Need Hedge expert's (possibly DoubleUp4Life's) advice and take on this

I haven't really played much NFL b/c I put all my eggs into 1 basket this season. Now I am sweating bullets.I have 2 chances to limit my loss with the Bills playing DEN and NE the next 2 weeks. I know that the NE line will be over-inflated and the Bills will be undervalued (with what little value they still have) - so this Saturday may be my only chance to help cut my losses.  Below is some very simple scenarios that I have drawn up, If ANYONE has any advice on a better route to take, please take a few moments to outline your path.

BILLS over 5.5 wins -120
Risked 2,400 to win 2,000

Scenerio 1

-2400 = -2400 (Let it ride and Bills don't win 1 of next 2 games)

Scenerio 2

-2400 + 2000 = -400 (Bills under 5.5 wins and Broncos ML win)
OR
+2000 - 2900 = -900 (Bills over 5.5 wins and Broncos ML Loss)

Scenario 3

Hell freezes over and the Bills win - which will take me having balls of still to have confidence in them at this point, which I don't

SEAHAWKS VS SKINS DISCUSSION

Let's get some good dialog flowing on this game y'all. I have been intrigued by this game all weak with a HEAVY lean on Seattle.

I closely watched the Skins/Boys game last week and it was a very physical game. The Skins definately had to "get up" for the divisional game and are no doubt deflated after knowing they could have beaten their long hated rival. With this motivational angle, mixed with the well known cross-country mixed with Seattle's known home field craziness..I can't get off pulling the trigger with them at -3 +100 locally here. Below is more info for the case for the Seahawks...Again, I welcome Skins backers to explain to me why they are laying their money on them.

• Favorite is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
• Home team is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
• Seahawks are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
• Seahawks are 3-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• Seahawks are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
• Seahawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
• Seahawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC

Your welcome - Anyone betting Dallas/Lions MUST read this

I am a season ticket holder for the Boys - and I get these press releases every week. It's a great read either way you look at it, may help you in your betting decision. These are the official game notes (also known as the white papers) for the game. Enjoy Covers brothers!

http://bit.ly/pr5rpp

49ers -3 Discussion thread

I wanted to get some good feedback/discussion from everyone here to get their thoughts here. Home field in the NFL is an automatic -3 points, and the bookmakers are saying that SF is only a field goal better than the Seahawks...I don't buy that. Pete got rid of all the veteran staff, and is under a lot of pressure in this spot with an inferior team. The 9'ers will win the west, and I think they roll here. Thoughts?

Lean:
SF-3

CoJo's Pigskin Thread

No way Favre keeps this close...Going to be a ground and pound game for the Vikes. Favre had the best season of his career last season while facing one of the easiest schedules in the league. He will not repeat it this game, nor year.

Saints ML -250
Risking 12.5 to win 5

U49
Risking 3.6 to win 3