SteveA2009's Blog

Posted 21 hours, 47 minutes ago

SteveA's MLB May 24

Yesterday:. 1-3, -1.98 units
Season: 89-101, -6.63 units 

   Nationals -1.5 runs +115 vs Mets (Intertops) - significant starting pitching advantage.  And Did a out of aet lineup that already had been averaging about 3.4 run s per game the past two weeks.


Posted Monday, May 23, 2016 04:16 PM

SteveA's MLB May 23

Yesterday:. 2-0-1, +2.35 units plus a rainout
Season:. 88:98, -4.65 units

   Phillies +104 vs Tigers (Intertops) - like Vince Velázquez, and Cabrera likely out of the Detroit lineup

   White Sox -114 vs Indians Game 2 (Intertops) - Anderson has been lit up all year

   A's +115 vs Mariners (Intertops) - a good road record and their best 2016 pitcher on the mound

   Padres +156 vs Giants (Intertops) - former 1st round pick Pomeranz has pitched too well to pass up at this kind of #



Posted Sunday, May 22, 2016 12:07 PM

SteveA's MLB May 22

Yesterday:   4-1-1, +3.48 units
Season:   86-98, -7.00 units

   Tigers -115 vs Rays (Intertops) -- Tigers at home with their ace on the mound... very reasonable price too.

   Mariners/Reds over 9 -130 (Intertops) -- Neither starting pitcher is very good, and of course the Reds' horrific bullpen is always worth a few runs.

   Rockies +135 vs Pirates (Intertops) --  Two offenses score roughly the same amount (even when you just look at the Rockies away from Coors Field).   Two starters are statistically pretty close to even   Two bullpens pretty close to even.   Pirates are at home but Rockies have played better on the road than at home.   Pirates are weaker vs RH pitching.   Altogether, this seems like a dead even game to me, and when I can get a side at +135 in a dead even game, I take it.


Posted Saturday, May 21, 2016 01:51 PM

SteveA's MLB May 21

Yesterday:  2-0, +2.48 units
Season:  82-97, -10.48 units

   Cardinals/Diamondbacks over 8 +105 (Intertops) -- These two teams combine to average over 10 runs per game and I certainly don't see anything in these pitchers to make me think they would keep them 3 runs under their combined average, which is what it would take to lose this bet.

   Rockies +105 vs Pirates (Intertops) -- Chatwood pitching very well, especially away from Coors Field.

   Indians +133 vs Red Sox (Intertops) -- Joe Kelly sucks

   Cubs/Giants over 7.5 -120 (Intertops) -- Cubs have a great offense, Giants hit lefties very well.

   Orioles -132 vs Angels (Intertops) -- Better team, better offense, better starting pitcher, better bullpen.   And Angels are starting Shoemaker who has struggled all year with a bullpen that is strained from 11 innings of use the last two nights.

   Padres +143 vs Dodgers (Intertops) -- A sub-.500 Dodger team just seemed to me to be too big a road favorite here.


Posted Friday, May 20, 2016 06:29 PM

SteveA's MLB May 20

Yesterday:. 1-4, -3.00 units
Season: 80-97, -12.96 units

   Rangers +148 vs Astros (Intertops)

   Yankees / A's over 7.5 -110 (Intertops)


Posted Thursday, May 19, 2016 06:24 PM

SteveA's MLB May 19

Yesterday:. 1-1, 0.00
Season:. 78-93, -9.96 units

   Braves +160 vs Pirates (Intertops)

   Rockies +120 bs Cardinals (Intertops)

   Twins +123 vs Blue Jays (Intertops)

   Padres +138 vs Giants (Intertops)


Posted Tuesday, May 17, 2016 06:41 PM

SteveA's MLB May 17

Yesterday: 0-2, -2.23 units
Season:. 73-90, -11.16 units

   Phillies +100 vs Marlins (Intertops)



Posted Sunday, May 15, 2016 10:18 AM

SteveA's MLB May 15

Yesterday:  2-2, +0.18 units
Season:  72-83, -4.54 units

   Orioles -1.5 runs +110 vs Tigers (Intertops) - Baltimore offense is absolutely on fire and even if this game is by chance even after 6 innings the huge difference in bullpen talent will put the Orioles over the top.

