arsenal588's Blog

*****02/16/09 PICKS*****

By arsenal588 | View all Posts
Posted Monday, February 16, 2009 01:58 AM   28 comments
NCAAB record: 10-1.
Had a great weekend with San Francisco and Illinois St. producing some half and game wins for me. Every game is 1 unit, I'm just trying to pick winners, it's about quality not quantity.


PITT +3.5....Very tough team, leadership, can win on the road. I generally like to go against #1 ranked teams this year as there seems to be added pressure for them. UCONN is still adjusting without Dyson. Really like Pitt here.

MARIST +2.5....Consensus is on St. Peter's..really? I can't find many good reasons why a lot more people like an 8-17 team over an 8-19 team.  Marist shoots better than St. Peter's and shoots much better on the road. They also rebound better and basically aren't even getting the full 3 points in an otherwise toss-up game. I'll take Marist here.

TEXAS A & M -2....Homecourt is pretty big here. Texas is a better team but A&M hasn't had that big home win yet over a solid team. Stats probably lean towards Texas but I'd rather go against the public.



28 comments
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adlai52 says:
02/16/09 02:06AM
So far, A&M's two biggest home wins are Baylor and Oklahoma State. What people don't seem to realize is how big this game is for Texas A&M ... not in the sense of where they may end up in the Big 12 but as a rivalry. Reed Arena will be rockin' tomorrow night.

The home team almost always wins this game. Not saying Tex doesn't have a chance tomorrow but look at the Horns' recent Big 12 road games ... on Saturday they went to OT at COLORADO!!! CU is the worst team in the Big 12!!

A&M will get it done. Gig em tomorrow Ags! BOL
adlai52 says:
02/16/09 02:06AM
also like your Pitt play. BOL
arsenal588 says:
02/16/09 02:08AM
Good points adlai, I mentioned in another thread that I was less than impressed with Texas letting Colorado battle them until the end, and into OT. They won't get away with that @ A&M.
insatiable says:
02/16/09 02:15AM
mrod112 says:
02/16/09 02:18AM
drag0n says:
02/16/09 03:52AM
a&m is +2 right? 
arsenal588 says:
02/16/09 10:34AM
ahh my fault, yes +2.

TEXAS A&M +2.



spartan1 says:
02/16/09 10:42AM
PITT ML and the Under


ben3496 says:
02/16/09 10:46AM
GL
D-Town says:
02/16/09 10:56AM
mrod112 says:
02/16/09 11:32AM
arsenal - what is ur take on the sienna game? 
volstud50 says:
02/16/09 11:37AM
arsenal - BOL...leaning Pitt and A&M as well!
arsenal588 says:
02/16/09 11:56AM
mrod- i'm always very wary of selecting a team that 70% of the public is on, on the road, giving points. Siena has had a very tough road schedule and performed well, though, and has beaten Iona the last six times. You can have all the stats and insight to a game like this but it comes down to the players giving effort and I think Iona will bring it tonight.
kingofthewin says:
02/16/09 11:56AM
marist aggies
arsenal588 says:
02/16/09 04:25PM
FINAL PICKS:

PITT +3.5     2 units
MARIST +2.5   1 unit
TEXAS A&M +2    1 unit

Let's go perfect again tonight!!!


LaDaddy says:
02/16/09 04:28PM
arsenal588 says:
02/16/09 05:17PM
I stated I would be patient last night when I made the thread. But I will push my luck and add one game tonight.

IONA +4.5...1 unit.....I don't just pick against the public all the time but tonight I will be doing so in all four games. This is a game Siena should win but Iona plays lockdown D at home, only giving up 62 points a game.  Also, Siena shoots 65% at the line, so if this game is close late, I am stressing out if I expect Siena to hit clutch FT's, on the road, in a game where crowd matters.  l'll gladly take another Home dog in a meaningful game late in the season. 
arsenal588 says:
02/16/09 05:36PM
app state doesn't play a lot of D, if any D, and Charleston scores a lot. Great 8-3 road record as well. If this pans out like Illinois St/Drake last night, I gotta go with CHARLESTON.
Macwestie1 says:
02/16/09 05:38PM
GL Like'em arsenal588
mrod112 says:
02/16/09 06:19PM
arsenal - thanks for the input and for the CC game im leaning over so we will see how that goes!   thanks! 
jerry_garcia1 says:
02/16/09 06:21PM
BOL

 

madashman says:
02/16/09 06:28PM
GL Arsenal Enjoy your posts in the NBA pick of the day thread.  Glad your posting over here now.
arsenal588 says:
02/16/09 07:25PM
Thanks madashman. I'm also found in the NHL and Soccer forums, too, so I got a lot of pressure to get over 60% in four sports. 
arsenal588 says:
02/16/09 09:08PM
PITT +3.5      SU WIN     1-0 today      11-1 NCAAB
arsenal588 says:
02/16/09 09:33PM
IONA +4.5     LOSS     1-1 today     11-2 NCAAB
arsenal588 says:
02/16/09 09:42PM
ah i know, marist has let me down a lot this year, I'm not sure why I went with it, but who knows. I had Pitt ML in the bracket as well, what a great game.
arsenal588 says:
02/17/09 12:00AM
MARIST +2.5    LOSS   1-2 today    11-3 NCAAB
TEXAS A&M +2   SU WIN    2-2 today    12-3 NCAAB

Pushed my luck with Iona but still up on the day with Pitt winning a 2 unit bet. 
arsenal588 says:
02/17/09 12:21AM
yeah you did real well, 3-1 ATS, 3-1 ML...I think you actually got 136

canisius ML=32, Pitt ML=22  A&M ML=22
3-1 ATS=60
136
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User: arsenal588
Joined: March 2008
Location: Massachusetts
Team: Boston Bruins
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