Season Win Total Wagers

Florida Marlins over 80.5 (-105) (6u)

This is a team that won 87 games last season and I think they should be even better this year.  They did lose Nick Johnson from the starting lineup, but the rest of the lineup is in tact.

I would imagine that the lineup probably looks something like this for the season opener:

1. LF Coghlan
2. CF Maybin
3. SS Ramirez
4. 3B Cantu
5. 2B Uggla
6. 1B Sanchez
7. RF Ross
8. C Baker

It's not great, but it's not a bad lineup either.  I think they'll find ways to put up big runs.  They always seem to do so.

The rotation is headlined by Josh Johnson, who could be a legitimate Cy Young contender this year after going 15-5 with a 3.23 ERA last year.  Ricky Nolasco had a terrible ERA last year (5.05), but was extremely unlucky.  He ranked 9th in the NL in K/9 (9.49), 5th to K:BB ratio (4.43:1) and 32nd in WHIP (1.25).  However, his ERA ranked 75th.  Expect to see things come back to normal a bit this year with Nolasco.  I think he's in line for a 15 win, 3.60 ERA season.  Anibal Sanchez, Sean West, Chris Volstad, Rick VandenHurk and Andrew Miller are all fighting for the last three spots.  The bullpen posted a respectable 3.89 ERA last year, putting them 7th in the NL.  From that bullpen they lost Luis Ayala (5.63), Matt Lindstrom (5.89), Kiko Calero (1.95) and Scott Proctor (6.05).  I see no reason to believe that the bullpen will be an... [More]

Someone explain this one to me (Indians)

How in the world is the Cleveland season win total set at 83.5?

This is a team that won 65 games last year, and now they are supposed to improve by 19 wins?  With a roster that is probably worse than it was last year?

I understand that Sizemore had a terrible year last season (.248, played in 102 games), but does 60 games of healthy Sizemore equate to 19 wins?  I think not.

Here's a look at their projected starting rotation and bullpen:


1. Fausto Carmona
2. Justin Masterson
3. David Huff
4. Jake Westbrook
5. Aaron Laffey

Hector Ambriz
Jensen Lewis
Chris Perez
Rafael Perez
Tony Sipp
Joe Smith
Kerry Wood

That pitching is going to win 84 games?

With a starting lineup of:

C: Carlos Santana
1B: Matt LaPorta
2B: Luis Valbuena
SS: Asdrubal Cabrera
3B: Jhonny Peralta
LF: Michael Brantley
CF: Grady Sizemore
RF: Shin-Soo Choo
DH: Travis Hafner

That lineup is going to put up enough runs to win 84 games?

Please, someone tell me what I'm missing here.  I'm about to dump everything I have on this as soon as the line is actually released.

Another one that jumps out is the Mets under 89.5.  No way in hell they are winning the division, which is what that number puts them at.  Also really like San Francisco and Seattle both over 79.5 and St. Louis over 83.5.  The Cardinals are the best team in the NL, no?  At worst 2nd bes... [More]