abnormality's Blog

{ My sides for Saturday } **with writeups!!!**

By abnormality | View all Posts
Posted Saturday, August 08, 2009 06:57 AM   12 comments
Made it out on the plus side yesterday. I'm gonna try going with some dogs this time... Let me know how you like the writeups since I normally don't do any, probably since I'm not the most confident of a writer...

But I'm bored and want to give it a try, so here goes...


Plays


(Indians) JMasterson +115 1u
(WhiteSox) CTorres


Hope I don't jinx my hometeam...

     This may seem like the spot where the Indians line value drops to something more realistic...... after coming up with the huge upset last night against Mr. Perfect, to keep their run chugging, and now finally the public realizes this Indians run is for real.
    
     Now, Torres probably has more upside to put on a great outing, but the problem with a rookie pitcher on the his second start, after putting on a decent debut on his first... is that sigh of relief that comes from that their debut is over and done with and the fact it also went smoothly enough... is that they can sometimes forget that their career hasn't even begun to start yet, or have proved yet that they indeed belong here.

These hot Indians bats can get to Torres's head in a hurry. I also think the WhiteSox's lineup hasn't had enough hitting throughout it to continue offensive rallies lately.

Probably also a good over play, even though I don't play totals...


Milwaukee(Brewers) MParra
Houston(Astros) MHampton
-101 1u


      Now, here is a spot I could see the Brewers come back to make this a series.... and people will be taking the Brew Crew for just that reason. Two pitchers both having iffy seasons, with Hampton being the shakier one as of last month. And WOW, look at this, they are very low juicy favorite to boot!

      But, in my opinion, I still think the Brewers have the lesser guy on the mound. I trust Hampton more to pull his shaky season around, and he was strong his last outing. Houston looks like they might care enough to make a little mini run. Brewers are still floating a bit on that overconfident cloud, on the fact they gave the overrated Dodgers quite a series.


(Athletics) BAnderson +120
2u
(Royals) ZGreinke


     Kansas City showed me last game that they did not seem to care enough to start a little run, which they were in perfect position to last game if they really wanted to.
     The pitching matchup ain't as big of a difference as it may first appear as well, Anderson has not had a bad outing for like 7 games or so... he's been on a roll and so have the Oakland bats. Royals just don't seem to give a damn, it appears..


Texas(Rangers) KMillwood ML +140 2u
LA(Angels) JerWeaver


     When you consider how Weaver has pitched in the last couple months, I could say I trust Millwood a lot more on the mound more so at this current time. Weaver hasn't had a truely ace outing since June 14th...
     Rangers seem to want to prove they can win important  road games, and are inspired to finally get a share of road wins finally. And even before last game, you can tell the Angels are  having a little cool down period after their great run.


Good luck everyone

12 comments
comment Post A Comment
abnormality says:
08/08/09 07:04AM
Hmm... seems I should've checked for more consistency from my spacing and formatting before pressing submit
runlagos says:
08/08/09 07:21AM
spacing and formatting looks fine, abnormality

 

like the thoughts..

 

good leans so far. BOL this weekend.

D-Town says:
08/08/09 09:47AM
PineappleXpress says:
08/08/09 01:53PM
BOL Abnormality! 
LaDaddy says:
08/08/09 01:55PM
......gl tonight w/ ur plays
target_9 says:
08/08/09 02:05PM
GL today!!!
abnormality says:
08/08/09 02:20PM
(Athletics) BAnderson +120 2u

(Royals) ZGreinke

changed to

(Athletics) CMortense +195 1u

(Royals) ZGreinke

     Taking the incredible value with this pitching change, Royals at -215 are you kidding me.
     This Mortense guy could get rocked for 5 runs in the first inning and be taken out of the game, and I'd still take this value.

adding:

(Diamondbacks) DHaren


(Nationals) GMock

ML +185 1u

     Haren has looked vulnerable lately, and facing the Nats bats won't cure that. But enough about the pitching matchup, honestly the pitching matchup hasn't made much of difference in this Nats run.
     I could start on the mound and still have a good chance to win with the....no wait even better.... John Smoltz could be on the the mound for the Nats and they'd still have a good chance to win!
     The Red Sox even won before with Smoltz on the mound for them.. And the Sox bats this season, at any point, could never hold a candle with current Nats bats right now...
     The Nationals, as a team, have circle jerks together when they see they are trailing big... and god, I do hope that happens once again.....
um.. that sounded wrong, didn't it?



      As you can see, I'm changing my style a bit to look for the big value... I was this way earlier this season but didn't reduce my volume and take an extra look at games when I should've, during the time favorites where hitting like crazy.
    So I got turned off by dog plays then, but now I want to give them another shot... Will try to include all types of plays from here on.

abnormality says:
08/08/09 02:23PM
runlagos, D-Town, Pineapple, LaDaddy, target_9

SHO says:
08/08/09 02:25PM
abnormality says:
08/08/09 03:31PM
SHO, AtlFader


last play I'm adding, it's the only runline I like:


Florida(Marlins) SWest


Philadelphia(Phillies) CHamels RL -105 1u

     Now I could be wrong about Hamels, but I do like his consistency. He has a really bad outing here and there, but the only 2-3 game slump he was in all year, was his first 3 starts of the season. I see him bouncing back for a good outing here, as he has done before.
    With Moyer against Johnson game 3, the Phillies sure as hell don't want to get swept by the Marlins. They know in their minds that they need this game.
     And I know that both teams are slumping, but the Phillies are a more legit team in my view. I have more confidence in them turning around their little mini slump than I do the Marlins...
    





MrBator says:
08/08/09 05:35PM

 

 

 

I'm not only applauding, I'm standing at the same time.

abnormality says:
08/08/09 09:53PM
MrBator



 I see you had more than a few different plays on the Nats. Glad you won some good


Might need a late game to try to save my day and will probably tail you Bator on that Seattle play. But I'm also adding another one of late games. If this doesn't work out, oh well....I've gone through these kind of days before...:

(Braves) KKawakami ML +179 1u
(Dodgers) CKershaw


     Eventually had to bite on this value. Kawakami is a serviceable enough starter, who can go 6 innings. Kershaw has been lights out, but the fact the Dodgers have been preserving even their ace starters to only go 6 themselves for the most part....well..
      In my opinion, this should mean starting pitching advantages shouldn't give the Dodgers lines that are this juicy, when games are more so decided by their bullpen. And especially when they are still trying to recover from one of their biggest cold spells of the season.
    The Braves bats have been decent enough as of late... I'll take my chances with this line...





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