atxcojo's Blog

Posted Friday, December 23, 2011 12:47 PM

Need Hedge expert's (possibly DoubleUp4Life's) advice and take on this

I haven't really played much NFL b/c I put all my eggs into 1 basket this season. Now I am sweating bullets.I have 2 chances to limit my loss with the Bills playing DEN and NE the next 2 weeks. I know that the NE line will be over-inflated and the Bills will be undervalued (with what little value they still have) - so this Saturday may be my only chance to help cut my losses.  Below is some very simple scenarios that I have drawn up, If ANYONE has any advice on a better route to take, please take a few moments to outline your path.

BILLS over 5.5 wins -120
Risked 2,400 to win 2,000

Scenerio 1

-2400 = -2400 (Let it ride and Bills don't win 1 of next 2 games)

Scenerio 2

-2400 + 2000 = -400 (Bills under 5.5 wins and Broncos ML win)
OR
+2000 - 2900 = -900 (Bills over 5.5 wins and Broncos ML Loss)

Scenario 3

Hell freezes over and the Bills win - which will take me having balls of still to have confidence in them at this point, which I don't


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