SteveA2009's Blog

Posted 47 minutes ago

SteveA's MLB May 27

Yesterday:  1-1, +0.35 units
Season:  73-75, +4.79 units

 A couple of quick day games before I head to work...

   Rangers +150 vs Indians (Intertops)

   Royals +133 vs Yankees (Intertops)


Posted 14 hours, 7 minutes ago

SteveA's MLB May 26

Yesterday:  1-2, -0.67 units
Season:  72-74, +4.44 units

   Twins +135 vs Red Sox (Intertops) -- Team with the significantly better record, with a starting pitcher who has put up the better stats, as a pretty big home underdog.   Pretty much an auto-play for me.

   Braves +220 vs Dodgers (Intertops) -- Do I necessarily think the Braves are going to win?   No.   But Teheran is a good pitcher and Kershaw is not having his usual dominant year up to this point, and I certainly think the Braves have at least a 1 in 3 chance to win, which makes this bet profitable in the long run.


Posted Saturday, May 23, 2015 11:47 AM

SteveA's MLB May 23

Yesterday:  1-0, +1.07 units
Season:  66-69, +1.47 units

   Rangers +138 vs Yankees (Intertops) -- Yankees in a tailspin, and certainly Martinez is out-pitching Sabathia this year by a big margin.

   Phillies +135 vs Nationals (Intertops) -- Strasburg has not exactly been lights out this year.  

   Braves -112 vs Brewers (Intertops) -- Don't understand why this is so low.

   Twins +157 vs White Sox (Intertops) -- Twins hitting lefties well.   This number is too high.


Posted Friday, May 22, 2015 05:57 PM

SteveA's MLB May 22

Yesterday:  1-0, +1.60 units
Season:  65-69, +0.40 units

Back in the black after being over 6 units down for the years a couple days ago.

   Angels +107 vs Red Sox (Intertops) -- Better starting pitcher, and Red Sox aren't hitting.   Sandoval still out of the lineup after being hit in the knee the other night, while Pujols is back in the Angel lineup.


Posted Sunday, May 17, 2015 01:07 PM

SteveA's MLB May 17

Yesterday:  0-3, -3.00 units
Season:  57-63, -5.56 units

   Braves +117 vs Marlins (Intertops)


Posted Saturday, May 16, 2015 06:40 PM

SteveA's MLB May 16

Yesterday:  0-2, -2.46 units
Season: 57-62, -0.56 units

   Brewers +124 vs Mets (Intertops) -- Brewers have been playing a bit better the past week or so.  Mets have lost 5 straight and their offense is pathetic, they've gone > 3 runs just 4 times in the past 13 games.  Garza has 4 straight quality starts.   Mets are just 3-4 in deGrom's 7 starts.   Seems to me the Brewers have a 50/50 shot here.


Posted Tuesday, May 12, 2015 06:10 PM

SteveA's MLB May 12

Yesterday:  2-2, +0.41 units
Season:  54-55, +3.10 units

    Rangers +127 vs Royals (Hard Rock Hotel Sports Book, Las Vegas)


Posted Monday, May 11, 2015 06:43 PM

SteveA's MLB May 11

Saturday:  2-3, -0.80 units
Sunday:  no plays
Season:  52-53, +2.69 units

   Rays -107 vs Yankees (Intertops) - this Colome kid looks pretty good and I think Sabathia is washed up.

   Braves +133 vs Mets (Intertops) - I can never pass up a quality starting pitcher like Miller at this type of number.  All he has to do is keep the Braves in the game and the terrible Red bullpen stands a good chance of handing them the game.

   Mets +135 vs Cubs (Intertops) - another starting g pitcher who is way too good to be this significant an underdog.

   Rangers +115 vs Royals (Intertops)


Posted Saturday, May 09, 2015 04:02 PM

SteveA's MLB May 9

Yesterday:  3-3, +0.30 units
Season:  50-50, +3.49 units

   Braves +133 vs Nationals (Intertops) -- Just thought this line was a bit high.

