Haven't posted a play thread in a while, but I am finally putting plays in wagerline daily now for the hell of it, and also still posting in WBA's play of the day thread.
Here's who I've decided to put my money on tonight:
Cubs RL -1.5 +110 3UNITS
Now, 95% of the time it's a lose/lose situation to bet on the Cubs. They are by far the most overrated team by the linemakers for about the whole season, and they are still getting away with it by the stupid public and supposed smart bettors who think "line is got to be that high for a reason...", playing as just another bitch to the line.
But here we go, Houston actually have been worse than the Cubs lately, and the Cubs are playing better than they were a couple weeks ago. Moehler is no Oswalt, and Wells is the Cubs ace in my book. And the first thing you look for in an ace, is if they just had a shaky outing their last game... which means Wells will have great desire to perform to his standards this game.
Cubs usually don't have desire, but when they can get it from anything or anyone on their team, they easily win games like this one...
Rockies RL -1.5 -115 3UNITS
Rockies are extremely hungry right now to vent their anger and beat the living crap out of some gimpy bums right about now........
Pelfrey is a proven clown on the road, now he's welcomed to Coors field! La Rosa has been decent these last couple months. Sure I'm laying a bit of juice here on a team on a huge losing streak, but come on now, what better spot do you need?
Indians +185 1UNIT
Great value here. The Tigers just finished playing decent ball against the Angels and Rays, but they won't find that same competitiveness in themselves, going up against the Tribe. Will they go back to playing down like they did just before against the A's...
Too put it simply, as long as Carrasco has a bit of composure during his first MLB start, this is an easy spot for an Indians win. They can hit Jackson and the Tigers pen well enough to take this line.
Brewers +175 1UNIT
Ok, Looper still has been...meh... lately, but Pineiro's godlike WHIP also has been a bit shaky lately, when you consider the weak offenses he's been facing.
Brewers have a bit a confidence going, believe it or not, and they want to trade off their 3 game losing streak for a 4 game win streak right here with a win tonight.
Main reason for this play, is I love to fade teams that just won 8 of their last 10 games...it's proven profit in the long run as long as the opponents have great value like this.
Good luck everyone