I haven't been posting much lately here, just haven't seen a whole lot of value on the recent cards.  Here's what I got to kill time the night before the Superbowl....

Thiago +180 (risking 1 unit to win 1.8 units)....I've always liked Swick, but he's always been a bit overrated.  His record is sugar-coated because he spent a few years at 185 fighting bums.  I still can't believe Hardy earned a title shot for beating him.  I think Thiago will be able to take him down at will, and once on the ground, Thiago's BJJ advantage is incredible.  Even standing, Swick's advantage isn't enough to warrant him being a -200 fav. 

Serra -140 (risking 1.4 units to win 1 unit)....I'm a little scared to back Serra because he's been off for a while, but I think he just outclasses Trigg.  Serra should be able to name the way he wins.

Anyone see any value in Sonnen?  Tough to bet against Nate, but 3-to-1 is a nice comeback on a fighter with Chael's experience.