SteveA2009's Blog

Posted Wednesday, September 17, 2014 06:49 PM

SteveA's MLB September 17

Yesterday:  1-3, -2.28 units
Season:  +9.77 units

   Indians -125 vs Astros (Intertops)

   Rangers +186 vs A's (Intertops)


Posted Friday, September 12, 2014 01:53 PM

SteveA's MLB September 12

Wednesday:  2-2, 0.00 units
No plays Thursday
Season:  +11.25 units

   Indians +140 vs Tigers (Intertops) -- Carrasco has pitched great, Price has been more up and down.    This line should be closer to even.

   Mets +135 vs Nationals (Intertops) -- Nats not the same team on the road as at home.  Mets playing good recent baseball, won 7 of 9.

   Rangers +128 vs Braves (Intertops) -- Yeah, the Rangers are awful.   But Atlanta is sub-.500 on the road, has not been paying well recently (haven't won consecutive games in over 2 weeks).   And Holland's return from his knee injury has been about the only bright spot of hte second half of the season for the Rangers.

   Reds +123 vs Brewers (Intertops) -- Both teams have been pretty horrible for the last several weeks.   Pitching matchup is pretty even.   I'll take the plus money.

   Royals -1.5 runs +115 vs Red Sox (Intertops) -- better team, way better starter, at home. 

   Cardinals -1.5 runs +100 vs Rockies (Intertops) -- ditto

  


Posted Wednesday, September 10, 2014 10:23 AM

SteveA's MLB September 10

Yesterday:  3-3, +0.51 units
Season:  +11.25 units

   Orioles -133 vs Red Sox (Intertops)


Posted Monday, September 08, 2014 10:10 AM

SteveA's MLB September 8

Yesterday:  3-2, +1.43 units
Season:  +10.19 units

   Royals +120 vs Tigers (Intertops) -- Cap this one pretty much as a dead even game, maybe even a slight edge to KC.   Have to take the plus money in that situation.


Posted Friday, September 05, 2014 01:42 PM

SteveA's MLB September 5

Yesterday:  2-0, +2.33 units
Season:  +9.44 units

   Royals +109 vs Yankees (Intertops)

   Orioles +122 vs Rays (Intertops)


Posted Monday, September 01, 2014 01:07 PM

SteveA's MLB September 1

Yesterday:  4-2, +2.37 units
Season:  +10.01 units

   Mariners +130 vs A's (Intertops)

   Giants -137 vs Rockies (Intertops)

   Royals -1.5 runs +105 vs Rangers (Intertops)


Posted Sunday, August 31, 2014 04:05 PM

SteveA's MLB August 31

I posted these picks about 6 hours ago but mis-titled the thread with yesterday's date, so I'm reposting them to get them in the right titled thread:

Yesterday:  0-1, -1.00 units
Season:  +7.64 units

   Mets -115 vs Phillies (Intertops)

   Reds +122 vs Pirates (Intertops)

   Orioles -1.5 runs +115 vs Twins (Intertops)

   White Sox +102 vs Tigers (Intertops)


And now I'm adding:

   Padres +153 vs Dodgers (Intertops) -- Dodgers poor #s vs LHP, Padres' great home record, Ryu uncertain status coming off DL... all leads me to believe Padres havea  40%+ chance of winning here.



Posted Thursday, August 28, 2014 06:36 PM

SteveA's NFL Preseason Week 4

Last week:  1-3-1, -2.15 units
Preseason:  6-6, -0.50 units

   Dolphins PK -120 vs Rams (Intertops) -- Rams aren't going to risk new starting QB Shaun Hill for much more than a series, so they will essentially be down to their 3rd and 4th string QBs for the vast majority of this game.

   Patriots +3 -105 vs Giants (Intertops) -- Patriots have decided that Jimmy Garappolo is going to be their #2 QB and QB of the future, and they are going to let him go the whole game tonight.   Mallet won't even play as they don't want to risk injury that would damage his trade value.  I think to get a good look at Garappolo, the Patriots will play this game fairly straight.

   Redskins +3 -120 vs Buccaneers (Intertops) -- Kirk Cousins is having a great preseason and he will probably play the bulk of this game.   And the Redskins' #3 QB, Colt McCoy, has some NFL experience too.


Posted Thursday, August 28, 2014 06:22 PM

SteveA's MLB August 28

Yesterday:  0-1, -1.00 units
Season:  +9.18 units

   Mets +104 vs Dodgers (Intertops)


Posted Thursday, August 28, 2014 05:38 PM

SteveA's College Football Opening Weekend

   Washington State -7.5 vs Rutgers (Intertops) -- Leach has things on the upswing at Wazzu, while Rutgers is just plain bad.


Posted Wednesday, August 27, 2014 09:17 PM

SteveA's MLB August 27

Yesterday:  2-2, +0.10 units
Season:  +10.18 units

   Marlins +135 vs Angels (Intertops) -- Similar to Monday night's play on Miami.   Better starting pitcher, good underdog price, and facing a lefty, which they hit better than righties.


Posted Saturday, August 23, 2014 09:23 AM

SteveA's MLB August 23

Thursday:  0-1, -1.00 units
Friday:  2-2, -0.35 units
Season:  +11.77 units

   Rays +100 vs Blue Jays (Intertops)


Posted Thursday, August 21, 2014 07:31 AM

SteveA's MLB August 2

Yesterday:  1-3, -1.80 units
Season:  +12.12 units

   Astros +155 vs Yankees (Intertops)


Posted Tuesday, August 19, 2014 06:50 PM

SteveA's MLB August 19

Sunday:  3-0, +3.29 units
Monday:  1-0, +1.43 units
Season:  +11.96 units

   Braves +135 vs Pirates (Intertops) -- Better team, vs a team in a bad slump, at a nice price.

