bibendi23's Blog

Hokies Week 1

By bibendi23 | View all Posts
Posted Tuesday, June 16, 2009 10:41 AM   68 comments
Pretty excited to get this season started. Should be fresh for this season as I have stopped wagering in all other sports. Just a few things I've seen from the offseason about my Hokies...

Tyrod is the real deal. He is improving his accuracy daily and building up the strength in his ankles has been the key task for him. Contributing to his health will be the quality and depth he has at running back this season and the continued development of his receivers. He said he plans on leaving the pocket no more than 10 times this season. I dont necessarily think that would be a positive thing for the Hokies, but I wouldnt mind it in games when he doesnt need to. The offensive live should be solid with Render returning as the best guard in the nation. They have enough redneck big fellas to control the field.
On the opposite side of the field I think this defense will be better than last years. I think the additions outweigh the subtractions with the only real loss being Macho. He will be missed but we have added ridiculous speed to our linebacker corps and just wait and see how good Jason Worilds will be at DE this year. He will be a first round pick by the end of the season. Kam Chancellor may be the best athlete on the team playing the rover position which is an extremely important position in the Foster defensive scheme.
I really like the Hokies to make a statement in the opener. I would not trust a QB making his first career start against this defense no matter how much time he has to prepare. If Tyrod can hit the open outlet they should cause fits. The running game will be able to dominate most teams but I doubt they put much of a dent in Bama's D-Line. With that being said, the play action should be open and with T-Mobile's running threat they have to respect there is really no reason they cant take advantage of it. I'll have much more to say about this one as the day approaches but just some preliminary thoughts to chat about. Good luck this upcoming season guys
68 comments
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Hokiefan40 says:
06/16/09 06:35PM
Probably won't bet this one and just enjoy the game.  Our season would be a disaster if Tyrod only left the pocket 10 times.  We need to design plays where we roll him out and let him make a play with his feet or his arm.  But as you said, I would put nothing past Stinespring!

Should be a great season, Go Hokies
TommyGill says:
06/16/09 06:42PM
Should be a top 3 team in the ACC but I see some bias like normal
bibendi23 says:
06/16/09 07:43PM

 

We are the class of the ACC in the preseason. Doesnt mean anything of course. Interesting fact, only lost 2 games ATS last year in Hokies game and I bet against them 5 times. I love my team but I have no bias at all.

wdmcleod says:
06/23/09 12:03PM
Bibendi23 any ideals on how to handicap week 1 of CFB
gigabass says:
06/23/09 01:28PM
Bibendi , just making sure that you get my first post.You really helped me ALOT last season.Hope this season brings us lots of fresh cabbage...thx man!!!!!
longhornswin says:
06/24/09 12:03AM
Lookin' forward to it, buddy! 
bibendi23 says:
06/25/09 07:38AM

 

Thanks, hopefully we can have another fun year

bibendi23 says:
06/25/09 07:39AM

 

 

bibendi23 says:
06/25/09 07:40AM
Just an update:

 

Ryan Williams is nasty

ManRam24 says:
07/05/09 09:04PM
Bibendi the Hokie man whos going to get stomped out in fantasy college  accept my friend invite
Bigfish75 says:
07/05/09 10:03PM

TERRENCE CODY is NASTIER!

ROLANDO MCCLAIN is NASTIEST!!!!!

JobeyOne says:
07/05/09 10:20PM
There's too many question marks about both of these teams to play this game. This is a dangerous game to play. I am staying away from this game.
TommyGill says:
07/08/09 01:07PM

I think FSU will give you all a run for your money this season to be honest and I don't trust your offense still to make the big plays but a new year who knows. 

Veritas says:
07/08/09 03:36PM
Goodluck this year Bibendi.  Love the analysis of your Hokies... if this line shoots up to +3, then I'm all over it.  Have to respect that Hokie D, and if Tyrod plays like the athlete he is... this could be one hell of a game. 
geezytha8man says:
07/09/09 02:44PM
Line is at +4 VT................ On it or what B?
brianj5685 says:
07/09/09 05:52PM

 

Tyrod better be leaving the pocket in the GA Dome or Rolando McClain and the Bama D is will have his head!  Bama's defense is gonna be the best he will see all year by far...

