ShmoJoe's Blog

Thoughts on Texas v THE ohio state

By ShmoJoe | View all Posts
Posted Tuesday, December 09, 2008 05:37 PM   16 comments

  Texas’s D has been playing with a fire under their ass since the AZ state game at the end of last year.  The addition of Mushcamp has kept this D playing at its highest level since Derek Johnson way blowing people up, so I don’t think being “pissed off” (if they even are-this season has already far exceeded expectations for this squad) makes any difference in the outcome of this game from the defensive standpoint.  Make no mistake; this is the best front 7 in the entire country.  That being said, they are not best suited to stop mobile QB’s (watch the Baylor game).  If Pryor is able to elude the rush, he will certainly have some breakdowns in the secondary to take advantage of.  That’s not to say that this secondary is not good, but I think it is important to remember that both safeties are freshmen and have blown coverage on several occasions this year.  On the other side, Colt is going to be throwing against the best secondary he has seen since he played Ohio state 2 years ago.  I don’t see Cosby/Shipley having the quick route releases that kill most defenses UT has faced.  This quick/short passing game is going to be even more important for UT because they will have zero running room against the Ohio st. front 7.  Remember, this is still one of the most experienced defenses in the country with next level talent all over.  And then there’s Beanie.  Beanie is going to be playing for something much more inspiring than pride or school spirit this game.  He will be playing for the right to join a tax bracket you and I only dream about.  I look for him to wear down this Texas D in the 3rd and 4th and make a statement to potential NFL suitors.  This is not going to be a cakewalk for Texas by any means, but I still feel that Texas wins with their 3rd down execution late in the game.  If this line grows to 12+ by game time, I will be likely put a stake on OHIO.  If it stays around 10, I will stay away.  I think that the UNDER 55 is the strongest play for this game.  With Texas’s punter/coverage (yes, they will have to punt a few times) OHIO will be facing long fields all day.  On the flip side, Texas will get into the red zone often, but I think OHIO’s D has the ability to hold them to more field goals than were accustomed to seeing with Texas.  These two teams are the 3rd and 4th best defenses in the country in my opinion.(1Florida/2USC) 

As always, thanks for the insight.

16 comments
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ShmoJoe says:
12/09/08 05:38PM

Sorry, this post did not come out right.

 

 

  Texas’s D has been playing with a fire under their ass since the AZ state game at the end of last year.  The addition of Mushcamp has kept this D playing at its highest level since Derek Johnson way blowing people up, so I don’t think being “pissed off” (if they even are-this season has already far exceeded expectations for this squad) makes any difference in the outcome of this game from the defensive standpoint.  Make no mistake; this is the best front 7 in the entire country.  That being said, they are not best suited to stop mobile QB’s (watch the Baylor game).  If Pryor is able to elude the rush, he will certainly have some breakdowns in the secondary to take advantage of.  That’s not to say that this secondary is not good, but I think it is important to remember that both safeties are freshmen and have blown coverage on several occasions this year.  On the other side, Colt is going to be throwing against the best secondary he has seen since he played Ohio state 2 years ago.  I don’t see Cosby/Shipley having the quick route releases that kill most defenses UT has faced.  This quick/short passing game is going to be even more important for UT because they will have zero running room against the Ohio st. front 7.  Remember, this is still one of the most experienced defenses in the country with next level talent all over.  And then there’s Beanie.  Beanie is going to be playing for something much more inspiring than pride or school spirit this game.  He will be playing for the right to join a tax bracket you and I only dream about.  I look for him to wear down this Texas D in the 3rd and 4th and make a statement to potential NFL suitors.  This is not going to be a cakewalk for Texas by any means, but I still feel that Texas wins with their 3rd down execution late in the game.  If this line grows to 12+ by game time, I will be likely put a stake on OHIO.  If it stays around 10, I will stay away.  I think that the UNDER 55 is the strongest play for this game.  With Texas’s punter/coverage (yes, they will have to punt a few times) OHIO will be facing long fields all day.  On the flip side, Texas will get into the red zone often, but I think OHIO’s D has the ability to hold them to more field goals than were accustomed to seeing with Texas.  These two teams are the 3rd and 4th best defenses in the country in my opinion.(1Florida/2USC) 

As always, thanks for the insight.

