I think both offenses will struggle in this one. The Miami offense put up big numbers last
week because they were able to wear down the Oakland defense in the 2H. Tannehill didn’t have to do much as the Fins
rushed for over 260 yards. I don’t see
that happening this week vs the Jets. DT
Pouha is back and along with LBs Harris and Scott the Jets are solid up the
middle. Rex Ryan will disguise coverages
and blitzes and make things difficult for Tannehill. And with Revis back, don’t expect Hartline to
have another 9 catch/111 yard performance this week. I also predict tough sledding for the Jets
offense, as the Miami defense has been solid (many of the points allowed to
Houston were the result of excellent field position surrendered by the
offense). They have allowed barely over
100 yards rushing in the first 2 weeks, and generated good pressure on the
Raiders last week. Those are two factors
that will go a long way toward stopping the Jets: limit the rushing attack to force Sanchez
into obvious passing situations, and then pressure him into mistakes.
41 is a relatively high total for this series. The last 3 H2H matchups have landed easily
under 41 total points.
My only hesitation with the Under is the heat. Although the Jets have been prepping for the
Miami no huddle this week, if the Fins have some success moving the chains,
they could wear down the defense in the 2H.
BUT there is a chance of t-storms, which would make for a slow track and
likely help out the defense.
Lean Under 41
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