The_Dragon's Blog

NCAAB: Free Play February 22nd

By The_Dragon | View all Posts
Posted Thursday, February 21, 2013 08:35 PM   1 comment
Title of Pick: Chan's Free Pick

Time of Pick: 7:00 ET

TV: N/A

Vegas rotation #'s: 831, 832

Market Conditions

Covers opening total: -1
Current Odds: -1
Bookmaker: -1
Pinnacle: -1
5 Dimes: -1

Situational Analysis

Princeton is 5-4 SU on the road. It's coming off a 69-57 setback at Harvard on the 16th. Ian Hummer had 18 points.

Columbia is 4-5 SU at home. The Lions are coming off a 75-56 setback to Yale on the 16th. Steve Frankoski had 16 points. Columbia is stumbling to the finish line, having lost two straight, and six of its last seven.

Statistical Analysis

Not only is Princeton 5-2 ATS on the road, it's also 3-1 ATS in its last four when playing against a team with a losing record.

Not only is Columbia just 2-4 ATS in front of the home town crowd this year, but it's also just 1-3 ATS when playing with five or six days of rest.

Pick Analysis
 
This is a 1* free play on the Princeton Tigers. This is simply a bad matchup for Columbia. When these teams tangled on February 2nd, Princeton would come away with a 72-66 victory. I'm fully expecting a similar result tonight, as the visitors take full advantage of their mismatches to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover!

Good luck, David
1 comment
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flsimsjr says:
02/22/13 04:01PM
Chad I agree with you whole wholeheartedly and as soon as my money gets up I am gonna start purchasing plans from you!! You just keep it up my man!
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