SteveA2009's Blog

Posted 5 hours, 26 minutes ago

SteveA's MLB July 30

Yesterday:  2-2, +0.73 units
Season:  210-232, +12.49 units

   Nationals/Marlins over 7.5 -105 (Intertops) -- Both teams average about 4 runs per game.   Nationals hit lefties very well.  


Posted 20 hours, 42 minutes ago

SteveA's MLB July 28

Yesterday:  3-1, +2.86 units
Season:  208-230, +11.76 units

   Continuing in the same vein as yesterday, picking + dogs who I think have a 50/50 chance of winning.   Win 2 of 4 and make a little $... yesterday I was fortunate to hit 3.

   White Sox +148 vs Tigers (Intertops) -- Quintana is a solid pitcher, Detroit isn't playing their best ball of hte year right now.   Line is just too high.

   Marlins +125 vs Nationals (Intertops) -- Marlins are red hot, Strasburg's road ERA is much higher than at home.

   Cardinals +103 vs Padres (Intertops) -- better overall team with a very good starting pitcher.

   Braves +133 vs Dodgers (Intertops) -- Beckett's first start off the DL last week was not very good, and Harang is having a very solid year for Atlanta.


Posted Sunday, July 27, 2014 01:22 PM

SteveA's MLB July 27

Yesterday:  1-2, -0.65 units
Season:  203-228, +7.40 units

   Tigers +107 vs Angels (Intertops)

   Orioles +100 vs Mariners (Intertops)

   Dodgers -123 vs Giants (Intertops)


Posted Saturday, July 26, 2014 03:52 PM

SteveA's MLB July 26

Yesterday:  1-3, -2.05 units
Season:  202-226, +8.05 units

Continue to take a beating since the All Star Break, when I was +22 units for the season.

   Orioles +101 vs Mariners (Intertops) -- Way better offense, comparable pitching.


Posted Wednesday, July 23, 2014 08:32 PM

SteveA's MLB July 23

Yesterday:  1-3, -1.75 units
Season:  201-219, +12.86 units

   Orioles +157 vs Angels (Intertops)


Posted Monday, July 21, 2014 06:56 PM

SteveA's MLB July 21

Yesterday:  2-3, -0.60 units
Season:  197-216, +11.25 units

   Giants +119 vs Phillies (Intertops) -- Yeah, Lee is the superior starting pitcher, but San Fran is better in every other sense.   Offense, bullpen, even their excellent road record which is better than Philly's home record.

   Nationals -145 vs Rockies (Intertops) -- Ugh, sometimes you have to go out of your comfort zone to bust out of a slump, and I'm in a pretty horrible slump.   I *HATE* road favorites.   But here we have the far better team, facing a Rockies team that is playing terrible baseball, with the significantly better starting pitcher, and also the Nats hit lefties well.   So I'm making a play I probably wouldn't consider if I hadn't dropped 11 units over the past 3 days.

   Orioles +125 vs Angels (Intertops)


Posted Sunday, July 20, 2014 01:05 PM

SteveA's MLB July 20

Yesterday:  1-4, -2.65 units
Season:  195-213, +11.85 units

The bleeding continues.   I was +22.50 units pre-All Star Break and I've given almost half of it back in 2 days.  Baseball betting is such a roller coaster, you have to have the stomach for it!

   Blue Jays -1.5 runs +110 vs Rangers (Intertops) -- Rangers are awful, they've lost 9 of 10 and not a single one of those was a 1-run game, and now they lost another batter to injury (Rios), also Choo is out of the lineup today.

   Reds +113 vs Yankees (Intertops) -- Can't pass up Cueto as a + dog, even though I've lost on the Reds two straight days and I usually don't allow myself to ever lose on the same team 3 straight days.




Posted Saturday, July 19, 2014 01:02 PM

SteveA's MLB July 19

Yesterday:  0-7, -7.00 units
Season:  194-209, +15.50 units

What a horrific way to start the second half.   4 1 run losses including one in 16 innings, a 9th inning blown lead, 6 of the 7 teams I bet had a lead in the 5th inning or later.   Wow.

First one today:

   Reds +135 vs Yankees (Intertops)


Posted Sunday, July 13, 2014 08:12 AM

SteveA's MLB July 13

Yesterday:  2-1, +1.16 units
Season:  198-201, +22.30 units

   Twins +120 vs Rockies (Intertops)

    Mariners +135 vs A's (Intertops)


Posted Friday, July 04, 2014 09:45 AM

SteveA's MLB July 4

Yesterday:  0-2, -2.00 units
Season:  178-188, +10.68 units

   Cubs +140 vs Nationals (Intertops)


Posted Thursday, July 03, 2014 07:50 PM

SteveA's MLB July 3

Yesterday:  1-2, -0.91 units
Season:  178-186, +12.68 units

   Twins +135 vs Yankees (Intertops) -- Yankees in a tailspin, Hughes pitching great.   Have to look at them as significant home underdogs.

