Title of Pick
: David Chan's Free PickTime of Pick
: 9:00 ESTTV
: ESPN, DTV: 206Vegas rotation #'s
: 709, 710Market Conditions
Covers opening total: +10.5
Current Odds: +10.5
5 Dimes: +10.5
This is a "revenge game" for the Mountaineers after they lost 65-64 to Kansas State on January 12th.
WVU comes into this game with plenty of momentum as well after beating Texas Tech 66-64 on February 16th. Deniz Kilicli had 25 points. Eron Harris chipped in 15. It was the third sweep of a Big 12 team in WVU's inaugural season after coming over from the Big East. WVU was sharp in the second half, shooting almost 59% from the floor.
The Wildcats are coming off an 81-61 win over Baylor on the 16th. Angel Rodriguez had 22 points; Shane Southwell added 18 points.Statistical Analysis
Note that West Virginia is 7-6 ATS vs. conference opponents this year, and 3-2 ATS off a win vs. a conference rival.
Note that Kansas State is just 1-3 ATS this year when playing with one or less days rest, and just 3-4 ATS off a win vs. a conference rival.Pick Analysis
This is a 1* free-play on West Virginia. I believe these teams are very evenly matched, and believe the obvious "revenge factor" can not be overlooked. While I won't call for an outright victory, I do believe that WVU keeps this one much closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe!
Good luck, David.