DO NOT BET ON THE SUPER BOWL WITHOUT READIN THIS(Fact vs fiction)

In terms of teams which made the playoffs, the Colts and Saints had three common opponents. They both beat up on the Cardinals. They also both beat the Jets by roughly the same number of points - the Colts also lost to the Jets but that can't really be counted as it was 'meaningless' and Mannning and the starters got pulled. There was a big difference in their games vs. New England though. The Colts barely beat the Patriots, winning by a single point. Meanwhile, the Saints pounded the Patriots by a score of 38-17.

Advantage: SAINTS


Below is the ACCUSCORE DLR:

ROT TEAM PS UNITS YTD OU UNITS YTD SIM WIN % VEGAS LINE OPEN VEGAS LINE MIDWEEK VEGAS LINE SIM LINE PREDICTION 101 NO -500 -500 46.3% 55.5 56.5 56.5 56 UNDER 102 IND 20 -290 53.7% -4.5 -5.5 -4.5 -3 NO


Advantage: SAINTS

I also take into account some of the respected Covers Community picks....The best cappers we have here on this site are majorly in favor of the Saints and the points. With that said.....


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UT - MSU game discussion

Only game I have made it to was they whipping of Long Beach, however, is there anyone who can argue that this is the team with the most depth.Pittman who has been a match-up problem for every team this year. Add this with the freshman play of Bradley and Hamilton, I see a this number being spot on here. UT takes it by DD. Open for discussions....what are you thoughts?

UT - 9

You can thank Austin, Texas for the best 2 NFL games of the year!

VY's 99 yard drive yesterday, and Austin Westlake's own Drew Brees tonight. Should be a great one!

CoJo's DoJo: NBA 11/6 plays

YTD: 5 - 9 - 1 (-16.84 units)

Not the start I wanted on the season, so I took a few days off to get an assessment of a few teams. Here goes tonight card.

NEW JERSEY +12½-110 (buying 3 for -170)
I cannot ignore the probability of a cover here at over 15 points...it is a risk/reward that I am willing to take, and tonight I'm going to pound it. Stepping out there a bit, wish me luck on this one (75% probable this will hit at 15.5 point)s10u

NEW ORLEANS -5-110 (buying 3 for -2) (70% probable) 5u
This is based on probability, and I think that NO will easily win the steals/TO battle...this will be key in this match-up.

TOTAL o202-110 (CLEVELAND vrs NEW YORK)5u
No offense last night will lead to a dominant performance tonight against the leagues worst defense...New York hangs enough to get this over the total.

TOTAL o217-110 (LA CLIPPERS vrs GOLDEN STATE) 5u
Run and gun...no more to say, gotta love Don Nelson's open play.

CoJo's DoJo: Picks for 10/29

Yesterday (1-3)
YTD (4-7-1) - 13.8 units

SA -2.5 2U
Denver + 8 1U

CoJo's DoJo: Probabilities & picks for 10/28

Phoenix Suns -3	56.9%
Los Angeles Clippers +3	40.4%

OVR 217.5	43.6%
UND 217.5	56.3%

CoJo's DoJo: Probabilities & picks for NBA opening night

Here are my probabilities of a cover for for all the games tonight. Going to stick with this all year....anything 55% and up will merit a single unit play. Anything that hits over a 60% probability will be a 2 unit play. 65% and up will be considered a top play at 5 units a play. If any of you use V1 or V2, or ABC methods (something that I am just now learning) and it coincides with these probability selections...let me know, could be a GOY-like play. BOL everyone

43.2%
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Could this be the most difficult card of the season? Leans/Picks/write-ups inside

I am having some very hard time to find some value in today's games. Thus far I have HEAVY leans on Texas Tech, Oregon, Ohio St., and Penn St.....but no plays yet. You thoughts?

Penn State hasn't won at Michigan since 1996, but ended a 9-game losing streak in this series last year with its' win at State College. The Nittany Lions and Wolverines are ranked 1-2 in the conference in total offense. The difference is in total defense where Penn State ranks 1st and Michigan ranks 7th.

Here's where the attempt to apply the transitive property of equality to college football scores goes terribly awry - Texas A&M lost to Kansas State by 48 while Texas Tech beat Kansas State by 52 - therefore, Texas Tech should win by 100. Heck, I'm only asking for a quarter of that.

No one in the country has been on the kind of roll that Oregon has been on with 4 straight wins by at least 7 points, and 2 of those by 39 points or more. Oregon ranks 15th nationally in total defense while Washington ranks 106th. The Ducks have won the last 5 meetings by 19 or more points.

DO NOT bet on DAL/KC unless you read this post first!

I am a season ticket holder, and got my rep to send me the official Cowboy news release (aka white paper). Truly some valuable information can be found in these. Read the info before you place your bet, either way, it may help your "lean" become a confident money-making bet. Enjoy, BOL!

Game 5 (Dal vs. KC)

NO Saints Discussion

Spill you guts my friends.....here is what I like. Anyone against this play? How can you take DET in this spot? I see a veteran squad cruising here......

New Orleans Saints -13


A few reasons why I am taking the Saints:
1. I still will fade the Lions for the majority of the season when I can find a marginal line....yes I think 13 in this case is marginal for the Saints...
2. Preseason: I saw a team that has improved on both sides of the ball. Saints roll in this game, putting the Lions back in their place....last.

Week 2 Skins (Friday Play inside)

YTD (0-0)

Toledo +4 $550 to win $500

Weekend Leans:
Georgia -7: Those who watched the game realize that there was some def home cookin' and there will not be a player on the field named Dez Bryant. The game should have been a lot closer,  without some very, very bad calls, Georgia covers.... I'm still sour.

LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE +7: "Kansas State was a 21-17 survivor over FCS member Massachusetts last week while UL-L dismantled its' FCS opponent, Southern, 42-19." *Something if fishy here.....if it seems too good to be true, blah blah

Rice +28:Tech is a vastly overrated team this year and is still riding high on public opinion. Rice's QB Sheppard should be able to navigate Rice's potent O against a mediocre Tech D (although improved) and cover the -28 that I have here.

Texas -32: Mack works the kinks out of a UT team that is Pasadena bound. McCoy lights up a horrible secondary.

Never enough betting tools, post your sites for gaining knowledge here!

This post is intended to help in the information gathering process. There are a few key sites that I personally look at when putting together information to make my picks. Yes, this is mainly intended for College Football, but feel free to post for other sports.

1. Covers.com
2. Collegefootballpoll.com (congrove computer rankings and picks)
3. Vegasinsider.com (See where the public money is going)


*Note: We should all be collectively working together (Think-Tank) to help each other achieve that extra percentage in the W/L column. BOL everyone! 

HOF game

Preseason Record: 0 - 0

HOF GAME
Buff/Tenn Over 31.5
Risking $275 to win $250


I am taking the OVER in this one guys. Buffalo is still a sub-par team, probably one of the 5 or 6 worst in the league. I know it's preseason, but it is still a personnel matchup that I cannot overlook. Buffalo in this game hasa chance to give Buffalo, NY some false hopes as they think they may actually have a football team in contention this year (look at their division, they will go no where). I see the 1st strings adding a little flare to what is going to be a poor defensive game. The 2nd and 3rd strings on both teams will have the chance to add up some yardage, and eventually get enough points to get us over our low total or 31 1/2. Except for Tenn's run game (which will only be dominant during the 1st string matchups) most of the plays that we should see today will be comming from the air, allowing for more time and clock stopage to run up the score. My 2 cents on this one fellas. BOL everyone, lets break the books for another year!