Posted Friday, August 06, 2010 11:29 AM
I got smoked at 116, still feeling the loss on Carwin. It was my biggest play of the year and I felt I had that capped as good as any fight I've bet in years, it just didn't pan out. It was 13 unit swing, going from thinking Carwin had it won and me winning 8 units, to seeing Lesnar wear him down and me losing 5 units. But life goes on. For 117, I've got:
Clay Guida -107 (2.14 units to win 2 units)...I see Guida being too strong for Dos Anjos. Clay should be able to take him down and out wrestle him for 3 rounds. This one could put me to sleep from boredom, I'm just hoping it will also put 2 units into my account.
Jon Fitch -104 (1.04 units to win 1 unit)...Pretty much the same blueprint we'll see from Guida. Not to mention, Alves has had the 1-year plus layoff which has been profitale to fade lately.
Matt Hughes +155 (1 unit to win 1.55 units)...Hughes already whooped up on Almeida's teacher, Renzo Gracie, I don't see why he can't beat the student. I really don't like either one of these guys and I'm not a fan of watching either one fight, but I do think there is value in getting Hughes at this price. I just really hope that if Hughes does win, we don't here Joe Rogan claim that Hughes is back in the Welterweight title picture, because he's not, and he never will be.
Roy Nelson +300 (1 unit to win 3 units)...How can you not be a fan of the fat guy? JDS is a bad dude, but at some po... [More]