I like to take out the bias when I'm capping. Watching Florida on t.v is amazing. Probably moreso in person. What I try to do is think against the box. If I want to be wanna of the 5% or so who actually make money I can't think like the other 95% of the people who don't. With all that being said anyone who frequents this site knows that I go after big dogs all the time and I press my luck on the moneyline.
This week will be no different.
YTD 1-8 ML
Picked BYU over Oklahoma lost everything else. Still up units.
Posted record ats
I know I've only posted 2 losers ats(troy last week and Oregon 2 weeks ago). All my other picks have covered. ATS record something and 2.
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Why Tennessee can beat Florida.
1. Tennessee defended Florida as well as any team last year. At the final gun both teams had 16 first downs and Tennesse outgained Florida while holding the ball longer. The diffference was Tennessee's 3 t.os. Can they win if they play like that again? No. Are they physically up to the challenge? I think so.
2. Eric Berry vs. Tim Tebow. Honestly Eric Berry reminds of Bob Sanders. Not huge but the fucker is just everywhere. He's one of the two safeties in the NCAA I believe allow a defense to honestly account for Tim Tebow and still play sound defense.
3. Kiffin reminds me of a douchier Urban Meyer. It takes a certain bravado to be a big time program in the NCAA. It is the teams that drop 50 every time they get a chance that show up on year in and year out. I believe Kiffin is going to bring the attitude and ego necessary for Tennessee to do that. Getting players has never and will not be a problem for Tennessee. Getting those guys to play with Floyd Mayweather's ego is Kiffin's job. I think he can do it.
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These are side notes but I believe this season will be a lot like the year where S. Fla ended up being number 2 in the country at one point during the season. The best teams can't all go out and go undefeated. Each of those teams lost a game last year and I didn't see anything change with those teams besides the players getting a year older. They are all each still worth a loss. In the end it will still be some form of Texas, Oklahoma, Florida, USC for the natty title game. I believe the conference with a title game have a distinct advantage in scheduling a huge game as a hurdle to a natty title. How many teams have won the nattty title without having to go through a conference championship game when they were playing against a team that did
Teams who played in a conference championship are 6-1 in the BCS title game when facing a team who did not play in a conference championship game. The sole winner was USC in 04 and they played Oklahoma after they faced a cupcake Colorado team in the Big 12 championship. I'm just saying.
GL all