{ My sides for Wednesday }

One of the bigger plays I've done so far this season..

My main play

Phillies -1.5RL -130 7UNITS

The Phillies got just what they needed after taking it from the Astros in that 4 game sweep, a win! That's all they needed folks, now their ready to roll again and maybe even go on a huge winning streak.

Even if Lee slumps yet again this game.....alright then, lets put him on even footing with Mock. I still think Philly will roll easily here. His Philly teammates know they need Lee to contend for the big one, and Lee knows he needs them. Give back and shall receive..

So, at least one side or the other will need to realize that, and that'll be all that's needed for a easy win here. Also, the Phillies pattern of winning and losing skids this season, fits perfectly for them to start winning big here, especially when you consider their opposition they will be facing.

Consider too, that Lee is a proven Cy Young pitcher, it's not like the league has figured him out... So don't put it out of the question he pitches a gem here as long as he's back "with it" again. There's just way too many overwhelming aspects that can go right, for Philly here.


other plays (using a bit of variety this time)

Athletics +121 2UNITS
Atl/Hou u7.5 -114 2UNITS
Reds +1.5RL -145 2UNITS
Twins +1.5RL -115 2UNITS
Mets +108 1UNIT
Dodgers +117 1UNIT
Angels -1.5RL -105 1UNIT


Good luck everyone
... [More]

{ My sides for Tuesday }

My mainplay

Giants RL -1.5 -120 3UNITS

Taking Lincecum here, who is consistently outstanding at home. Correia is decent for sure, but his WHIP on the road is horrid, especially for a National League pitcher.

San Diego has won their last four series's (is this a word? ), but they have been against Florida, Atlanta, Washington, and the Dodgers... all of which are either not so good or overrated opponents. I'm of the opinion that the Giants are not quite as overrated or as bad as those other teams, especially on their home field. Though I bet, that the Giants are taking San Diego seriously, taking notice they just beat the Dodgers on a road series.

I think San Diego's road warrior reputation of late, will take a bit more of this reality check in San Francisco once again, and they continue on and lose game 2 of this series by at least 2 runs.



others

Orioles RL +1.5 +110 1UNIT

Cubs -112 1UNIT

Athletics +135 1UNIT




Good luck everyone

{ My sides for Monday }

Took yesterday off for putting any real wagers, since I didnt have the time to study picks. Though I did still make picks on wagerline and ended up killing my streak


My main plays:

RedSox -128 4UNITS


Rangers -133 3UNITS


other plays:

D-backs -101 1UNIT

Giants RL +140 1UNIT

Rockies RL -125 1UNIT

Cardinals RL -125 1UNIT

Angels RL -105 1UNIT


Good luck everyone

{ My sides for Saturday }

Solid 5-1 yesterday, and here's what I'm leaning tomorrow:

Probable Plays
Pirates ML
Astros ML
Padres ML and/or under 8
WhiteSox ML
Yankees RL

Possible plays
Twins?
Marlins?
D-backs?


I should be back awake in time to post my final plays before the early games...


Good luck everyone

{ My sides for Friday }

Good thing I suspected Thursday's games would be tricky, and I went low on units yesterday, as all 3 of my single unit plays crashed and burned. Thankfully, my main play on the Mariners went smooth sailing....


I'm liking Friday's games much better


These sides aren't locked in yet, but these will probably be in my final card:

Tigers ML
WhiteSox ML
Twins ML
Mariners ML
Rangers ML
Padres ML

I'm still not 100% sold on what my play of the day will be, but I will finalize stuff later, after I get back from work.

{ My sides for Thursday }

My Main Play:

Mariners +118 4UNITS

As much of a longshot it is for the Mariners to make the playoffs, they will not waste their window of opportunity they have in their hand at the moment, given the fact they just beat the Angels in a series to give them some genuine hope.

Snell has been one the best pitchers of August, if you take away his one bad outing against the Yanks. Yeah, Tomko has been completely solid his first 3 starts, but he's no proven ace in my book. I'm willing to bet against the fact, that he'll only allow 2 or less runs in all of his first 4 starts this year. I........ I just don't see it happening......

It also seems like a regularity, that when Oakland scores a lot of runs in their previous game, they have a lot trouble getting their bats going in the following game.


My other plays:

Giants -124 2UNITS
Cubs -1.5 RL 2UNITS
BlueJays +125 1UNIT



Good luck everyone

{ My sides for Wednesday }

Here is my main play tonight:


Rockies RL -1.5 -130 6UNITS

Redding isn't that bad, and I'm by no means sleeping on him... But considering last game, now knowing that the Rockies bats are back and ready to roll after a long slumber, they simply blowout this Mets team once again..