Ice4Blood says:
07/10/09 09:46AM

you're gonna miss the boat on one of the great early season plays, then...

PlacinUnits says:
07/11/09 04:25PM
DoubleUp4Life says:
07/11/09 11:40PM
I keep flip flopping on this game ....

 

starting to Lean on the Tide in a tight one

 

20-17???

 

 

Ice4Blood says:
07/12/09 01:16AM

 

you are officially clueless!

Va Tech will be a top 8 team this year without question... most likely top 5...

Ice4Blood says:
07/12/09 01:18AM
Tech ML is the play in this game... Bama won't be the same team they were last year...
bookieassassin says:
07/12/09 02:13AM


AGREE with ol  jobey 1 here.......if you CAN ACTUALLY get tech and >3.....that makes some sense......probably close to pick'em by time we get to it.......better check out HOW BAD hokie offense really was last year..(box scores.) ......we all know they will be better.......keep reading ...."right out of the gate....they're  gonna do this.... and that "......passing game is gonna MIRACULOUSLY just open up......vs BAMA ?.....also better check out 'bama D if not familiar > they're better than most think
hokies may not gain length of my pecker....> although  substantial....   might not translate to points......bama might not either..... to answer your point....recommendation was to avoid .....not play on bama
gamble04 says:
07/12/09 06:50AM
how good is this vt d?  Can anyone tell me who are the playmakers on defense for them?  I really like bama but people seem to like vt.
bookieassassin says:
07/12/09 10:24AM
here are few examples of hokie offensive "performance" in '08....
* played against pretty good defenses......including b college  twice
* ok better...but how much ?....gotta determine "starting point"
* better way is to break down LY box scores....(ESPN > play by play....)...but these stats may suggest have LONG way to go....

How 'bout that OL ?  holding ground ? ........moving people ?..or getting ass whipped?
      TFL      #116    93 for 332 yards
      sacks   #111    42 !   2.7/game   (14 games)
      yds/rush      #78    3.8 /rush   best in 3 years
other.....
     yds/play      #105    4.5/play
     red zone     #105    58 chances >27 TD's
tyrod ready to lead hokies to promised land ?.......hey man he's heisman trophy candidate!....MIGHT happen ...but HUGE projection
LY was  99/173 (57%)........with 2 TD's / 7 picks.(ON FIRE).......'07 ...54%....5/3
     *much maligned juice williams (shouldn't even be starter !....terrible!!!.........219-381..... 58%......22 TD's / 16 picks
* hokies had a grand total of 6 TD passes last year.......let me see.....wonder how you defend these guys ?...hmmmm
bigsam0316 says:
07/12/09 11:08AM
roll tide roll!!! bibendi23 lol ought to be a good one
bracks says:
07/12/09 11:26AM
brianj- 

I am not saying that they are better, but I think you will be surprised by how good the front 7 of the Tarheels will be this yr. Bama has better DB's and more superstar names up front, but I would not say "by far" like no one is even close.

I am hoping we get the VT +4 in this game. I can make a case for either team, but everyone has talked about "what will tyrod do against Bama D", but talk about the other side. How is the new Bama QB going to handle Beamer's D and scheme?

Close game, and I think if VT loses, its 4pts or under 
Ice4Blood says:
07/12/09 09:14PM
bookie and others... get on the VT bandwagon early or miss the boat... nuff said!
Ice4Blood says:
07/12/09 09:14PM
a healthy Tyrod Taylor this year will be a Heisman candidate...
bookieassassin says:
07/13/09 08:14AM
some of you guys are aware that you are on COVERS right ?...
and not vthokie.com.......or hokiesports.com ?
here's what heisman candidate TROD has done in games vs good teams with good D's.....(picked out 12 games/ career)......> to help us make a prediction as to how he will perform here vs bama (top 2 D in country)........he's 91-173- 935...53%....with 3 TD.....8 picks > 5.4 yds attempt  > which is terrible...
this discussion officially evolved into BeamerButtBlasters.com... with designation of one poster as clueless for saying..... we can say they're top 3 ACC ....not a lot more for sure at this point ?....obviously top 8 !.....probably  top 5 !.....(BEFORE they beat bama ?)........WOW !! 
Ice4Blood says:
07/13/09 05:10PM
bookie... listen up, mother fucker!

