_BERT_'s Blog
Posted Sunday, November 29, 2009 09:00 PM
Still waiting on some games tonight but i can't help but look forward to tomorrow's 4-gamer...
BUCKS-2.5 Play of the Day
Bucks coming off a loss at home against the Magic. DIsappointing as it is, they have been resilient at home wherein they have yet to lose 2 straight games. On the other hand, Bulls are nearing the last game of a 6 game road trip. This team should be tired and looking forward to heading home for some rest and. Added into the mix is the fact that historically, the home team gets things done.
Most likely i'll play this heavy.
Posted Sunday, November 29, 2009 01:20 AM
YTD 63-49-2
POD 4-8
POW 1-0
A ton of games tomorrow. These are my leans as of now:
HEAT+4.0
Home team will win or at the very least, make this game really close. Recent meetings show that home court is key.
GRIZZLIES+3.0
Memphis, the winner of the last 5 of 7. Clipps the opposite wining 3 of 7. Go figure.
HORNETS+3.0
There is still no respect for the hornets. The kings are overachieving and they are going to be put in their place.
THUNDER-3.0
Revenge is best served cold at home. (sounds weird!! )
Just to note: the comments/writeups are just some things to spice it up. Definitely, these need to be backed up with crunching the numbers, trends and situationals.
Thoughts are always appreciated folks!
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Posted Saturday, November 28, 2009 12:22 AM
Wanted to jump the gun and call this one for tomorrow...
JAZZ-4.0
Hit em when they are down... and hit them hard. Jazz take it to the Blazers at home. Series matchup has proven to be in favor of the home team. Last 9 meetings have been won and covered by the home team. No point in going against this one.
May just be the only play for me tomorrow.
best of luck folks!
Posted Friday, November 27, 2009 08:32 AM
YTD 57-46-2
POD 4-7
Coming from another horrible Thursday. That makes two in a row now. For tonight:
DENVER UNDER 219.0
THUNDER-5.0
NETS+5.0
All are leans as of now. Waiting for the lines to come in later on today.
Thoughts are always appreciated folks!
Posted Thursday, November 26, 2009 08:28 PM
Happy thanksgiving!!
For tonight:
HAWKS-3.0
HAWKS OVER 195.5
JAZZ-7.5
JAZZ OVER 195.0
best of luck everyone!
Posted Wednesday, November 25, 2009 04:49 AM
YTD 52-39-1
POD 4-7
Nice payout last night. Moving on to the games later. Leans as of now...
BOBCATS-2.0
Home is where the heart is. Toronto is on a B2B so this should be a good spot for the Cats to get the W. Line is moving in favor of them.
HORNETS OVER201
Average for both teams in the last few games is around 204. Total is also moving up slowly. Let's see where this lands later.
So far that's what i like. Thoughts are always welcome
Posted Tuesday, November 24, 2009 09:53 AM
YTD 49-38-1
POD 4-7
Back to business and hoping to continue with the Ws.
For tonight:
RAPTOPRS-5.5 *
NETS+13.5 *
KNICKS+13.5 *
DENVER UNDER 203.0 *
A whole lot of line movement on the sides. I am riding the steam on those.
The under in Denver should be a close one. This'll hit.. or so i hope. This all boils down to how much the Nets will score and it will just be in the low 80s.
best of luck everyone
Posted Monday, November 23, 2009 10:49 AM
YTD 45-37-1
POD 4-6
Moving on to the games later...
SPURS-5.0 HALF P.O.D
SPURS-9.5
PORTLAND OVER181.0
Enough is enough. The Jennings-led Bucks get shoved back to earth in this one.
best of luck everyone
Posted Sunday, November 22, 2009 12:49 PM
YTD 42-35-1
POD 4-6
Been rough lately .. hoping to bounce back today/tonight..
HORNETS+8.5 **
IND @ CHA UNDER 186.0 **
LAKERS-9.5 *
BOS @ NY UNDER 197.0*
That's it for me. Going to be stricter with the bets from now on.
best of luck everyone
Posted Saturday, November 21, 2009 03:53 PM
Late late post. I see that the NJ game has already started and is winding down. For today/tonight:
NETS-2.0
GRIZZLIES-3.5
HORNETS+5.5
best of luck guys
Posted Friday, November 20, 2009 09:46 AM
YTD 37-32
POD 4-5
Horrible day last time out. Hated what happened as i totally read everything wrong as i went 1-4. For tonight:
GRIZZLIES+5.5
Team is starting to turn things around. Should be a good game to watch as the Sixers have been struggling as of late. Close one if you ask me.
