Timmy_the_Greek's Blog

Week 3 - Jets @ Dolphins

By Timmy_the_Greek | View all Posts
Posted Sunday, September 23, 2012 09:27 AM   2 comments

The Take

 

I think both offenses will struggle in this one.  The Miami offense put up big numbers last week because they were able to wear down the Oakland defense in the 2H.  Tannehill didn’t have to do much as the Fins rushed for over 260 yards.  I don’t see that happening this week vs the Jets.  DT Pouha is back and along with LBs Harris and Scott the Jets are solid up the middle.  Rex Ryan will disguise coverages and blitzes and make things difficult for Tannehill.  And with Revis back, don’t expect Hartline to have another 9 catch/111 yard performance this week.  I also predict tough sledding for the Jets offense, as the Miami defense has been solid (many of the points allowed to Houston were the result of excellent field position surrendered by the offense).  They have allowed barely over 100 yards rushing in the first 2 weeks, and generated good pressure on the Raiders last week.  Those are two factors that will go a long way toward stopping the Jets:  limit the rushing attack to force Sanchez into obvious passing situations, and then pressure him into mistakes. 

 

41 is a relatively high total for this series.  The last 3 H2H matchups have landed easily under 41 total points.

 

My only hesitation with the Under is the heat.  Although the Jets have been prepping for the Miami no huddle this week, if the Fins have some success moving the chains, they could wear down the defense in the 2H.  BUT there is a chance of t-storms, which would make for a slow track and likely help out the defense.

 

Lean Under 41

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2 comments
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JRomo77 says:
09/23/12 11:16AM
I like it! Regarding the Heat...I live in Boca Raton. It is not too hot today...

GL

Timmy_the_Greek says:
09/23/12 11:57AM
Thanks! not too hot for you...but maybe for the Jets. we'll see. good luck today
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