Rockies are still angry from the Dodgers/Giants beatdown, and one blowout game is not enough to vent their anger.

Also consider with Jimenez on the mound for the Rocks, the Mets will be lucky to match the 3 runs they put up yesterday. And lets face it, the Mets are slowing becoming maybe the worst team in baseball at this moment.


Here are the others:
(I may add reasoning later for some of these)

Rangers -1.5 +110 2UNITS

Cardinals -1.5 -130 3UNITS

Phillies -1.5 even 2UNITS

Indians +141 1UNIT

Astros +185 1UNIT

Diamondbacks +156 1UNIT



Good luck everyone

{ My sides for Tuesday } *with writeups*

Haven't posted a play thread in a while, but I am finally putting plays in wagerline daily now for the hell of it, and also still posting in WBA's play of the day thread.

Here's who I've decided to put my money on tonight:


Cubs RL -1.5 +110 3UNITS

Now, 95% of the time it's a lose/lose situation to bet on the Cubs. They are by far the most overrated team by the linemakers for about the whole season, and they are still getting away with it by the stupid public and supposed smart bettors who think "line is got to be that high for a reason...", playing as just another bitch to the line.

But here we go, Houston actually have been worse than the Cubs lately, and the Cubs are playing better than they were a couple weeks ago. Moehler is no Oswalt, and Wells is the Cubs ace in my book. And the first thing you look for in an ace, is if they just had a shaky outing their last game... which means Wells will have great desire to perform to his standards this game.

Cubs usually don't have desire, but when they can get it from anything or anyone on their team, they easily win games like this one...


Rockies RL -1.5 -115 3UNITS

Rockies are extremely hungry right now to vent their anger and beat the living crap out of some gimpy bums right about now........

Pelfrey is a proven clown on the road, now he's welcomed to Coors field! La Rosa has been decent these last couple months. Sure I'm laying a bit of juice here on a team on a hu... [More]

{ My sides for Wednesday }

Too bad for the WhiteSox, but at least my main play on Tampa worked out just fine yesterday. Here is today:

Phillies ML -170 5Units

Angels ML -122 4Units

Rangers ML +174 2Units

Athletics ML -101 1Unit

Nationals ML +250 1Unit


Parlay
+2100 1Unit

Angels -122
Marlins -240
Athletics -101
Phillies -170
Rangers +174



Good luck everyone

{ My sides for Tuesday }

Needed a short rest from capping (though I did put a bit a money on a few Sunday, and I'm starting to make picks on wagerline finally).

Here is where my money is going at tonight, might add a couple more favorites later:


Rays ML -136 6Units

WhiteSox +250 2Units

WhiteSox RL +1.5 +135 2Units


Parlay
1 Unit to win 105.54

Angels -168
Cardinals -170
Dodgers -114
Braves -250
Rays -136


Good luck everyone

{ My sides for Friday }*SPOT SYSTEM EXPERIMENT*

Alright, my last few days have been dreadful... It's been paining me to sit through these games...


Going big on these plays, and if at least two don't hit, I'm gonna take a short break.

Now these are completely reliant on a "spot" system I've been using as a guide. But I should have been just tailing this system almost exclusively, when it has a really big "spot" difference. I would be doing so much better lately....

It determines these spots by each team's recent win/loss pattern, and considers absolutely nothing else... No pitching, stats of any kind, no strength of opponent or the team itself, no win margins... just wins and losses from recent games. It doesn't even differentiate home and away...

Nor does it consider if a team is playing for contention...

I know, it's pretty amateur


Here is what it rates each team's "spot" right now:


Seattle Mariners 5
 
Cleveland Indians 5

 
Milwaukee Brewers 1.5
 
Washington Nationals 3

 
Los Angeles Angels  6
 
Toronto Blue Jays 2.5


Cincinnati Reds 4.5
 
Pittsburgh Pirates 5


Philadelphia Phillies 5
 
New York Mets 3


New York Yankees 5
 
Boston Red Sox 5.5


Florida Marlins 3.5
 
Atlanta Braves 6.5


Texas Rangers 4.5
 
Tampa Bay Rays 3.5


Arizona Diamondbacks 2
 
Houston Astros 5[More]

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{ My sides for Thursday }

Need to limit volume of plays by at least half, or else I will struggle just to break even most days...

Here's what I got:


Plays

Marlins -115 5Units

Nationals +125 5Units

Padres +145 4Units

Indians +140 4Units (lets see if rain holds up by then)

Reds +120 3Units (best early game play, in my view)

Diamondbacks +160 3Units


And no more plays! When I add more crap to my card throughout the day, they lose.........but if I do.....fade em!