MEM @ PHI UNDER 197.5
So far that's it. Good luck everyone
Posted Thursday, November 19, 2009 07:08 AM
YTD 36-28
POD 4-5
3-3 yesterday with the home teams in the late game not getting the cover...
For tonight I am leaning on the following:
UTAH @ SA UNDER202.0
Tired OLD legs and a Jazz team that plays horribly on the road.
CHI @ LA UNDER191.5
Gasol is back? Great! Defense should be better but i suspect rotation to get out of sync with the big guy's return. Adding to this, these Bulls play great D.
SUNS-6.0
The Suns keep shining and so the cash keeps rolling. Totally outclassed in this spot. Let's see how the line moves on this one.
SPURS-7.0
The line for this should go down more. Hoping i get it at around 5-6 pts.
Thoughts are always appreciated folks!
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Posted Wednesday, November 18, 2009 07:39 PM
Sorry guys, late post. For tonight:
BOBCATS+4.5
HAWKS-7.5
BLAZERS-9.5
HOU @ MIN UNDER199.5
Good luck all!
Posted Tuesday, November 17, 2009 09:00 AM
YTD 31-23
POD 4-5
Bad night last time around.. moving forward and time to bounce back.
Leans as of now:
ROCKETS-2.0 (seriously?! )
THUNDER+5.0
IND @ NJ UNDER188.5
Thoughts folks?
Posted Monday, November 16, 2009 09:31 AM
YTD 30-21
POD 4-3
1-1 last night. Moving on to the games later...
BUCKS+1.5 (PK) P.O.D.
POR @ ATL OVER189.5
best of luck gents
Posted Sunday, November 15, 2009 02:49 AM
YTD 29-20
POD 4-3
Took a day off last night from posting but i did pull the trigger on some unders and the damn wizards that are still struggling. Totals hit but Washington faded into oblivion. Hoping to bounce back further from a disappointing 0-4 friday the 13th. For today:
LAKERS OVER 204.5
Last game went into overtime and thats why the Over hit. Was riding the under in that game but OT did it in for me. This time around, we see the lakers playing at home. LA is averaging 104.2 pts in the last 5 games while the Rockets are coming into the game with 102.8.
MAVS-4.5
LEAN as of now for this one. If the line continues to stay where it is, then i am pulling the trigger.
best of luck to you guys. let's close the week on a positive note
Posted Friday, November 13, 2009 11:31 AM
YTD 29-16
POD 4-1
Excellent results last time out. Moving on to tonight's card:
All bets have been placed...
TWOLVES+11.0
KNICKS-2.0
HOU @ SAC OVER 209.5 PODs
ATL @ BOS OVER192.5 PODs
good luck everyone! let's cash in tonight!
CHEERS!
Posted Thursday, November 12, 2009 09:28 AM
YTD 26-16
POD 3-1
Another profitable evening last night. Let's move on to the two games later.
LAKERS-7.5 P.O.D
This jumped out to me. Lakers shows who is on top of the west! Home teams cover in this matchup. Also, the line hasnt moved despite 71% of folks on the Suns.
CAVS @ CHI OVER 180.5
Won't be fooled here. Over should hit.
best of luck folks!
CHEERS!!
Posted Wednesday, November 11, 2009 08:42 AM
YTD 23-15
POD 2-1
Profitable evening last time out. Let's move on to tonights games...
As of now, these are my leans:
KNICKS+5.5
I really hate leaning on the Knicks as they have disappointed a whole lot but i can't help but feel that way in this match up. Another matchup where the home team has historically, played well.
PACERS-5.0
Home team covers in this matchup. Pacers starting to show some signs of life as they have won 2 in a row.
DEN @ MIL UNDER196.5
POR @ MIN UNDER 192.0
CHI @ TOR UNDER 208.0
I'm leaning on a lot of unders tonight.. i wonder if i am looking at something wrong.
Most likely just playing 2 or three for the evening..
Thoughts are always appreciated
Posted Tuesday, November 10, 2009 09:13 AM
YTD 21-14
POD 1-1
Nice bounce back evening for me last night.
Moving on to tonight's bunch of games. Leans but strong ones as of now ...
BULLS+1.5 to 2.0
Definitely keeping an eye out for the line of this one. The Bulls add another L to that Denver record. Home teams cover and win in this matchup. Possibly my POD.
ROCKETS+6.0 to 6.5
A team without all-stars... gotta love it! Definitely a suprise so far.
HOU @ DAL over 199.0
WAS @ MIA u187.5
Thoughts are always appreciated folks.
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Posted Monday, November 09, 2009 05:49 AM
YTD 18-14
Horrible last time around. Hoping to bounce back.. For tonight:
KNICKS+4.5
HORNETS+1.0
As of now, these are both strong leans. I'll post my final plays later on.
