abnormality's Blog

{ My sides for Friday }*SPOT SYSTEM EXPERIMENT*

By abnormality | View all Posts
Posted Friday, August 21, 2009 05:02 AM   3 comments
Alright, my last few days have been dreadful... It's been paining me to sit through these games...


Going big on these plays, and if at least two don't hit, I'm gonna take a short break.

Now these are completely reliant on a "spot" system I've been using as a guide. But I should have been just tailing this system almost exclusively, when it has a really big "spot" difference. I would be doing so much better lately....

It determines these spots by each team's recent win/loss pattern, and considers absolutely nothing else... No pitching, stats of any kind, no strength of opponent or the team itself, no win margins... just wins and losses from recent games. It doesn't even differentiate home and away...

Nor does it consider if a team is playing for contention...

I know, it's pretty amateur


Here is what it rates each team's "spot" right now:


Seattle Mariners 5
 
Cleveland Indians 5

 
Milwaukee Brewers 1.5
 
Washington Nationals 3

 
Los Angeles Angels  6
 
Toronto Blue Jays 2.5


Cincinnati Reds 4.5
 
Pittsburgh Pirates 5


Philadelphia Phillies 5
 
New York Mets 3


New York Yankees 5
 
Boston Red Sox 5.5


Florida Marlins 3.5
 
Atlanta Braves 6.5


Texas Rangers 4.5
 
Tampa Bay Rays 3.5


Arizona Diamondbacks 2
 
Houston Astros 5


Baltimore Orioles 4.5
 
Chicago White Sox 2

 
Minnesota Twins  3.5
 
Kansas City Royals 3.5


San Francisco Giants 4.5
 
Colorado Rockies 4.5


St. Louis Cardinals 5
 
San Diego Padres 6


Detroit Tigers 0.5
 
Oakland Athletics 5.5


Chicago Cubs 2.5
 
Los Angeles Dodgers 4


Remember, this does not consider the strength of team or pitcher at all.. So I usually add/subtract up to 1-2 points in my head, depending on how good or bad a team is, combined with how I think of the starting pitcher the starting pitcher and how I think he will perform...

My picks are the teams in green, and I'm probably gonna add Atlanta to my plays as well once a line comes out...

Bator, or anyone else who might be keen and experienced on picking good and bad spots for teams, I want your opinion if this system looks like complete gutter trash or actually might be on to something.


So my plays are:


Angels even

Oakland +130



and should add Atlanta later, unless someone has complete evidence that Hanson has a let down.. It probably will be extremely juicy though..



Good luck everyone
3 comments
comment Post A Comment
abnormality says:
08/21/09 05:25AM
I meant Vazquez, not Hanson
Orangemen44 says:
08/21/09 09:02AM
I like the system, i usually take the "spot" into consideration when im capping games.  I think its looks good bro.  Just pick a couple of the games at first to see how it works.  Might only want to use this system at the beginning of series.

 

BOL

target_9 says:
08/21/09 02:06PM
GL today!!!!
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