   Astros +157 vs Yankees (Intertops) -- line is just toop high.

   Angels -130 vs Red Sox (Intertops)

   Rays +114 vs Tigers (Intertops)


Posted Sunday, August 17, 2014 12:46 PM

SteveA's MLB August 17

Friday:  0-2, -2.00 units
Season:  +7.24 units

I actually made some bets yesterday but in my haste to head out the door I completely forgot to post them here so I can't count them in my record.   I went 1-2, -0.84 units.   Anyway, today:

   Mariners +105 vs Tigers (Intertops)

   Orioles +119 vs Indians (Intertops)

   Brewers +105 vs Dodgers (Intertops)


Posted Thursday, August 14, 2014 07:58 PM

SteveA's NFL Preseason Week 2

Week 1:  1-1-1, -1.10 units

   Jaguars +3 -115 vs Bears (Intertops)


Posted Monday, August 11, 2014 06:47 PM

SteveA's MLB August 11

Yesterday:  2-1, +1.50 units
Season:  +10.22 units

   Orioles -119 vs Yankees (Intertops) -- Honestly with the pitchers they are throwing out there and the holes in their lineup, I don't understand how the Yankees have hung above .500 this long.   But it has to come to an end, and the Orioles are red hot.   They haven't lost 2 games in a row since June, and their slumbering bats have awoken the last week or so.

   Pirates +102 vs Tigers (Intertops) -- Tigers bullpen is shredded with Soria going on the DL and the 19 inning game yesterday.  And they just aren't playing very well, nor has Verlander been his normal dominant self.   Pirates are at home, and right now they have the better pitcher on the mound.

   Mariners -1.5 runs +100 vs Blue Jays (Intertops)

  


Posted Sunday, August 10, 2014 02:01 PM

SteveA's MLB August 10

Yesterday:  1-2, -1.00 units
Season:  +8.72 nits

   Dodgers -150 vs Brewers (Intertops)

   Twins +150 vs A's (Intertops)


Posted Saturday, August 09, 2014 03:27 PM

SteveA's MLB August 9

Yesterday:  0-3, -3.30 units
Season:  +9.72 units

   Giants +133 vs Royals (Intertops)

   Diamondbacks -102 vs Rockies (Intertops)

   Angels -1.5 runs +110 vs Red Sox (Intertops)


Posted Friday, August 08, 2014 07:05 PM

SteveA's MLB August 8

Yesterday:  2-0, +2.31 units
Season:  +13.02 units

   Reds -130 vs Marlins (Intertops) -- Reds had a very rough first half but it appears to me they are starting to turn it on in a division that is still very much in reach.   Meanwhile, the Marlins seem to be on an opposite trajectory, their decent first half is behind them, and they are a poor road team.


Posted Thursday, August 07, 2014 01:17 AM

SteveA's NFL Preseason Week 1

I've been betting preseason NFL games for 13 years.  I've only had two losing preseasons in that time (but last year was the worst):

2001 23-17, +4.52 units
2002 27-20, +5.66 units
2003 27-23, +2.07 units
2004 15-14,  0.00 units
2005 17-13, +3.00 units
2006 11-10, +0.35 units
2007 15-10, +3.90 units
2008 16-7, +8.30 units
2009 12-10, +0.80 units
2010 6-7, -1.80 units
2011 7-6, +0.35 units
2012 15-8, +6.20 units
2013 9-12, -4.95 units
TOTAL:  200-157, +28.30 units

Let's see how I do in 2014.   My first plays:

   Indianapolis +3 -105 vs Jets (Intertops) -- Jets have lost all four preseason openers under Rex Ryan.

   Bengals +1.5 vs Chiefs (Intertops) -- Andy Reid is another coach who doesn't take preseason games, especially the opener, very seriously.


Posted Wednesday, August 06, 2014 10:22 AM

SteveA's MLB August 6

Yesterday:  1-2, -1.00 units
Season:  +10.61 units

   A's -1.5 runs +105 vs Rays (Intertops)

   Mariners +110 vs Braves (Intertops) -- Young is extremely tough at home.   He's an extreme fly ball pitcher which is perfect for spacious Safeco Park.


Posted Sunday, August 03, 2014 12:59 PM

SteveA's MLB August 3

Yesterday:  1-1, +0.04 units
Season:  214-234, +13.78 units

   Mets +113 vs Giants (Intertops) -- Giants playing pretty badly, and Bumgarner has given up 5+ runs in 5 of his last 7 starts.   Mets a bit stronger vs LH than vs RH, and an over .500 team at home.   Seems like a good spot for a home dog.

  


Posted Saturday, August 02, 2014 12:51 PM

SteveA's MLB August 1

Yesterday:  0-1, -1.00 units
Season:  213-233, +13.74 units

   Nationals -1.5 runs +115 vs Phillies (Intertops)

   Orioles -111 vs Mariners (Intertops)


Posted Wednesday, July 30, 2014 09:57 AM

SteveA's MLB July 30

Yesterday:  2-2, +0.73 units
Season:  210-232, +12.49 units

   Nationals/Marlins over 7.5 -105 (Intertops) -- Both teams average about 4 runs per game.   Nationals hit lefties very well.  


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