   Twins +120 vs Indians (Intertops) -- Twins have hit lefthanded pitching well this year and today they are facing a lefthander who is barely good enough to pitch in the majors.


Posted Thursday, May 07, 2015 05:59 AM

SteveA's MLB May 7

Yesterday:  3-1, +3.05 units
Season:  44-46, +0.69 units

   Royals +100 vs White Sox (Intertops) -- playing better, at home, better offense, better bullpen.   And while Kluber may be the more talented starter, he certainly isn't getting the job done this year so far.


Posted Monday, May 04, 2015 06:21 PM

SteveA's MLB May 4

Saturday:  1-1, +0.15 units
Sunday:  No plays
Season:  40-43, +0.39 units

A bunch of underdogs with a good chance to win tonight...

All on Intertops:

   Marlins +145 vs Nationals

   Yankees +108 vs Blue Jays

   Rays +125 vs Red Sox

   A's +103 vs Twins


Posted Saturday, May 02, 2015 06:57 PM

SteveA's MLB May 2

Yesterday:  2-1, +0.76 units
Season:  39-42, +0.24 units

   Braves +103 vs Reds (Intertops)


Posted Thursday, April 30, 2015 07:07 PM

SteveA's MLB April 30

Yesterday:  1-2, -0.80 units
Season:  37-39, +1.48 units

   Braves +117 vs Reds (Intertops)

   Tigers +107 vs Royals (Intertops)


Posted Wednesday, April 29, 2015 06:00 AM

SteveA's MLB April 29

Yesterday;  1-0, +1.55 units
Season:  36-37, +2.78 units

   Astros +120 vs Padres (Intertops) -- Yes, the Padres' great numbers so far vs lefty pitching is certainly a concern.   But Keuchel has been absolutely lights out, the Astros are 9-2 on the road and playing great, it's hard to argue that they don't have a 50/50 shot in this one.

   Royals +120 vs Indians (Intertops)


Posted Monday, April 27, 2015 07:54 PM

SteveA's MLB April 27

Yesterday:  2-2, +0.47 units
Season:  34-36, +1.29 units

Well, at least the stretch of 4 straight losing days was ended before I fell below even for the year.

   Rangers -111 vs Mariners (Intertops) -- a couple teams playing about the same level of baseball, Rangers are at home, and Gallardo has pitched way better than Walker.

   Astros +105 vs Padres (Intertops) -- McHugh is the real deal.


Posted Sunday, April 26, 2015 01:52 PM

SteveA's MLB April 26

Yesterday:  2-3, -0.75 units
Season:  32-34, +0.82 units

The losing streak continues, but I'm still up for the season... barely.

   Cardinals -126 vs Brewers (Intertops) -- Not sure why this dropped so much from the opening line.   Yeah, no Holliday or Molina in the SL lineup, but Milwaukee has no Braun or Matt Lucroy.

   Rangers +140 vs Angels (Intertops) -- Just looking at value here, line is too high given how well Martinez has pitched.

   Twins +133 vs Mariners (Intertops) -- Both teams 7-10, Twins have the better starting pitcher on the mound in my opinoin, once again I see value at this number.

   Mets +140 vs Yankees (Intertops) -- Seems pretty close to an even game to me, no idea why the line is so high.

  


Posted Saturday, April 25, 2015 03:14 PM

SteveA's MLB April 25

Yesterday:  1-5, -4.14 units
Season:  30-31, +1.57 units

   Mets +125 vs Yankees (Intertops)

   Blue Jays +102 vs Rays (Intertops) -- Erasmo Ramirez has nothing.  Norris might not either, but the Jays have the better offensive team.


Posted Thursday, April 23, 2015 10:00 AM

SteveA's MLB April 23

Yesterday;  0-5, -5.35 units
Season:  28-24, +6.48 units

Guess all hot streaks have to come to an end!