   Yankees -1.5 runs +110 bs White Sox (Intertops) - Yankees are having a great homestand and have a significant starting pitching edge here.

   Phillies -109 vs Reds (Intertops) + better team, at home.  Reds have been the worst road team in the majors.  Young Philly starter has looked pretty good.  And if it is close late, the Reds bullpen is the worst in all of baseball.  A pretty reasonable price.

   Mariners -140 vs Angels (Intertops) - King Felix on the mound at home vs an Angel team reeling with injuries.

   Nationals +108 vs Marlins (Intertops) - hard to pass up a team with one of the best records in baseball as a home underdog with a great young starter on the mound.  Jose Fernandez is great but he is a bit less invincible on the road.  Look at Ross's numbers, especially considering the quality offenses he has faces.


Posted Saturday, May 14, 2016 01:03 PM

SteveA's MLB May 14

Yesterday:  2-1, +1.20 units
Season:  70-81, -4.72 units

  Marlins +1.5 runs +100 vs Nationals (Intertops) - anytime I can get the underdog with the runline and STILL get at least even money, I at least give it some consideration.  I don't always do it, but in this case you have a Marlin team that is playing pretty good baseball, and a young pitcher who has looked pretty good in 3 starts.


Posted Thursday, May 12, 2016 04:43 PM

SteveA's MLB May 12

Yesterday:  4-3, +1.08 units
Season:  67-79, -5.82 units

   Royals +120 vs Yankees (Intertops)

   Orioles -1.5 +100 vs Tigers (Intertops)


Posted Wednesday, May 11, 2016 08:50 AM

SteveA's MLB May 11

Yesterday:  1-3, -0.93 units
Season:  62-74, -6.90 units

   Rangers -135 vs White Sox

   Orioles -106 vs Twins

   Indians -125 vs Astros

All from Intertops


Posted Tuesday, May 10, 2016 06:42 PM

SteveA's MLB May 10

Yesterday:  2-4, -2.14 units
Season:  62-74, -5.97 units

   Nationals -1.5 runs +115 vs Tigers (Intertops)

   Phillies +107 vs Braves (Intertops)

   Reds +123 vs Pirates (Intertops)


Posted Monday, May 09, 2016 06:51 PM

SteveA's MLB May 9

Yesterday:  2-4, -1.66 units
Season:  60-70, -3.83 units

   Nationals +1.5 runs +105 vs Tigers (Intertops)

   A's +118 vs Red Sox (Intertops)

   Rangers -114 vs White Sox (Intertops)

   Reds / Pirates over 9 +100 (Intertops)

   Orioles +108 vs Twins (Intertops)



Posted Sunday, May 08, 2016 01:10 PM

SteveA's MLB May 8

Yesterday:   4-2, +2.13 units
Season:  58-66, -2.17 units

    Reds +112 vs Brewers (Intertops) -- two rookie pitchers with one start each.  A team that is 4-9 on the road vs a team that is 11-8 at home.   Just don't see why Brewers are favored here.

   Royals +120 vs Indians (Intertops)

   Rangers +122 vs Tigers (Intertops)


Posted Saturday, May 07, 2016 01:07 PM

SteveA's MLB May 7

Thursday:  2-3, -0.73 units
Friday:  2-4, -1.89 units
Season  56-64, -4.30 units

   Blue Jays/Dodgers over 7.5 -125 (Intertops)

   Rangers -115 vs Tigers (Intertops)


Posted Wednesday, May 04, 2016 08:31 AM

SteveA's MLB May 4

Yesterday:  2-2, -0.13 units
Season:  48-55, -2.75 units

Damn Papelbon cost me a winning day...

