like it, GL this season bud

Solid write up

I do think there are better games with more value to be had. 

I don't think Boise will start their season 0 - 1.  But, best of luck man!  Keep those write ups coming!

ap

Bowling Green Falcons v. Idaho Vandals (-7)

Making this my 3^rd play of the season as I like

the value in the home side here. We have Bowling Green coming off of a 2 win

season where they were getting dominated in just about every contest. They were

able to 1 win game on the road in a relative upset @CMU but basically got owned

in every road game for the season. They don’t return too much to anticipate

anything else from this team. They bring back a QB who had a 8:14 TD/INT ratio

and looked lost most of the team by the speed of the game. I used to love

betting on BGSU as they had an explosive offense with Sheehan and Barnes but

this is not that squad and they will struggle until they find a legitimate

replacement for Sheehan. They also lose their top running back and one of the

best in school history. They do return their playmaker in Kamar Jordan but

while his stats look gaudy, don’t forget they throw the ball 40 times a game so

someone has to produce a few numbers. The offensive line returns 4 starters but

they were horrible last season. I’m sure they will improve upon last seasons

performance just through cohesion, but I don’t expect any miracles. Overall, I

see this offense as being very poor and needing to have one hell of an

offseason to get much better than last year after losing their best player in

Willie Geter.

The defense was porous at best last year and any team with a

glimmer of an offense was able to do whatever they want against them. The were

a pretty experienced defense as well as this season they are going to lose 6

full time starters and will have a lot of gaps to fill. They will rely heavily

on Dwayne Woods to do just about everything.

The special teams are a huge question mark as well as they

lose their kicker/punter and have to replace both positions. They also lose

their top kick returner so they have holes everywhere in special teams.

I do like Dave Clawson at coach as he has a very innovative

offense but he just has too many holes to fill this season.

Overall, this is a horrible spot for a team trying to find

confidence. You don’t want to have to play in a setting that is extremely

unfamiliar to you when you are trying to improve upon a 2 win season. The

inexperience of Bowling Green traveling to the dome in Idaho to open the season

just smells like a rout to me.

Idaho does lose Nathan Enderle this season after being the

starter there for 4 years. However, if you watched this team last year, they

will be better off without him. His back up was Brian Reader and he was much

more efficient running the offense when he had a chance. As a back up the 5:1

TD/INT ratio is very impressive and his completion percentage was higher. I

don’t expect much of a drop off at this position, if any. They also bring in

Ryan Bass from Arizona St. who is going to be a huge upgrade in their

backfield. They also have a ton of depth back there as they return 3 players

who carried the ball 40+ not counting Mr. Bass. They do lose a lot at receiver

and will need to develop that position as the season goes along, but the

secondary for BGSU has not presented much of a problem to most passing games in

the last few years, so this is a good spot to develop. They also return 8 of

their top 10 on the offensive line and this bodes well considering that BGSU

only returns 2 on their defensive line. The stable of running backs should have

plenty of holes to run through and I don’t expect Idaho to even have to go to

the air to score in this one.

On defense the Vandals return 7 of their top 9 tacklers from

last season and the only spot they wont be as strong as last season is on the

defensive line. They did bring in a few experienced JUCO Dlineman to help with

that area though. They return the same linebacker corps from the end of last

season and only 1 safety out of their secondary. This defense improved a lot at

the end of the season after getting predictably gashed by Nevada and Boise. I

expect this unit to be strong and to give the inexperienced BGSU offense a lot

of trouble.

Special teams wise, they return everyone except for their

punt returner and look to be much better off than Bowling Green.

Overall, I give the Idaho offense an edge over the

BGSU defense and the defense a huge edge over the Bowling Green offense.

Special teams is very lopsided as well and the coaching I’d probably call a

push. All in all, that’s an edge in about every major category that I will cap

and think Idaho will punish BGSU. I do think by the end of the season that Clawson

will have this team much improved, but not a good spot to open it up.

Good to see you Bibs.

bol this season.