The_Dragon's Blog

Title of Pick: Chan's Free Play: Mar 15th

By The_Dragon | View all Posts
Posted Thursday, March 14, 2013 01:59 PM   0 comments
Time of Pick: 9:00 ET

TV: CBSSN, DTV: 613

Vegas rotation #'s: 877, 878

Market Conditions

Covers opening line: +1
Current Odds: +1
Betonline: +1
Pinnacle: +1
5 Dimes: +1

Situational Analysis

San Diego State won 55-34 at home over New Mexico on January 26th, before New Mexico won 70-60 over SDSU on February 27th.
 
San Diego State is is coming off a 73-67 win over Boise State on the 13th. Jamaal Franklin had 19 points and eight boards; Xavier Thames had 18 points; Chase Tapley had 17, and four steals: "The game plan going in was just pressuring the ball more and getting into them," said Tapley after. "We got a lot of deflections that led to fast breaks. That's what we need to do for 40 minutes; we can't do it for 20. But I liked our new concept, pressuring the ball and getting them out of their comfort zone on offense." .

New Mexico is coming off a 59-46 win over Wyoming on the 13th. Tony Snell had 15 points.

Statistical Analysis

Note that San Diego State has won 91 straight games that it's led with five minutes remaining.

Note that New Mexico led start to finish in its win over Wyoming.

Pick Analysis

This is a 1* free play on San Diego State. Two very evenly matched teams, and each comes into this contest with considerable momentum. But after watching the Aztecs' impressive defensive performance last time out, I believe they'll pull off the victory tonight, and win the season series. Consider a second look at the underdog in this Mountain West Conference semi-final tournament game!

Good luck, David
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