Teddy_Covers's Blog

Posted Monday, November 26, 2012 03:03 AM

Vegas Wiseguy Report: More Bottom Feeders

Last week, I turned my focus towards the bottom feeders; teams that some folks have been calling ‘dead’ of late.  There were more struggling squads than I could cover in a single column; hence Part 2 of my bottom feeder report this week.

With five games remaining on the slate for every NFL team, there’s still time to make money fading the teams that have quit on their coach and their season.  On the other end of the spectrum, there’s an opportunity to make money with teams that are out of playoff contention IF they play with passion and precision down the stretch. 

Here’s my take on this five-pack of sub .500 clubs.

Browns:

Rookie QB Brandon Weeden continues to struggle, throwing an early pick six, putting the Browns in a hole.  QB woes have plagued this franchise since their inception/return to Cleveland more than a decade ago, and I've seen nothing out of Weeden as a rookie to make me think that he's a franchise QB, capable of leading this team back to respectability.

Weeden is not testing defenses deep, constantly settling for checkdowns; a dink and dunk passer.  He's throwing multiple poor passes -- interceptable balls -- on a weekly basis.  And he's not making the big throws with the game on the line in the fourth quarter – the Browns punted on each of their last ... [More]

Posted Monday, November 19, 2012 10:08 AM

Vegas Wiseguy Report: Bottom Feeders

Over the last few weeks, I’ve been watching the contenders from both conferences closely.  This week, I turned my focus towards the bottom feeders; teams that some folks have been calling ‘dead’ in recent weeks. 

With six games remaining on the slate for every NFL team, there’s still plenty of time to make money fading the teams that have quit on their coach and their season.  And there’s most definitely an opportunity to make money with last place teams IF they play with passion and precision down the stretch. 

Here’s my take on four teams that entered Sunday’s games in last place in their respective divisions.

Chiefs:

We're eleven weeks into the season, and this sorry Chiefs offense hasn't improved one iota.  There's talent to work with -- Jamal Charles and Peyton Hillis make a decent 'thunder and lightning' duo running the football.  Dwayne Bowe, Tony Moeaki, Dexter McCluster and Steve Breaston have all enjoyed past success as playmaking pass catchers, although Bowe got hurt early and wasn’t a factor here. 

But the same two issues that have plagued KC all year haven't gone away -- turnovers and red zone offense.  Hillis’ first half fumble here negated a scoring opportunity.  And KC was settling for field goals -- just like they have all year - instead... [More]

Posted Monday, November 12, 2012 10:12 AM

Vegas Wiseguy Report: AFC Contenders

November is the time in the NFL where we separate contenders from pretenders.  Last week, I focused on the NFC; this week, I’ll turn to the AFC.  Unfortunately, the Colts and Steelers didn’t play on Sunday, and the Texans Sunday Night game was played in weather conditions that affected the game (and the gameplan) significantly.  Who among the rest can challenge for AFC supremacy?  Read on to find out.

Broncos:

Another slow start for a West Coast team traveling East; certainly not unusual.  Slow starts have been a consistent problem for Denver all year.  We saw them fall behind by three scores when they faced Atlanta, Houston and San Diego -- three of the tougher foes they've faced.  But slow starts is about the only fault I can find with this team right now.

We already know how good Denver’s offense can be, and they score touchdowns : 22 TD's in 32 red zone possessions.  The Broncos have an elite quarterback, a strong running game and playmaking WR's - they can trade points with anybody.  This team's postseason future rests on... [More]

Posted Monday, November 05, 2012 01:37 AM

Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFC Contenders

November is the time in the NFL where we separate contenders from pretenders.  This week, I focused on the NFC.  My power ratings have the Giants, 49ers and Falcons as the top three teams in the conference.  Who among the rest can challenge for NFC supremacy?  Read on to find out.

Bears:

This offense just isn't working.  Facing a bottom tier defense, Jay Cutler still couldn’t find any receivers open downfield.  They committed their 17th false start penalty in the first quarter here, by far the most in the NFL.  Starting a drive from their own ten yard line, a false start immediately followed by an illegal hands to the face penalty resulted in a safety.  Chicago is ranked #30 in the NFL in passing despite facing a soft early schedule; not what we're used to seeing from Super Bowl contenders in the modern age of football.

Chicago’s blocked punt TD is just one more example of how good these special teams right now.  Devin Hester's punt return inside the Titans ten yard line is another, setting up the Bears second score. ... [More]