andarmac99's Blog

The Vikings Defense.........

By andarmac99 | View all Posts
Posted Sunday, January 17, 2010 08:13 AM   26 comments
I know the postseason is a "new" season and all situational spots are different but I'm just wondering what Vikings backers have to say about this:

If you throw out the garbage game at the end of the year where the Giants quit, did you know Minnesota only played 6 games all season against offenses ranked in the Top 20? That's right, they played 10 of 16 games this year against offenses in the bottom 12 of the league (counted the Giants here because they quit).

Look what their defense did (or didn't do) against those 6 offenses in the Top 20:

Points allowed: 23, 31, 27, 26, 30, and 26 for an average of 27.1 per game.

Yards allowed: 424, 448, 259, 331, 398, and 397 for an average of 376 per game.

Opposing QB completion %: 70, 65, 54, 63, 69, and 64 for a total of 137 passes complete out of 212 or 65%.

Opposing QB Yards Per Attempt: 10.4, 9.0, 6.7, 7.0, 8.9, and 9.1

Opposing Yards Per Carry allowed: 4.8, 4.5, 5.6, 4.7, 4.5 and 3.1

Opposing QB Ratings: 110.6, 109.2, 87.8, 108.5, 127.7, and 123.2

Opposing QB TD/INT Ratio: 14-1


The Vikings went 3-3 SU and 2-4 ATS in those games with 2 wins coming over Green Bay and the other on a last second missed FG by Baltimore.



26 comments
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glyde69 says:
01/17/10 09:12AM

This has me second guessing my Minnesota wager.  FUCKER!  I'm gonna break down the numbers a second time and see if I need a new course of action. 

wonwiththehook says:
01/17/10 10:01AM
 nice info, should be the best game of the weekend.
cambyspree99 says:
01/17/10 10:07AM
minny also beat gbay twice who punched the cowboys in the mouth in gbay. minny beat the giants who dumped the cowboys twice. maybe my giants quit but never the less. lets see what happens if allen greenway and the williams boy stop the run and romo is forced to throw. i dont see the boys shutting down the vikes offense and i see harvin breaking off at least 1 big return.
rocky2278 says:
01/17/10 10:37AM
Hoping Romo is due for his late season choke.  Keep your eyes on Harvin.  When he has a big game, it usually opens things up for AP and Rice.  Vikes need to get him the ball early with some short stuff and let him spread the Boys out.  Then AP on the ground and Rice and "The Tripod" Schiancoe through the air.  My homer-ass prediction is Vikes 31 Boys 23.
str8from228 says:
01/17/10 10:41AM
upset special...d boys win by fieldgoal with romo the holder for the kicker to get back that miss snap for fieldgoal against seattle in playoffs long time ago...
MillerLiteBoy says:
01/17/10 10:44AM
No EJ Henderson is going to make a huge difference today in this game. 
DOVJAK says:
01/17/10 10:48AM
Wizerguy says:
01/17/10 10:55AM
You need to seperate Minnys home/away stats. The numbers posted for Minnesota are not  offensive and defensive home pure(raw) points. This is where people make their mistakes. Same goes for Dallas also. The last 2 games Dallas played at home vs a Philly team without their center and juggled OL is irrelavant.

 

Minnesota is at home not on the road. Dallas is on the road not at home. Lets concentrate on those series pure point stats. First Dallas .

 

The KC game was long ago, However, the games Dallas played at NYG and GB were not. Those games are an integral part of thier  most recent overall  road performance. How can anyone guage a team ( Dallas) playing on the road using their home stats. How can anyone gauge a team ( Minny) playing at home using their road stats. This is counter intuative.

 

Dallas last 4 road opponents were Wash/NO/NYG/GB 

 

 Wash: Dallas won 17-0.?, Wash has a good defense...yes vs a 30th ranked schedule. Just like GB with their 32nd ranked schedule had a good defense until they met Arizona. However,  Wash had very bad  rating  and  were a very bad team as a whole,Thats why they were listed in the bottom five of the league on my personal ratings chart.

 

New Orleans: solid team? ..yes. However, they dipped 7 rating points from where they were when they last played NE. Why? Injuries to most of the offense  including the center and most of the defense Sharper Gay  DLine etc. The coach kept those guys out for a reason , healing. He knew what was coming up down the road. 

 

 NYG:   Dallas lost, scored 21 pure ppg and gave up 31ppg not to impressive

 

GB the defensive fraud: Dallas lost,  scored only 7 pppg and gave up 17 on defense

 

Dallas's overall ave opp power rating last 4 away 22.5

 

 

Minnesota last 4 home opponent

 

 

NYG: Yes they quit ,Take them out of the equation

 

Cinn : Cinn had  the same offesive pureppg numbers and the same defensive pppg numbers prior to this game, that Dallas has going into the game they play with Miiny  today.  Minny cruised 27-10 pure ppg

 

Chicago Bad team..gee they beat Minny up on MNF must not be that bad...however they were. Minny crushes them 36-10 pppg.I dont see Dallas crushing any of their lame ass road opponents by that margin

 

Seattle  Minny 35-10  pppg   crush

 

Minnys overall AOPR last 4 home :19.Thats only  3.5 points less in opponents rating than Dallas.

