Championship game Props: 0-2, -2.15 units
All on Intertops:
Longest scoring play of game is a touchdown (as opposed to a FG) -125: I see two vulnerable secondaries, plus the Patriots set of receivers are geat at turning short passes into big gains.
Neither team will make 3 consecutive scores +140 -- basically saying this game is not going to be a one sided blowout.
There will be a successful 2 point coversion +370 -- I just like the odds here. These teams both can put up some points and both have good kickers, so you can certainly wind up with some sort of 29-21 type score which would necessitate a 2PC in the 4th quarter, and both offenses are capable of converting them. And there's been a successful 2PC in the past two Super Bowls.
1st kickoff of the game is a touchback -180 -- the rule change this year of course makes it easier. Gostkowski has a great leg and almost all his kickoffs against the Ravens in the AFCCG were touchbacks, and this game is in a climate controlled dome, ideal for kicking. Tynes doesn't have quite as big a leg but if the Giants kick off I'm hoping the dome effect is enough. I figure Tynes has about a 50% chance of a touchback, while Gostkowski inside is around 80%. So that's a 65% chance, which is just enough to make this bet profitable longterm.
Patriots win by 1 to 6 points +335
Patriots win by 7 to 12 points +350
I like the Patriots to win but don't expect a blowout. Basically I'm wagering 2 units to net either 2.35 or 2.50 units that I am correct. I also am playing the Patriots on teh pointspread, and this gives me a bit of an insurance there; if the Patriots win by 1 or 2 points I lose my main pointspread bet but recoup it here.