TheFrij's Blog

Big plays this week****

By TheFrij | View all Posts
Posted Tuesday, September 29, 2009 03:51 PM   25 comments
This is my first week posting my picks I am 4-1 so far this year in the first 3 weeks. My only loss was being an idiot and taking the Pats as soon as they put out the Buffalo line. Regardless, 4-1 up +5.3 units. I really like two picks this week..a lot. First, the one I like the most, forget like, I love this pick. This might be the best pick I have made yet and I need all those that will follow to take it immediately, trust me and thank me when you cash in

New Orleans/ New York Jets UNDER 45.5...4.4 units to win 4
Seriously get this immediately do not wait, trust me. Might be the biggest bet I've made in the NFL in the 4 years I have been betting.

New England Patriots/ Baltimore Ravens Over 44.5...3.3 units to win 3
Get this right away too, right now.

Other leans I like for the week that I need to research more:
San Fran/ St Louis under
Cleveland Browns
Pittsburgh Steelers
New England Patriots
Oakland Raiders

If anyone has any thoughts on these other leans or wants to set up their paypal to pay me 25% of the money there gonna make off those two locks leave a comment.

God bless
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NevadaNightmare says:
09/29/09 03:53PM
Why do you like the New Orleans under so much?  If your so confident about it surely you could provide a little write up to convince me as well.........
TheFrij says:
09/29/09 04:16PM
Absolutely my friend nevadanightmare.

Only problem is, I like this because Vegas wants everyone to love the over, which, if you look at consensus, everyone does. Everyone loves the over yet vegas is pushing the line down, giving everyone a better reason to take the over. Why would they make it so easy? Lots of people call this reverse line movement I call it easy money.

So Nevada, believe me when I say this is guaranteed under. Sorry if I can't provide trends and yada yada, stats yada yada like others do, but I am 4-1 since going with this, technically 4-0. Put the money down get it while it's still at 45.5.
TheFrij says:
09/30/09 11:34AM
Just added 2.2 more units to win 2 more on the Jets/Saints Under, lost a half point but thats ok, this is gonna be the easiest win and biggest win of the year for me. Take it everyone.
TheFrij says:
09/30/09 11:45AM
Did a little research for you nevada

jets allow the lowest completion percentage and saints allow 3.3 yards per carry and 4th lowest completion %
Ducati says:
09/30/09 12:30PM
Gonna roll with you on that Jets/Saints under. BOL!  what do you think of the WSh/TB under and the Rams/49ers under? Like to hear your thoughts on those match ups.


BOL
PrimeTimeBoys says:
09/30/09 01:16PM
Since I like the Jets to cover this week, one thing I dont want is a shoot with the Saints offense & I figured the Jets defense would keep there offense in check. Im liking your Under in this game, it makes total sense!
quocng says:
09/30/09 01:23PM
go with the rams under 38 too!!!
TheFrij says:
09/30/09 04:10PM
I like the Rams/SF under as well, It was in my original leans above. I'm actually just waiting to see that line move a little more to confirm what I thought. As for TB/WSH line has moved with the public vote so I don't know. It doesn't go with my system but it looks like an under, both those teams offenses are terrible. I wouldn't take my advice on that one though.

I would rank my picks this week
1. New Orleans under
2. Pats over
3. San Fran under

Good luck thanks for the feedback
TheFrij says:
10/01/09 02:40PM
Updated Card


New Orleans/ New York Jets UNDER 45.5...6.6 units to win 6

New England Patriots/ Baltimore Ravens Over 44.5...3.3 units to win 3

San Francisco 49ers/St.Louis Rams Under 37...2.2 to win 2

Pittsburgh Steelers -6......1.1 units to win 1
midnight_toker says:
10/01/09 02:48PM
good Luck  


These all look pretty good to me.   
Guy_2U says:
10/01/09 02:56PM
Granted that good defense's usually win games, it's a pass for me when the Jet's have to play one of the top offensive's in the NFL.

I think the Jet's D can stop NO, just not that confident.

 

 

TheFrij says:
10/01/09 03:01PM
Thanks Midnight

Guy_2U - I just really like this game this week. Definitely my top bet probably of the whole year, so lets hope I win it :)
MDiBBa says:
10/01/09 03:06PM
NO put up 48 on Philly at Philly with a very similar total (46) I do agree with the line movement trend but I wouldn't bet the farm on it.
KktdocT says:
10/01/09 03:15PM
TheFrij says:
10/01/09 04:39PM
Ya I saw that MDibba, still not worried

Adding

Green Bay Packers/Minnesota Vikings Under 45.5... 2.2 Units to win 2
moonraker says:
10/01/09 08:16PM
thanks for posting up your plays appreciate it and best of luck!
TheFrij says:
10/02/09 10:59AM
Thanks Blue and Moon

Question:

Am I crazy if I'm thinking about putting up a Jets ML/Jets under parlay, cause I really am thinking about it. It would be 1 unit to win 5.68 units, I think I'm gonna do it, I have a lot of faith in the Jets this week, and that's a Patriots fan speaking.

Also from the crazy bank, I think I might take Oakland +8.5 against Houston.

Thoughts?
TheFrij says:
10/02/09 11:11AM
Also, ADDED some craziness to the card. If you're following me I would save your 1 unit

1 Unit to Win 4 units, 7.5 point 6 Team Teaser

San Fran 49ers -2.5
Jets/Saints under 52.5
New York Jets +14.5
Indy Colts -3.5
New York Giants -2
Ravens/Patriots over 37

Crazy I know
TheFrij says:
10/04/09 03:47PM
Pats over a winner, good start to the NFL day after my terrible 2-5 day in college. I always thought I was better at NFL then college anyway.

+3 Units
TheFrij says:
10/04/09 09:33PM
Pats over a winner +3 units

Jets under a winner +6 units

San Fran under a winner +2 units

My wonderful 6 team teaser is a winner, barely... +4 units

Glad I didn't parlay jets ml and under or oakland

Sundays totals = +15 units

Still pending = 1 unit on Pitt -6 and 2 units on packers under 45.5

Great stuff!
TheFrij says:
10/04/09 11:37PM
Pitt -6.5 a winner +1 unit

4-0 on straight bets

1-0 on teasers

this week been real good so far +16 units, going for an undefeated card tomorrow with the packers/vikings under
dragon4lucky says:
10/05/09 12:37AM
Great, great job Frij!...You will be under my radar!
midnight_toker says:
10/05/09 02:04AM
TheFrij says:
10/05/09 02:22PM
Thanks guys, put the Under in tonight's game on your card and thank me tomorrow.
TheFrij says:
10/05/09 02:30PM
Thanks guys, play the UNDER tonight and thank me in the morning.
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