 

My point is this and its very simple. Minny has crushed their home competition or weak schedule that the NFL put in front of them by 20 pppg with a score margin of 128-36. Thats a 32 pppg  offense and a 9 pppg defense.

 

Dallas has a 55-58 pppg scoring margin vs the teams they played mentioned above. Thats a 14.5 pureppg offense and a 14 pppg defense vs almost the same schedule or caliber of teams Minnys played at home

 

Minny 32-9

Dallas 14-14     Final score   Minny 30 Dallas 10

 

Let the media keep hyping up Ware and the Dallas defense.Thats not where their problem is. However, it will be Sunday when the Dallas offense cant match Farve, and the Dallas defense is suckin wind beacause their offense cant move the ball.

 

I could care less what Dallas does between the 20's. If they cant get into the endzone ..in the dome

 

They're DOOMED

 

 

wallstreetcappers says:
01/17/10 11:02AM
Good post and info Andy.

You are right, a good passing attack with decent pass protection can and will torch Minny..


DoubleUp4Life says:
01/17/10 11:20AM

Nice Info .....Brother

Was Leaning on the Boys ...... Now it's a No Brainer

thornton6 says:
01/17/10 11:20AM
Dallas away from home scares me with Romo at QB! This game comes down to which QB plays better and that leads me to go with Farve in a big game. I know Dallas has been playing great but Minni rested and Farve never beating Dallas is enough motivation for Farve to have a huge game i think!
ratherBgambling says:
01/17/10 11:26AM
good info andarmac.

good counter wizer.

Skyndrix40 says:
01/17/10 11:28AM

Good info

Wizerguy says:
01/17/10 11:29AM

 

DtotheP says:
01/17/10 11:33AM

Great point Mac!

 

However, you know the NFL wants Favre to move on.  This game is a total toss up for me.

 

 BOL

glyde69 says:
01/17/10 12:58PM

I don't have the heart to change my bet.  Gotta stick with the Vikes in the dome.

Good luck, Mac.  Shame we are on opposite ends.

tito40 says:
01/17/10 01:00PM



I don't know, the cowboys will give them plenty of pub and ratings too...
andarmac99 says:
01/17/10 04:25PM






andarmac99 says:
01/22/10 06:51PM
Well clearly this Vikings defense stepped up big last week at home and behind the energy of the home crowd, the D-line raped Dallas' O-line and that was the game.

Let's see how they do this week without the energy of their home crowd behind them and Kevin Williams/Ray Edwards nursing injuries. Winfield still banged up too.



Skyndrix40 says:
01/22/10 07:45PM

I guess they(DL) still haven't been tested huh?

ShadowWarrior says:
01/22/10 08:00PM
Dallas played like crap, as did the Chargers.  But all the points concerning the Yikes d will come to fruition this Sunday.  No E.J., banged up d linemen, noisy dome, etc will doom the minny team.  They made Kurt Warner look very old lw, they will make Bret look even older
Jets Cinderella story ends here.  3rd and long will make Mark Sanchez look like a rookie
2A7D16FDDB304F80B18583F299D4B13D says:
01/22/10 10:49PM

I have seen clearly this year that any time that a good QB has just a little protection from that pass rush they just shred that viking pass D.

Well, playing hurt this week, their D now plays on the road VS an offensive line who gives up one of the fewest sack totals and has 3 pro bowlers on it.

Now with little prospects of putting consistant pressure on a GOOD (maybe the best or 2nd best QB) how HOW in the world is that poor viking road pass D going to fare VS the best off. line/QB combo they have seen this year?

The saint punter will NOT be icing his foot sunday night!!!!!!!!

SAINTS 45

VIKINGS 27

 

Splooge says:
01/22/10 11:02PM
always appreciate your stuff but can't get by minny's defensive front 7 performance last week.  Bye week did them a solid and there is no question this front 7 makes up for any insecurity they have in secondary. Winfield seems fine which is a boost and all so called inj check out ok on my end.  I have a very hard time playing against saints in this spot w/ the drastic home field advtg and just wanting them to get to a SB but my wallet says different. I have several $ line plays on minny w/ jets and carry overs w jets $ last week parlays that pay large so i might just force myself to be swayed and put a large one on saints especially if colts run away w a big one then i'll be chasin!! J E T S!!!!!!
CalBear says:
01/22/10 11:31PM

Wow, spot on.  Nice job Wizer
85Bears says:
01/22/10 11:46PM

These stats you might wipe your ass with....Break out the stats before the Cowboys played the SAINTS and you would of thought that the Cowboys would of had their heads handed to them up their ass...but guess what?....this is one game ...and people don't know how  the Saints vulnerability is...the Vikes will map every move Cowboys defense made....and will follow lead.

And I actually love Breese and co. But I see where they are weak and it is a big weakess.....Dont draw conclusions on what they did to a Tired Cards team....draw you conclusions on what they didn't do to a Cowboys team at home.....they got their asses kicked.

85Bears says:
01/22/10 11:48PM
Guess what I was sent out to fuck up and I fucked up on the way out!.....wrong post....sorry guys!
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