 

ShmoJoe says:
12/09/08 05:47PM
Heres the beginning and end to this post.  Guess my copy and paste was too large-----

 

The general consensus seems to be that Texas is “pissed off” and will steamroll Ohio State in the Fiesta.  I initially had the same feeling for this game, but I am starting to see the error in this logic.

 

 

 

Godfather16 says:
12/09/08 10:37PM
these guys are gonna spend all of their time bitching and moaning about not being in the title game, and they aren't going to be ready for OSU. Typically teams that get shafted like this put in really clunker bowl performances.
longhornswin says:
12/09/08 10:58PM
Not Texas, they will be ready and will beat OSU convicingly, I feel very confident in that. 
Mazdaspeed says:
12/10/08 02:33AM
Is pronouncing "THE" hard a by product of snorting meth?  Is it some sort of midwestern white trash code?  I have been to Ohio (God help me) and I half expected people to give me directions to THE mall and THE waffle house and THE crack dealers house.

Someone help me out.
alwayson22 says:
12/10/08 12:07PM
I agree with your analysis, ShmoJoe.  I like the under in Texas-Ohio St. mainly due to the fact that the Buckeyes scored 9 points combined against Penn St. and USC.

 

The only correction I would make is putting USC's defense at number 1

phark says:
12/10/08 12:46PM
I dont see how Ohio St will hang with Texas personally, they just dont match up well against them. Ohio St is slow, Pryor who will be a stud is still very raw and his passes seem to "hang " in the air.

 

I dont see how Ohio St will hang with them on the field...Texas has played against mobile qb's and will contain Pryor.

darant says:
12/10/08 04:45PM


Is it probable that your sorry ass spelling and grammar mistakes (or your sausage fingers) are by-products of your snorting methamphetamines?  Get a life Mazdaspeed.  And tell your sister I'm waiting for her at the airport! 
ShadowWarrior says:
12/10/08 05:22PM
only question is if TX will be motivated to play after the snub and disappointment of not playing in the championship game.  Same goes for USC.  I think both team rolls causing cries for a PLAYOFF!!!!!!!!!!
Ryno1524 says:
12/11/08 12:24PM
I like Texas here.  As long as they are motivated which it sounds like they are, they should take care of OSU handily. Muschamp's defense is pretty tough to face, especially with a month to prepare his defense.  I see Pryor having a rough game with all the speed Texas has on the defense, the running game will be tough for Pryor. 

 

Offensively its tough to shut down Texas.  Their running game has started to come on with the 3/4 back system (??).  McCoy should control the game, limit turnovers and continue to do what he's done all season. I think Texas holds OSU under 20 here

 

Texas

34

 

OSU

17

ShmoJoe says:
12/11/08 02:48PM
RYNO,,,,

One thing that worries me about Pryor is his ability to hold on the ball when UT linebackers get a hold of him.  I think Kindle could possibly create a couple turnovers by himself if Pryor is sloppy.  We will see
HarleyBettor says:
12/11/08 03:08PM

I bet based on your belief.  I'm just glad you're not biased. 

Ryno1524 says:
12/11/08 03:13PM
But who you got in the pickem BlowShmo?  That prize money is all part-times
TWECAR says:
12/11/08 03:30PM
Pryor is no longer a freshman.  He has improved alot since he played a few series in the USC game.
Ap1Bfreetorun says:
12/11/08 07:35PM
To ensure that Texas has their mind right Coach should post some clippings from THE (sorry, almost forgot) Ohio State players or fans.  Or, they could just copy and paste some of Godfather 16's more inflammatory remarks.  That ought to do it.  Some of that "best team ever" crap.
THEMUGG says:
12/11/08 09:57PM
Texas will get into the red zone often, but I think OHIO’s D has the

ability to hold them to more field goals than were accustomed to seeing

with Texas.  These two teams are the 3rd and 4th best defenses in the country in my opinion.(1Florida/2USC2)


 Really? Sorry, but I disagree..........this may be close for about 3 qtrs, but in the end Texas wins comfortably, ie they cover.

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User: ShmoJoe
Joined: November 2008
Location: Texas
Team: Texas Longhorns
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