   A's/Blue Jays over 8 +100 (Intertops) -- Two of the highest scoring teams in the majors.   Yeah, the starters are good but both have struggled a bit of late.


Posted Wednesday, July 02, 2014 08:02 AM

SteveA's MLB July 2

Yesterday:  0-1, -1.00 units
Season:  177-184, +13.59 units

   A's +103 vs Tigers (Intertops)


Posted Monday, June 30, 2014 06:34 PM

SteveA's MLB June 30

Yesterday:  1-2, -0.87 units
Season:  176-182, +14.09

   Cubs +150 vs Red Sox (Intertops)

   Astros +101 vs Mariners (Intertops)


Posted Sunday, June 29, 2014 12:40 PM

SteveA's MLB June 28

Friday:  2-4, -1.54 units
Saturday:  no plays posted
Season:  175-180, +14.96

I actually made some bets yesterday and went 2-3 and lost some $, but I forgot to post the plays here so I won't count them in my record.

Today:

   Mets +108 vs Pirates (Intertops)

   Orioles +102 vs Rays (Intertops)

   Twins +113 vs Rangers (Intertops)


Posted Tuesday, June 24, 2014 07:02 PM

SteveA's MLB June 24

Yesterday:  2-0, +2.03 units
Season:  168-172, +12.20 units

   Blue Jays -127 vs Yankees (Intertops)

   Pirates +119 vs Rays (Intertops)


Posted Monday, June 23, 2014 07:29 PM

SteveA's MLB June 23

Yesterday:  0-2, -2.20 units
Season:  166-172, +10.17 units

   Reds +103 vs Cubs (Intertops)

   Mariners -140 vs Padres (Intertops)


Posted Sunday, June 22, 2014 01:32 PM

SteveA's MLB June 22

Yesterday:  5-1, +4.43 units
Season:  166-170, +12.37 units

    Needed a turnaround day like that after the way things had been going.

   Astros +108 vs Rays (Intertops)

   Cubs -120 vs Pirates (Intertops)


Posted Saturday, June 21, 2014 01:00 PM

SteveA's MLB June 21

Yesterday:  0-1, -1.00 units
Season:  161-169, +7.95 units

   Orioles +100 vs Yankees

   Mariners +160 vs Royals

   A's -145 vs Red Sox
 
   Marlins +128 vs Mets

   Tigers +109 vs Indians

   Giants +102 vs Diamondbacks


Posted Friday, June 20, 2014 10:05 PM

SteveA's MLB June 20

Yesterday:  0-4, -4.40 units
Season:  161-168 +8.94 units

   Dodgers +103 vs Padres (Intertops)


Posted Thursday, June 19, 2014 10:02 AM

SteveA's MLB June 19

Yesterday:  3-4, -0.24 units
Season:  163-164, +13.34 units

   Diamondbacks +109 vs Brewers (Intertops)


Posted Wednesday, June 18, 2014 09:21 AM

SteveA's MLB June 18

Yesterday:  3-2, +1.40 units
Season:  158-160, +13.58 units

   Royals +125 vs Tigers (Intertops) -- hottest team in baseball with a solid pitcher on the mound at + money, against a Detroit team that has lost 20 of 29 games.   Can't pass that up.

   Orioles +133 vs Rays (Intertops) -- Gausman looks like he might be ready to make a big splash in the majors, these two starts have been excellent.

   Twins +155 vs Red Sox (Intertops) -- Line is just way too high given similar record of the teams, similar offensive performance of the teams, similar stats of the starting pitchers.   Yes, Boston is at home with the better bullpen, but that isn't enough to justify that big a line.

   Giants +116 vs White Sox (Intertops) -- Hudson has allowed 0 runs in 4 of his last 8 starts and has been lights out all year.   Yeah, Sale is a great pitcher, but I have to believe any time Hudson takes the mound his team at least has a 50/50 shot of winning the game.


Posted Sunday, June 15, 2014 01:03 PM

SteveA's MLB June 15

Yesterday:  1-0, +5.00 units
Season:  152-152, +16.06 units

    Tigers/Twins over 9 -105 (Intertops)


Posted Saturday, June 14, 2014 01:48 PM

SteveA's MLB June 14

Yesterday:  2-5, -2.67 units
Season:  151-152, +15.06 units

   Orioles -103 vs Rays (Intertops)

  


Posted Friday, June 13, 2014 07:03 PM

SteveA's MLB June 13

Yesterday:  2-2, +0.05 units
Season:  149-147, +17.73 units

   Twins +145 vs Tigers (Intertops) -- Offenses score about the same amount.   Starting pitcher stats are very similar.   Twins actually have the far superior bullpen.   Recent play?   Twins are bouncing around .500, while the Tigers have won just 7 times in the past 22 games.   Yeah, Detroit is home and probably has the more talented team.   But this line is simply too high.


Posted Thursday, June 12, 2014 10:53 AM

SteveA's MLB June 12

Yesterday:  4-2, +2.33 units
Season:  148-145, +17.68 units

   Phillies -11 vs Padres (Intertops)


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