 

i am not a hokie fan, so stop mistaking my predictions as fan bias... it has nothing to do with that...

 

i know my shit!  i know when a team is about to break into the national race... i know when a player is about to go from ok to great... i don't give a rats ass what stats you pull up, because they will not apply to this team, this year...

 

so once again... get on board... or miss the boat...

 

i care not what you do... but i will be right!  you can count on it...

ksuwins says:
07/13/09 05:26PM

bibendi - I'm with you on this game.  A few comments:

-I disagree on one thing - if VTech doesn't run the ball well, there will be no play action.  But that's ok...they have a dynamic QB who is a junior now.  Beamer can afford to take three and outs as long as necessary...avoid the turnovers, and Tyrod will get loose eventually.

-Tyrod says he'll leave the pocket 10 times all season?  Geez, I hope he's kidding.  Run like the wind when you can, kid.  The more you run, the more effective your passing game is.

-Bama will have a great defense and d-line. Big deal. Great d-lines don't stop QB's like Tyrod for 4 qtrs.  Sooner or later, he's going to move the ball.  Now flip it:  what will happen when the uknown QB for Bama is in the same situation facing the killer VTech defense and d-line?  This is the biggest reason I'm leaning VTech.

-As eluded to above, who will QB for Bama?  QB is a much bigger question mark for Bama than it is for VTech.  We've got some names...all of them unproven and facing a VTech defense that may be as good as the opponent's D.  If it's McElroy, he's got some nice film.  He certainly throws well and can run a little bit.  But all things being equal (as they appear to be in this match up)pro-style QB's struggle against great defenses more than dual threats do.  If he's Colt McCoy, look out.  I'm wagering he's not Colt McCoy.

-I hope to get +3.  I'd love +4, but that ain't gonna happen...not by the time my sportsbook posts it.  If the line doesn't work for me, I'll just stick with the Under.

 

TRAIN69 says:
07/13/09 06:57PM

 

not saying anybody is right or wrond, but stats from previous years mean about as much as used toilet paper.....

TRAIN69 says:
07/28/09 10:56PM

 

that is actually a true statement......nobody knows if tyrod has improved and can stick it to a bama defense that is "supposed" to be good again....and nobody knows if the bama QB is good or not....what if he comes out lighting it up?? lots of dont knows week one....so that statement is not horseshit bro ...

 

Wizerguy says:
07/30/09 08:42AM

Wizerguy says:
07/28/09 06:28PM
GL this year
payne034 says:
07/27/09 02:01PM
bib are you going to the game??
payne034 says:
07/27/09 09:23PM
I got ya Bib

 

Were staying at Regency Suites I believe the name is were driving that fri morning and coming back Sunday

 

It will be a great weekend, but a lot of freaks there.....  Last year with Clemson game there was Sci Fi weekend too and Gay and Lesbian weekend, so it was definitely a crazy weekend

payne034 says:
07/14/09 11:54AM
Bib

 

You gonna be at the ga dome???

 

I will be there loud and proud bleeding RED AND WHITE

 

I think this will be an awesome kick off opener,

 

McElroy will be the starter and I believe this kid will be the real deal

 

Our d is legit and lethal

 

