Had a solid day yesterday (not posted). A few missed totals and UNC kept it from being a very good day.
Todays picks:
Tampa ML +190Too much value in Tampa right now. They are scoring well, which is more than I can say for the Yanks. This should be a good pitching matchup and I have a slight lean towards the under. Wang and Shields is a pretty neutral pairing in my opinion, so I will stick with the guys that are actually scoring runs here.
Toronto ML -106A tough situation here as Beckett will be making his first start of the season. I am hoping he will only turn in 6 innings or so before turning it over to the bullpen. Boston's bullpen has been unreliable so far, unlike Toronto's. Boston also not scoring up to their potential as of yet.
Florida ML +115
Florida RL -145
Florida/Pittsburgh under 9.5 -125
Pitching edge here definitely goes to Pittsburgh, but they just suck. There is no nice way to say it. The only reason Pitt is sitting on 2 wins at this point is the Braves played like ass in their series. Pitt is also missing a couple of regulars today which should give Florida more of an edge. Plus I just like the way the Marlins are playing right now. I don't expect either team here to put up a lot of runs. I expect to see a 2-3 or 3-4 type game here.
Philadelphia ML -130
Philly/Cincinnati under 9.5 -115
Expect Myers to settle back into the starting role this time out. He looked pretty sharp for the first few innings his last time out and then went to shit. Not surprising for a converted closer. This time around he should be better acclimated to going a little deeper into the game. Neither team doing anything impressive offensively at this point, hence the under pick.
Seattle ML -130Seattle/Baltimore under 9If Hernandez can duplicate his last performance and go a little deeper to keep the shitty Seattle bullpen where they belong (on the bench), the M's should have no trouble dealing with the Orioles here. Baltimore has been very lucky to this point and have relied on a very solid bullpen to win a few games. If Hernandez doesn't go at least 7 innings, things could go sour quickly. I'm guessing he will make every effort to stay in the game given what happened in his first start.
Atlanta ML +120Atlanta/NYM over 8.5 evenI will take John Smoltz until he gives me a reason to do otherwise. He always figures out a way to get it done and he always does well vs the Mets. Santana is an unknown for the Braves at this point, but they have been tearing the cover off the ball so far and I think they may get to him a little today. To me this is a very similar situation to yesterday's game between Hudson & Maine. I see the Braves winning this one 6-5 or 7-5.
I usually bet every game, so there will be more to come unless I am cleaned out after these picks. It makes me want to vomit to be on so many favorites and so many unders, but I guess they have to win sometimes.