bakemcbride's Blog

Champions League final props

By bakemcbride | View all Posts
Posted Tuesday, May 26, 2009 09:00 AM   3 comments
List some of your book's interesting props here for the game.
 
(I know Bracks will have some cool exact score props)
 
BTW, my local sucks with his prices...
 
Team to score 1st:
     Barca -105
     Man U +110
No goals in regulation +600
 
Barca (HT)/Man U(FT) +2500
Man U (HT)/Barca(FT) +2200
Draw(HT)/Draw(FT)  +1200
 
1st player carded
1st player to score
 
Method of 1st goal:
     Header   +300
     Own Goal   +1500
     Direct Free kick   +1100
     Penalty Kick   +800
     Inside the Penalty Box   -175
     Outside the Penalty Box   +400
 
I'd like some of the forum's insight as to who might get carded 1st
 
Bevo, I know you'll have props like the number of corner kicks and yellow and red cards
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3 comments
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sovetov says:
05/26/09 10:57AM

Tricky one IMO. Barsa defense is not too good, incl. goalkeeper. Ronaldo have great shoot from fouls. Berbatov can hold the ball and take two defenders with him than a clear pass. In other side - Henry knows Utd. players. Everything can happen Goal, No Goal.

One of my rules:
Never bet pre-mach on final game.

 

For fun - first card after 27'. The refferie is not such tipe that shows cards like giveing candy. Yes, it will be nervous begining, but safety is first. That incl. to stay out of early yellow cards, becouse there will be enought time for second one. Odds 1.9, stake: 1/10.

bracks says:
05/26/09 11:30AM

here are some right now I have and will play.

1st off, as most know in this forum, big Man U guy, but I will give all my reasons for why they win this tomorrow morning.

Man U pk -120 ( I think this is the best bet) Yes, I think it doesn't go to OT and the +150 would be nice, but I know just like last yr, the last 10 mins disappear in a tied game. And nothing is worst than knowing a team is just wasting the clock.

under 3.5 goals -400 I will not play this, but shows likely this is a 2-1 game at most. +265 for O 3.5

Man U 1st HF +210/ draw -105: Simple play here with a nice hedge. yes, barca could be u 1-0 and I lose 2 Units, but I think Man U to get the 1st goal is a great bet, and do not think Barca D will hold them for 45 min w/out one. yes, the 1st 15-20min is just going to be a robing out of the midfield defense, but that still gives the devils 25 to get 1. Also, if Barca scores, Man U on full tilt should get a equalizer. I will play 1 unit on man U score, .5 on the draw.

Under 1 Goal 1st HF -150- These odds show again that 0-0, 1-0 is the main thinking. I also get back the money from the draw and not a Man U lead, and its a push if Man U is up 1-0

Now for the exact scores. I think 1 thing is absolutely crazy. It is a bigger chance for barca to win 1-0(+550) than Man U(+600). LMFAO. Why? those defenders out for Barca are huge, and I don't care what people say. And how many more times will you hear Sir Alex say.." 1-0 win is the perfect score". get a lead and hold it. The problem is, his team is the best counter-attack squad in the world (see 3rd goal vs. Arse) and usually catch teams pushing too far up. Again, Barca winning 2-1 (+700) is a small fav more to happen than the final I see which is Man U 2-1( +750). The others I will hedge with, 1-1 is +450 and Man U 2-0 +850. WHy would I take 2-0 over 1-0? As stated, the best counter attack team in the world, adn I am pretty sure that Barca would bring everyone including the kitchen sink if they were down 1-0 in the last 10min.

Again, I will write up more on the tomorrow, but that is my major bets.


bakemcbride says:
05/27/09 12:45AM
My book must've taken a bad line down cuz the Draw/Draw is now at +300

 

I like Bracks reasoning of under 1 goal 1st half -150 ( 1 unit)

 

 

 

Very small on the following (for fun):

 

Im taking Ronaldo to score first +500, thinking he will have the opportunity to roam free. 

 

Man U to score 1st +110

 

Draw/Man U +400

 

2nd half with most goals +105

 

 

 

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User: bakemcbride
Joined: January 2007
Location: California
Team: Southern California Trojans
Occupation: Communication

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