Posted Sunday, November 08, 2009 06:20 AM
YTD 18-11
2-1 last time out with the Jazz disappointing everyone (including myself) at home. Moving on to the games later:
WIZARDS+1.5
Reverse-line movement on this one. Basically everything and everyone are on the Suns and yet the line has gone down by 0.5 to 1 pts. More so, this line is really shady as the numbers would point to a much much higher spread.
TWOLVES+13.5
Another reverse-line movement play. I think a half play on the Wolves would be good as well.
MIN @ POR Under 188.5
Loving this one. Under in the last 5 matchups. Wolves and Blazers have hit the under in the last gazzilion games respectively.
These are still leans as of now.. thoughts are always appreciated.
Posted Saturday, November 07, 2009 03:21 AM
YTD 16-10
POD : 1-0
Another profitable evening last night. Painful loses on the Knicks and Lakers under where a combined 1.5 points did me in. Moving on to tonight's card...
SAC @ UTAH o208.0 (POD)
This is my play of the day. All the trends are pointing to an under in this one hence, joe public is pushing the the line to go down. In fact, it has already gone down by a point. The Utah over has hit consistently in the team's last 3 home games vs SAS, HOU LAC. Kings on the other hand have been playing offensive minded as their last 3 stints have hit the over. I will wait for this line to go down. Hopefully the local book gives me something juicy at 207 or so.
BOBCATS+8.0
What can i say? these guys showed us that they are still a legitimate team as they whooped the asses of the Hawks at home. Yes, they may be playing B2B and on the road against the Bulls, but this Charlotte team has covered the last four meetings. Not enough info yet for reverse line movement but the line has already dropped half a point with majority still on the Bullls. Let's see how this line shapes up later on.
As of now, just the two plays. I will be more disciplined and keep it to 1-3 plays only each day.
Thoughts are always appreciated folks.
best of luck to you all
CHEERS!!!
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Posted Friday, November 06, 2009 06:57 AM
YTD 12-8
Nice night last time out.. let's hope it continues..
BOBCATS+2.5
Going against joe public on this one. Reverse line movement as people are on the Hawks and yet the line is going down for the home team. Home team for an upset or i'll be upset
MIL @ MIN u185.0
Both the Twolves and Bucks have been horrendous for over backers. Most of their games have gone under and i am counting on this to continue.
Best of luck to you guys!
Posted Thursday, November 05, 2009 07:25 PM
YTD 10-8
Wasn't able to post my final plays last night.. still was a losing day though.. for later:
JAZZ+1.5
JAZZ over200.0
best of luck folks
Posted Wednesday, November 04, 2009 01:23 AM
YTD 10-8
Tough one last night going 1-3. Simply put: I got greedy. Enough said. Moving on to tonight's leans:
GRIZZ+6.0
Too many points against a team who shouldnt be laying any.. IMHO.
MEM @ GS o225.0
Scoring scoring and scoring. This is what both teams do.
BOS-5.0 Half?
Still don't have the half line for this one. 10 points is too much for me to lay on the road (i.e BOS @ NOH) so i will cut it in half.
ROCKETS+?
Solid showing so far for the Yao, T-MAC-less Houston team. Lakes coming off an odd enough overtime game against the Thunder (lost money on the total on that one)
all are leans as of now.. crunching the numbers later.
thoughs fellas?
Posted Tuesday, November 03, 2009 09:35 AM
YTD 9-5
Nice 3-0 day yesterday in bball plus the Phillies pulling off that win at home.. For tonight:
NUGGETS-3.0 half
CELTICS-4.0 half
LAKERS u193.5
best of luck folks
CHEERS!
Posted Monday, November 02, 2009 02:12 AM
YTD 6-5
Another 1-1 evening last night with the Celts easing up in the second half. For tonight, I am leaning on the following:
TWOLVES+8.0
Too many points in my opinion.
MIN @ LAC u193.0
Might be the play for tomorrow. Under has been consistent in the past meetings. Min is playing B2B after a run and gun game with the Suns.
KINGS-1.0
Fishy line but i will bite. No better place than home! The Kings are back from a horrible road trip. The grizzlies may have AI there but that should do more harm than good, at least for now.
Thoughts guys?
Posted Sunday, November 01, 2009 10:30 AM
YTD 5-4
2-1 last night in the NBA.. Hit the Yanks RL so thats good. Moving on to tonight:
MAGIC-5.5
CELTICS-11.0
I will ride these two glorious teams until they break down or utterly disappoint me...
have a couple of plays on the jets and colts for Sunday Football.
Best of luck everyone!