Supreme808's Blog

Line Movement for Thursday Ole Miss/S.Carolina

By Supreme808 | View all Posts
Posted Thursday, September 24, 2009 04:43 PM   27 comments
Im confused about this game, the line movement went up a whole point which makes me nervous.  Did the betting public bet that much on Ole Miss?  I mean look at all the postings here on this forum, majority of these postings are for S.Carolina to win.  So why would the line go up, if all the "Sharps" are going SC?  I like SC tonight too, I think SC got good value, esp now because its at +4.5.  Whose betting Ole miss for that line to move?  Does this circustance take away the edge and value off SC?  Thoughts?
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dixonbets says:
09/24/09 04:44PM
little $$$$$$ in here, big $$$$$$ else where on Ole Miss
koko11 says:
09/24/09 04:46PM
The line is up to 5.5 at one of my books... BetUS
freightdog says:
09/24/09 04:48PM

If you think the postings on here are mostly from "sharps" you are sadly mistaken...

Dblduce5178 says:
09/24/09 04:50PM
because most of the people on these forums study these games and are smart...thats why we are all betting against joe public tonight
Supreme808 says:
09/24/09 04:50PM


Wow more line movement, that makes more nervous
Dblduce5178 says:
09/24/09 04:51PM

where did u see that...it is at 4 has been 4.5 all day at betus

yankees2k6 says:
09/24/09 04:52PM
Supreme808 says:
09/24/09 04:54PM


I understand, I liked SC also when it opened up at +3.5.  But im just curious who hyped up Ole Miss for it to move?  I mean even joe public gotta understand that Ole Miss played no one with the caliber that SC has played against right?
Dblduce5178 says:
09/24/09 04:54PM
ole miss is at -4.5 and is now being juiced -120 at betus.com
koko11 says:
09/24/09 04:55PM

It was like an hour ago... I swear it was 5.5.... I seen other posts on here also that confirmed it in other posts....It is at 4.5 right now, as I just checked.... It was 5.5 like an hour ago though..
Dblduce5178 says:
09/24/09 04:56PM

no, the average bettor sees the #4 team in the nation favored by less than a TD and they are all over it,not even thinking about it...Vegas is rolling with SC and so am i

Supreme808 says:
09/24/09 04:56PM


Juiced at -120 makes me confident again.  That makes more sense to me
archdriver says:
09/24/09 04:59PM
I  really  believe that  the  line  movement  is  like  a  vacuum  cleaner  sucking  up  bets on all  sides.,  no  publiuc  moves  just

the  books  sucking  up  bets.,,,,  stimulating  action.

Crashdavis565 says:
09/24/09 04:59PM
Just got cold called from some tout.

He gave me USC at plus 3.5

take it for what it is worth.

Crash

DaimondD says:
09/24/09 05:01PM
the "sharps" in vegas are why the line has gone up...if you like South Carolina, then dont sweat it, your getting some more "value"...if all the money was coming in on ole' miss and the line sits tight, then you might have something with south carolina..

 

just play who you like in the game.....if you win, you can pat yourself on the back. if you lose, you cant blame anyone else

 

i can tell ya this though, vegas is hopinig for a SC cover tonite if thats the side you wanna be on

Dblduce5178 says:
09/24/09 05:02PM

he gave the other half of his callers Ole Miss -3.5...so half wins and he might get their business

Supreme808 says:
09/24/09 05:04PM


That is a really good perspective.  If your right, then bookies are making Ole Miss look like a really good bet, which makes me even more confident on SC.
Supreme808 says:
09/24/09 05:06PM


I wanna be on the side of the bookies, whch means an edge all the time
Smoke_O says:
09/24/09 05:07PM
SC is still sitting at +5.5 (-115) at one of my books. Majority of the board is on Ole Miss or want to take them. There were few posts today backing SC. If sharps are on this game (which I dont believe they are) then they would of made a play on Monday or so. The line didnt began to climb until yesterday morning and any moves today is just the public and or sharp betters buying more or selling off. There is big money on Ole Miss which is why the line is rising but Big money does not equate to sharp money.
Supreme808 says:
09/24/09 05:08PM
Damn Im sold guys.  Gotta go SC at +4.5.  OMW to the Palms to put it in.  Thanks for the input, GL on the game.
Dblduce5178 says:
09/24/09 05:11PM
Good luck Supreme808...i am with ya
Supreme808 says:
09/24/09 05:11PM


Thats a good point about the timing of the line movement.  I guess Sportscenter and ESPN Hyped up Ole Miss.  Especially with that #4 ranking
aszzzbrokerman says:
09/24/09 05:22PM
Don't teams on a streak always get that kind of movement?
Gold_Rush says:
09/24/09 05:25PM


It aint worth much
Jumpin_Jim says:
09/24/09 05:29PM
My book still has it at at Ole Miss -4, o/u 53. On O;e Miss and under 53.
Smoke_O says:
09/24/09 06:34PM

 Looks like the sharp money has finally joined the party and its on the Under tonight. Total has dropped as much as 3 points in the last 1.5 hours going from 54.5 - 51.5 Its sitting at 52 at most places now with 60-65% of the bets on the Over.

radiotokyo says:
09/24/09 07:38PM
I am with the SC backers.  Hoped the line would go up a little more, but I'll take what I can get.
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