   Reds +120 vs Giants (Intertops) -- Peavy simply not getting the job done

   Mets -1.5 runs +105 vs Braves (Intertops)

   Tigers +157 vs Indians (Intertops)


Posted Tuesday, May 03, 2016 06:47 PM

SteveA's MLB May 3

Yesterday:  4-2, +2.79 units
Season:  46-53, -2.62 units

   Marlins +103 vs Diamondbacks (Intertops) - a hot team as a home underdog, simple as that


Posted Sunday, May 01, 2016 12:39 PM

SteveA's MLB May 1

Wednesday:  2-1, +1.10 units
Thursday:  0-1, -1.25 units
Friday:  2-1, +1.23 units
Saturday:  4-3, +1.27 units
Season:  39-49, -7.82 units

   Tigers +129 vs Twins (Intertops) - Tigers are the better the and I don't think the starting pitching matchup merits making the Twins this big a favorite.

   Phillies +117 vs Indians (Intertops)


Posted Wednesday, April 27, 2016 06:52 PM

SteveA's MLB April 27

Yesterday:  3-2, +1.87 units
Season:  31+43, -10.14 units

   Nationals -1.5 runs +100 vs Phillies (Intertops)

   White Sox +110 vs Blue Jays (Intertops) - riding a hot team

   Rangers -118 vs Yankees (Intertops)


Posted Tuesday, April 26, 2016 06:56 PM

SteveA's MLB April 26

Yesterday:  0-7, -7.10 units
Season:  28-41, -12.04 units

Wow, second horrible day like that this year.  Other than that I'm up for the season!  (Other than that, how was the play Mrs Lincoln?)

   Phillies +175 vs Nationals

   White Sox -120 vs Blue Jays

   Tigers +124 vs A's

   Reds +140 vs Mets

   Rangers +112 vs Yankees

   


Posted Monday, April 25, 2016 05:52 PM

SteveA's MLB April 25

Saturday:  2-5, -1.94 units
Sunday:  2-2, +0.03 units

   Blue Jays -1.5 runs +110 vs White Sox (Intertops) - huge starting pitching mismatch.  Gonzalez couldn't even hit 89 MPH in Oriole camp.

   Braves +120 vs Red Sox (Intertops) - Red Sox played a long extra inning nigt game then had to fly to Atlanta.

   Reds +185 vs Mets (Intertops) - just too high given how well Iglesias has pitched.

   Pirates/Rockies over 12 -110 (Intertops) - Coors Field seems to be really high scoring again this year and neither of these starters is all that good.

   Cardinals +111 vs Diamondbacks (Intertops) - Cards are killing the ball.

   Royals +111 vs Angels (Intertops) - way better team as a + dog

   Padrrs +165 vs Giants (Intertops) -- just too high given SF's mediocre play and how well Pomeranz has pitched

   


Posted Saturday, April 23, 2016 12:14 PM

SteveA's MLB April 23

Yesterday:  2-2, +0.30 units
Season:  24-28, -2.91 units

   A's +135 vs Blue Jays (Intertops) - ride the hot team with a young pitcher who is off to a good start.

   Nationals -113 vs Twins (Intertops) + one of the nest teams in baseball at home vs one of the worst.  Absolutely no idea how this line can be this low.

   Rangers +135 vs White Sox (Intertops)


Posted Friday, April 22, 2016 07:00 PM

SteveA's MLB April 22

Wednesday:  4-1, +3.48 units
Thursday:  2-1, +1.73 units
Season:  22-26, -3.21 units

   Tigers -107 vs Indians (Intertops)

   A's +120 vs Blue Jays (Intertops)

  


Posted Wednesday, April 20, 2016 06:56 PM

SteveA's MLB April 20

Yesterday:  1-2, -1.00 units
Season:  6-25, -8.42 units

All bets made on Intertops:

   A's +135 vs Yankees 

   Rays -107 vs Red Sox - in addition to Tampa having the far better starter on theound, there is also a Red Sox bullpen that pitched over 9 innings last night.

   Nationals -104 vs Marlins

   Tigers +120 vs Royals



Posted Tuesday, April 19, 2016 06:46 PM

SteveA's MLB April 19

Sunday:  1-4, -3.01 units
Monday:  0-3, -3.00 units
Season:  15-23, -7.42 units

   Phillies +100 vs Mets (Intertops)

   Rangers +100 vs Astros (Intertops)

    Angels +107 vs White Sox (Intertops)


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