advantage to the defense.  Hear, again, could be low scoring if weather terrible, but Hard to imagine Farve not being comfortable in the elements.



San fran @ buff -6

again, weather could be a determining factor.  Long trip for yound san fran team.  San fran probably has better athletes in slopp game.  Like BUFF @ -5, but be good teaser bet at 6.

No +4 @ TB 

Another teaser NO +10.  TB don’t score enough to put away by 11.

Carolina +4 at GB

+145 ml like the Carolina pass rush against Rogers.  Look for another frustrating day from Rogers, with some cheese=head doubt to follow.  CAR good road team.  Again, solid QB against a relative rookie.  

Atl +4 at SD

how is ATL on the road this year?  Ryan vs. hobbled SD front 7.  Whathisname RB returns to sd a dirty bird.  Probably gives SD a defensive advantage due to familiarity.    Is the D healthy?  Rivers ... [More]

Report Abuse

0 comments  | Add a comment

Tuesday night games = what does it all mean?

Report Abuse

2 comments  | Add a comment

Thursday Games - What does it all mean?

12

Tenn –12 @ Detroit   ml 5-1 ou44.5

Could be the big time letdown for Tenn.  What can Detroit do?  Tenn just doesn't look put up a lot of points.  Fisher, like Tressel just doesn't care about spreads.  Even without the ball control offensive style, this team isn't made to put up explosive points.  That's not to say that if the Lions turn the ball over any, this game could be would not be over quickly.  If the Lions can put up any early points, a first half bet at +7.5 would make sense.  ML FH a possibility.  UNDER 44 a strong possibility depending on TENN pass rush.  I look for TENN to run that ball at ease against this Detroit D, but just haven't seen Detroit enough this year to know what they can do.  No bet yet.

4

Seattle +14 @ Dallas  ml 6-1  ou46.5

Again, what can Seattle do?  Looks like Vegas is begging us to bet Seattle, but 14 seems too high.  Is Seattle any worse than San Fran who came in at +10?  With Hassledick at QB for Seattle, I don’t think so.  Might look for another first half bet at +8.  ML FH a strong possibility.  Maybe not.

8

Arizona +2 @ Philly ml 1.... [More]

Report Abuse

6 comments  | Add a comment