Almost time to leave for work, should be back for the night games.


Good luck everyone

{ My sides for Wednesday }

Ended up being profitable again after changing my small Cards play to a big Dodgers RL play. Was extra confident after seeing Bator do the same.

Right now here are my leans, but will wait till mid-morning to decide and start putting in my final plays. Here are the sides I'm leaning on for each game, at the moment..


Leaning

D-backs
Pirates
Nationals
Giants
Braves
Marlins
Padres
Cardinals
Royals
Indians
Rays
Mariners
Rangers
Athletics


Comments are welcome


Good luck to everyone on Wednesday

{ My sides for Tuesday }

Mostly a push on what I posted yesterday...

Need to separate my strong plays a bit more, and put no more than 1 unit on plays like the Royals yesterday... Here is what sides I'm on for Tuesday:

Let me warn that some of these might not be the most popular of choices..


Plays


Braves DLowe
Mets OlPerez ML +150  3Units


Marlins RNolasco ML -115  3Units
Astros BNorris


Angels TBell
Indians FCarmona  ML -110  3Units


Cardinals MBoggs ML +150  1Unit
Dodgers CBillingsley


Mariners FHernandez
Tigers RPorcello ML +115  1Unit


Yankees CSabathia
Athletics VMazzaro ML +195  1Unit


Royals GMeche
WhiteSox FGarcia  ML -130  1Unit


Diamondbacks JGarland ML +160  1Unit
Phillies PMartinez



trying a couple total plays as well....


RedSox JBeckett
BlueJays RRomero under 8  0.5Units


Giants TLincecum
Red... [More]

{ My sides for Monday }

Getting in some action for tomorrow already, while still waiting if Philly will pull through tonight.

Might add more to this card later...



Plays

Cardinals CCarpenter ML -165  3Units
Dodgers CHaeger


Giants JMartinez  ML -115  3Units
Mets LHernandez


Twins FLiriano
Rangers THunter ML -145  2Units


Royals BBannister ML +190  2Units
WhiteSox MBuehrle


Brewers CVillanueva ML -123  1Unit
Pirates KHart

{ My side for Sunday }

Took a day off yesterday from capping since having that disastrous Friday. I'm glad I put a little parlay on the opposite side of all three of my big plays just in case, since Bator was on the other side on all 3...

Thanks Bator for saving me big time if your reading this... You cut my losses for that day 



Here is tonight's side...


Play

Phillies +117 2 Units




Good luck everyone

{ My sides for Friday }

Glad I went low volume yesterday, since I went 1-2...

But I love some of these values for Friday, I think it could possibly be a good dog day, but I decided to lay off from the big dogs...

I'm not going to over think this card so much, I will just try to take the easy winners and the dogs that can easily steal a win, that just have too much value....

While I have leans on games such as Rays, Dodgers, and Astros.... and heck the Cubs are so bad right now I'd even think of the Pirates with that value .......

I'm trying harder  to find out which are the coin flip games, and which are the easy ones. Also with finding the value plays where I can sense that team giving a damn to win, more so than their opponent.. And it's not as easy as "That team needs to play catchup to get in wild card and/or to win their division...", wish it was always that easy...

Basically I'm just reminding myself to try harder, and of course its an obvious suggestion to myself. It just helps to keep reminding myself...


..

...



Ok, whatever I was rambling about... I'll just stop and give the plays. No write ups right now, since I need to get ready for work.



Plays

Phillies JBlanton
Braves JJurrjens ML -135  2 Units

Angels JerWeaver ML -155  2 Units
Orioles CTillman

Rockies JHammel&nb... [More]

{ My sides for Thursday }

Great day yesterday, but I'm going to take it easy on plays today. I'm unsure on a lot of them and will lay off most of my leans.


Plays


Nationals ML +140 2 Units

RedSox ML even 2 Units

Rockies RL at ? 2 Units



Can't get runlines yet, so don't know what the value will be. I have some big dogs I'd like to take a chance on, but I'm deciding to lay off.


Good luck everyone

{ My sides for Wednesday } **with writeups!**

High volume yesterday, but hit my higher unit plays and got through it making some money. But the big bonus was hitting a 4-way with Marlins, Padres, Angels, and the Tribe


Plays

Rangers THunter ML -115  1Unit
Indians FCarmona

Carmona is my favorite pitcher on my hometown team, so it's a bit hard for me to bet against him. But even though he's been solid since his first two starts since being brought back up from the minors, I still see potential here for him to maybe have a slightly shaking outing this time around.