I look for a 17-13 type game

tideman says:
07/30/09 08:47AM
Mcelroy is the son of a coach, has two years on the sideline under Saban to learn the system, and has done very well in his prior appearances in games. JP Wilson was not a QB that struck fear into any of his opponents, so to anyone worried about a drop off at that position shouldnt. There are 3 reasons why Bama is better now than in years past, other than the obvious which was lack of players due to scholarship reductions, 1. (Talent) look at Sabans last 2 recruiting classes which was tops in the Nation. he brought guys in that immediately stepped up last year and made tremendous impacts throughout the entire season, and now after a years experience will be even more effective. This guy can recruit, just look back to when he was at LSU. 2. (Discipline) Back before Saban took over, Bama's players were an embarrasment on and off the field. Penalties, missed blocks, poor tackling, blown routs, missed assignments, poor execution with lack of effort. 3.(Strength and conditioning) They were slow and weak as popcorn farts. They were unable to perform at a high level for 60 minutes, and it showed by their repeated collapse several times in the fourth quarter.. ....This year Bama's defense will be dominating, and their offense like last year pretty explosive. The only thing I know about VT is what I saw last year, and  watching the replay the other night against Bosto College.....I think Bama wins this game against VT by more than 10 points, If I am wrong and lose money, It wont be the first time, and unfortunately probably wont be the last. Good luck to everyone this year.
tideman says:
08/31/09 11:27PM
[Quote: Originally Posted by Ice4Blood]

 

outstanding breakdown... you nailed it on the head...

 

incidentally, another team that is going to struggle due to their O-line chemistry is Oklahoma... at least early on... those truck lanes aren't gonna be there for Brown and Murray this year...

 

but yea... VT will beat Bama, and will do so relatively comfortably... doesn't matter how good Bama's defense is, because Tech's is just as good... the problem is Bama's offense... if there was a line on "Points scored by Bama's offense" vs. "Points scored by Techs defense or ST"... i'd make it a pick em...

bottom line... Tech's defense completely dominates this game from start to finish...

[/Quote

Why is VT not on your card? this thread  and several others is full of you making bold statements about people will be sorry if they dont bet VT, its one of the best bets of the early season, and that they are going to miss the boat if they dont join you on the Hokie band wagon. and VT moneyline is the way to go. How can people take you seriously, when you say one thing and do another? Take a moment and read back into the older threads and look at all of your rediculous statements. Maybe you just forgot to add VT to your card, maybe it was just an insight on your part, or maybe, just maybe you like to talk too much.

tideman says:
09/01/09 09:19AM
Oh well
tideman says:
09/01/09 10:54AM
I read in several threads lately that you were just going to leave it alone..no play for you...or you'll just be watching...  I was wondering what happened.

 How can it be a "lean" when earlier in this thread you were like a little schoolgirl at a highschool pep rally ...Gimme a V....Gimme a T..  lol.... For you not to have the Hokies on your card after all of your talk is just a little humorous, thats all

tideman says:
09/01/09 11:11AM
Yes it is very humorous.... Good Luck Sally!
Diamondjake says:
09/02/09 12:03AM
No offense my fellow cover brothers.......but no one gives a shit about anyones opinions including mine on this thread. We are waiting  for bibendi picks and rest of the opinions well they dont matter. This is his thread but I get it ICE FOR BLOOD you are a veteran and are having fun. Lets just remember who the man is thats all Im saying. This thread is about making money opinions here just make people vomit. Start your own thread. 
bookieassassin says:
07/13/09 05:33PM


you are right ....please accept my apologies for questioning you.....and especially with backing up my point (which was only to avoid this game BTW) with numbers.....i mistakenly  wrongly interpreted this site  (AGAIN) to be one where  grown men come to discuss CFB.....
you are a class act sir and i am saddened deeply that i have offended you in any way
sincerely, BA
PrimeTimeBoys says:
09/01/09 10:56PM
Luv  VTech in this spot!
omygodwin says:
07/15/09 05:10PM
hey bibendi...i remember you hitting like 65% or something ridiculous like that last year. Amazing! anyways, do you remember or have a record of how many units you won hitting that percentage? Good luck this year, keep up the good work!
bibendi23 says:
07/27/09 08:59PM



Still up in the air bud.


But I'll go ahead and say yes. I have accommodations already just need to plan it out. We had flights booked and then my buddies backed out or else I'd be in for sure
bibendi23 says:
07/27/09 09:01PM



Whats happenin TREE?!