   Tigers +105 vs Yankees (Intertops)

   Cardinals +123 vs Nationals (Intertops)


Posted Monday, April 20, 2015 09:55 AM

SteveA's MLB April 20

Yesterday:  4-1, +4.00 units
Season:  22-16, +8.00 units

   Orioles +110 vs Red Sox (Intertops) -- Weather doesn't look good, don't know if they'll get this in.   But Justin Masterson isn't any good.


Posted Sunday, April 19, 2015 01:06 PM

SteveA's MLB April 19

Yesterday:  2-1, +1.08 units
Season:  18-15, +4.00 units

   Braves +157 vs Blue Jays (Intertops) -- No way should this line be this high.

   Yankees/Rays over 7 -120 (Intertops) -- Yankees are scoring 5.36 rpg so far this year and they have their full lineup today, except at catcher.   And they are facing some spot starter who didn't get out of the 4th inning in his only major league start, and who is backed by a Tampa bullpen that has put up a 6.25 ERA and who just cut their highest paid reliever because he sucks.   So the Yankees should approach the 7 runs on their own.   The Rays are averaging 4.36 runs per game.  Yes they are facing a good starter in Pineda, backed by a great New York bullpen.   But we might no need more than a run or two from the Rays to hit this total.

   Orioles +130 vs Red Sox (Intertops)

   Padres +112 vs Cubs (Intertops) -- Lester is off to a terrible start and the new high octane Padre offense is hitting .343 vs lefties so far this year.   Cashner is an ace caliber pitcher who recovered from his first bad start to have a great outing last time out, walking one and striking out 9.


Posted Saturday, April 18, 2015 10:47 AM

SteveA's MLB April 18

Yesterday:  4-2, +3.21 units
Season:  16-14, +2.92 units

   Braves +133 vs Blue Jays (Intertops) -- Blue Jays just aren't playing well right now, have to take advantage of opportunities to make coin fading them before they right the ship.  Reyes is out, and Dickey has been hammered the last 3 times he has faced the Braves.   Have to feel Atlanta has close to a 50/50 shot to win this one.

   White Sox +108 vs Tigers (Intertops) -- Sale looked like he was in great form in his first start off the DL (1 walk, 8 strikeouts).  We know when he is on he can be a game dominating pitcher.   The fact that he was recovering from a broken foot and not anything elbow or shoulder related means I don't show my normal caution with a pitcher in his first few starts off the DL.   Last start proved the arm is sound and he's a good enough starter to keep the Sox in the game against anyone, even the mighty Tigers.


Posted Friday, April 17, 2015 06:27 PM

SteveA's MLB April 17

Yesterday:  1-0, +1.50 units
Season:  12-13, +0.29 units

   Braves +138 vs Blue Jays (Intertops)

   Mets -130 vs Marlins (Intertops)

   Orioles +130 vs Red Sox (Intertops)


Posted Thursday, April 16, 2015 08:36 PM

SteveA's MLB April 16

Yesterday:  3-0, +3.95 units
Season:  11-13, -1.21 units

   Diamondbacks +150 vs Giants (Intertops) -- Bradley looked spectacular in his debut.   Bumgarner struggled all spring, and had a poor first start.   The Giants are playing terrible right now.   Have to believe Arizona stands at least a 40% chance to win this one.


Posted Tuesday, April 14, 2015 07:59 PM

SteveA's MLB April 14

Sunday:  1-1, +0.08 units
Monday:  1-1, -0.35 units
Season:  7-13, -6.20 units

   Rangers +104 vs Dodgers (Intertops)


Posted Sunday, April 12, 2015 03:22 PM

SteveA's MLB April 12

Yesterday:  1-3, -2.19 units
Season:  5-11, -5.93 units

   Royals +108 vs Angels (Intertops)


Posts:  1 2 3 4 5   »
!--*** Footer scoreboard ************ -->