Teddy_Covers's Blog

Minnesota Vikings 2012 Betting Preview

By Teddy_Covers | View all Posts
Posted Wednesday, August 29, 2012 12:25 PM   0 comments

Minnesota Vikings

The Vikings were a mess in 2011, both on and off the field; the single worst season in franchise history.  By my numbers – based on my power rating of each of their opponents on the week the game was played – Minnesota faced the single toughest schedule in the NFL.  They did not fare well against that imposing slate, just 3-13 SU, 6-8-2 ATS.

The Vikings overall stats didn’t look too bad for a 3-13 team that faced the toughest schedule in the league with a rookie QB behind center for most of the campaign.  They were outgained by a relatively modest 0.4 yards per play and finished -3 in turnovers.  Minnesota was an Over team last year, cashing Overs at a 10-6 clip.

2012 Issues:

Let’s start with the coaching staff.  Head coach Leslie Frazier and offensive coordinator Bill Musgrave are already on the hot seat in only their second full season on the job – right there with Norv Turner in San Diego as the hottest seat in the NFL right now. 

On offense, the Vikings are hoping that star running back Adrian Peterson will be fully recovered from his ACL surgery to start on opening day.  First round draft choice Matt Kalil is expected to shore up the left tackle position on what looks like a decent offensive line.

But the biggest offensive concern for Minnesota is at the QB position, where Christian Ponder was inconsistent at best in his rookie season.  With the Vikings in rebuilding mode and all three other teams in their division shooting for the Super Bowl this year, expect Ponder to have a fairly long leash if he struggles early.  The Vikings are not likely to give up on their anointed ‘quarterback for the future’ quickly.

New defensive coordinator Alan Williams has installed Frazier’s preferred defense; relying on Tampa-2 style zones from the back seven and pressure from the front four, without much blitzing.  Defensive end Jared Allen provides the pass rush, but much of the back seven is coming off ineffective or injury plagued campaigns.

Betting Markets:

Minnesota isn’t getting much love, lined three full wins behind everyone else in the division.  Despite facing a much easier slate of opponents compared to last year, the Vikings have been installed as a six win team by the betting markets.  They’ve taken very little action either Over or Under 6 thusfar.

 

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