I have us slightly favored in this matchup actually. I will be going absolutely crazy for the weeks leading up to this clash. I dont think your Sooners have much to worry about in the non-conference do they?
bibendi23 says:
07/28/09 11:20PM


It was difficult to keep track of units last year b/c 1 unit for me was getting bigger almost weekly. By the end of the season 1 unit was $200 and I was dropping 10-15 units on each special. For some people that isnt very much, but I think its a hell of a lot of money to be dropping on gambling. I was playing with straight winnings so it wasnt too bad but when people decide to start tailing and put their principle on the line is when the haters start to arrive. I would estimate I since my normal size wager is 3 units and specials were 10-15 that I was up around 175 units through the regular season and then battled in the bowl season to barely come out ahead
djwaud4 says:
09/01/09 10:31PM
whats up bibendi, what do u think about the 6 point spread?? bama will struggle with a new qb and an o-line that has lost its 2 superstars, wouldnt u agree?? keep the streak going brother
TREE88 says:
08/01/09 01:05PM

Non conference not to bad for us. We get BYU on a neutral site for game one.The only potential problem I see is going down to Miami but it is the 4th game on the schedule for us so we should be good to go. Bradford is back but gone are some key receivers and most of the O-line. With the way the Big 12 plays defense.....we'll be fine getting the offense clicking on all cylinders by that game .We look to be much improved on the defensive side of the ball returning the entire D line which is the reason we will beat Texas and will win the Big 12 for the 7th time in 9 yrs. Shhhhhh! Hope I didn't say that too loud. I don't want to get everybody all riled up before season even starts...lol

All in all OU has one of the toughest schedules in the country again facing 8 previous season bowlers but hey....last year I think they had the toughest schedule in the country so its all good. We'll be ready to rock. 

bol with the Hokies against Bama.

Should be a hell of a football game.

TREE88 says:
07/27/09 08:35PM
Bibs!

What it is bro!

Bol on this one. If your boys do get the W they will no doubt be in the Natl Championsip hunt.

 

See you in a few weeks!

 

...........

Bigfish75 says:
07/28/09 04:41AM
Bibendi are you hating on the tide due to your BIG sec title game lost last year. Looks like your looking for payback with your fave team.  Dont bet with your heart. By the way I was all over the Gators, and what happened with tcu vs. boise.
Droxside says:
08/01/09 02:04AM
tideman, I wrote this a few days ago on another post, but it applies here. This is my opinion on Alaama this year and in particular the Virginia Tech game...

 

It is ironic to me that you are worried about VT's offensive line when I see the OL of Bama as being a big time question mark coming into the season that will cost them 3-5 games starting with Tech.

Granted, the guys coming in are talented, but it takes several games to a year to get a new offensive line to work as "one" which is the key to an offense . They have to know each other like their brother and that takes times, the most underrated aspect of football in my opinion. I am rather surprised that so many are down playing this.

 Everyone talks about replacing Wilson at QB and Smith at Tackle, but Caldwell at center will be next to impossible to replace in game #1, arguable the 2ND most important position in football. Down the road maybe, not game one vs a VT defense with bad intentions.

Virginia Tech will come hard and heavy at Bama and I am betting they will not be able to handle it, particularly with a QB with no game experience and a RB who is still young and will have to pick up the blitz. Bama is in trouble I think...

 

 

Warlord says:
09/01/09 11:03PM
I live in Alabama and most Bama fans think thatVT doesn"t have a chance. I hope VT kicks their butts. Now you know where I went to school.
koko11 says:
09/02/09 03:19AM
I got Bama when the line was still at -3 and still like it but I would not bet it at -6.5 right now...The only thing I have to add is to the people thinking McElroy will be overwelmed by the VT defense. Remember he has been going up against the 3rd ranked defense in the nation for 2 years now. He has been in the system for 3 years and  has a better understanding of the playbook and the position as a whole than JPW...I am not saying he will not have problems but to think VT's defense is going to show him anything that he has not seen already in practice and scrimmages the past 2 years is just crazy...I know game experience is different but he will be prepaired...