He got out of trouble, whenever he had men on scoring position the last two games... but he had to do this all too often in those two starts. Now the Rangers are homerun machines, and if Carmona starts innings slowly once again, walking or throwing meat balls to the first and second hitter of each inning.... the runs will start piling up this time around

I also see Texas being good enough to bounce back on the road with Hunter on the mound, they've been playing decent enough and know they can't fool around with the playoff race looming..


Padres KCorreia ML +120  2Units
Brewers CVillanueva

Padres are hitting all too well to lay off on them. They know they have underachieved earlier in the year with their bats, and now they are confident, and have the pitching advantage in my opinion.

They just saw Vilanueva 10 days... [More]

{ My sides for Tuesday }

Trying my luck today..


Plays


(Marlins) -115 3u ( I think they're going streaking )

(Padres) +128 2u

(Angels) -105 2u

(Indians) -120 2u

(Nationals) +165 2u

(Giants) +118 1u

(Mariners) +130 1u

(Mets) +165 1u


...and I might think about adding a Twins and Cards runline, and Philly. I also might add a short write up on each before game-time. Just wanted to post the plays right away, just after putting them in.


Good luck everyone

{ My sides for Monday }

I'm going to post a total play for the first time ever... Here are the plays:


Plays


A's +150 1u

Maybe a trap, maybe not...still rolling with Gonzalez on the mound, he's looked sharp in-game lately.


Yankees -143 1u

Think of this play like Bator rolling with the Nats constantly until you actually see the hot streak come to an end, for certain! Except, this time your laying juice so it's not as nearly as great an investment. I'm still taking it, since the Yanks haven't had many letdown games for a while. I'm trying not to worry about the pitching matchup...


Cubs +127 1u

When a team that is somewhat decent: 1. has a game where probably their best pitcher gives way more runs than expected 2. The team gets a season high on hits, but leave like 90% men on base. And 3. Get majorly screwed on a play call...

They are feeling pressure, but also probably a bit pissed off as well... A good combination, at least in my book.

I took the Cubs Sunday, and it looked like nothing could go the Cubs way that game. And it seemed like cake, watching the game, if you had the Rockies that game. And you know what usually happens the following game....


Marlins RL +120 2u

I don't really care about the pitching matchup... The Marlins are officially hot, and beat some legit competition to heat up like this. Houston have been pretty bad for the most... [More]

What I'm leaning monday..

Leaning

Cubs
WhiteSox and Sox/Mariners under
Cardinals
RedSox
Marlins
D-backs
A's
Yankees


I think Marlins runline would probably be the strongest runline.. Oakland ML probably the best dog. Gio Gonzalez has looked sharp.

I would think Cubs would come back firing as well as a dog, you might know what I mean if you watched Sunday's game....

{ My sides for Sunday }

Even though I hit the Nats and Braves, those big dogs weren't enough to tend to my wounds from my other losses yesterday... Here are my two only picks, real briefly..

Plays

Cubs +107 2u

A's -122 2u


Confident these should be two easy ones today... I do really need to get back to updating my posted record...



Good luck everyone

{ My sides for Saturday } **with writeups!!!**

Made it out on the plus side yesterday. I'm gonna try going with some dogs this time... Let me know how you like the writeups since I normally don't do any, probably since I'm not the most confident of a writer...

But I'm bored and want to give it a try, so here goes...


Plays


(Indians) JMasterson +115 1u
(WhiteSox) CTorres

Hope I don't jinx my hometeam...

     This may seem like the spot where the Indians line value drops to something more realistic...... after coming up with the huge upset last night against Mr. Perfect, to keep their run chugging, and now finally the public realizes this Indians run is for real.
    
     Now, Torres probably has more upside to put on a great outing, but the problem with a rookie pitcher on the his second start, after putting on a decent debut on his first... is that sigh of relief that comes from that their debut is over and done with and the fact it also went smoothly enough... is that they can sometimes forget that their career hasn't even begun to start yet, or have proved yet that they indeed belong here.

These hot Indians bats can get to Torres's head in a hurry. I also think the WhiteSox's lineup hasn't had enough hitting throughout it to continue offensive rallies lately.

Probably also a good over play, even though I don't play totals...


Milwaukee(Brewers) MParra
... [More]

{ My sides for Friday }

Hit my gut instinct play on the Royals RL. It's a good feeling when you hit easily on those kind of games...


Plays

(Royals) -138 1u

(Tigers) -124 1u

(Astros) -130 1u

(Rockies) -125 1u

(Nationals) -110 1u


Leans
Braves
BlueJays
RedSox
Giants
Rangers


Might add a Giants RL, but I'm concerned about the juice...



Good luck everyone