I just don't see how VT plans on scoring...We know what they are bringing because we seen it last year...Tyrod has gotten better but if he improves 50%, which is highly unlikly, he will throw 4 TD's and 3 INT's this year.... He will be going up against the best defense he has seen in his college career and there will be no running game, you can count on that....

I see this game coming down to who can kick the most FG's, with the occatoinal big play..I would rather go with the unknown than put my money on a Offense that we know is not going to move the ball if I had to bet on this game at -6.5

GL ALL!!
Ice4Blood says:
09/01/09 11:04AM
i don't know if you are aware of this... but since my August 1st post, there was a little bulletin about a guy named Darren Evans tearing his ACL and being out for the year... and subsequently it has also been reported that the next 2 RBs on the depth chart are also dealing with injuries...

 

but again... it IS on my card... and assuming the other games on my ML parlay hit, i will have 5 times as much riding on VT ML as i do on any other single game...

 

is that humorous enough for you?  this shit is getting pathetic...

 

go away now...

Ice4Blood says:
09/01/09 10:07AM
Tideman... VT is a very important part of my card... it's posted on my thread... thanks for asking!

 

but even if it weren't... you will find that i exercise a few simple rights:

 

1) changing my mind if i see good arguments that warrant it

2) not betting every single game i have a strong opinion about

3) enjoying certain high profile games instead of betting every TV game like a degenerate

 

but the fact remains, VT is the last team on a very important ML parlay, and i consider the rest of the games on that card to be gimmes...

 

maybe you don't have a lot of experience as a stalker... but you really should read ALL of the posts if you are going to start down that path...

 

Ice4Blood says:
09/01/09 10:08AM
you may have noticed that previous post is dated August 1st...

 

but yea, how can anyone take me seriously if i don't stick with one of my leans?

Ice4Blood says:
08/01/09 04:28PM

 

outstanding breakdown... you nailed it on the head...

 

incidentally, another team that is going to struggle due to their O-line chemistry is Oklahoma... at least early on... those truck lanes aren't gonna be there for Brown and Murray this year...

 

but yea... VT will beat Bama, and will do so relatively comfortably... doesn't matter how good Bama's defense is, because Tech's is just as good... the problem is Bama's offense... if there was a line on "Points scored by Bama's offense" vs. "Points scored by Techs defense or ST"... i'd make it a pick em...

bottom line... Tech's defense completely dominates this game from start to finish...

Ice4Blood says:
07/28/09 02:40PM

 

this is a wonderfully worthless post...

Ice4Blood says:
07/14/09 10:59AM

there may be better week 1 plays... but this statement in bold is complete horseshit...

Ice4Blood says:
07/13/09 07:46PM
not taking any offense here, bookie... i'm just giving you fair warning and you seem to refuse to want to take heed...

 

success in college football is largely predicated on knowing (as early as possible) which 8 or 10 teams will rise above the rest of the competition... those teams rarely have losing ATS records, especially taken in combination...

 

last year's group (Florida, OU, Texas, USC, Alabama, Tx Tech, Utah, Penn St)... combined for something like 69-33 ATS last year... and previous years are always the same...

 

VT is gonna be in that group this year... obviously, Fla, OU, Texas will all be in it again as well... my best guess for other candidates are LSU, Oregon, Ok St and Cal... but hopefully will have that solidified before week 2 starts...

Ice4Blood says:
07/13/09 07:53PM
USC is a candidate, too... but i'm not making them a shoo-in until i see their QB situation...
Gold_Rush says:
07/13/09 08:48PM
The Line for this game has come out as an early line at 
my favorite spot - The Golden Nugget


Alabama - 4 vs VTECH
wounded_duck says:
09/01/09 09:34AM
Bib - I can grab VT +7(hook) now.  What are your thoughts on hitting it now - I think the line might start creeping back down by game time.  Have you decided if you are playing this game and if so what units? 
JobeyOne says:
07/13/09 10:48PM
Too many unknowns about both of these teams to play this game. No one has a clue how these teams are going to perform against each other in week one. There are much better plays out there for week one.
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User: bibendi23
Joined: October 2007
Location: Maryland
Team: Syracuse Orange
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